Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ USO: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Nov. 15, 2012

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $251.9200 (-0.88%) ($249.6000 - $255.9200) on Thu. Nov. 15, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.57% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $251.9200(-0.88%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(65%)    OIH(59%)    VWO(34%)    EEM(33%)    JNK(31%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -0.785% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(1%)    LQD(2%)    GLD(8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.785% (StdDev 1.57%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.4%

Resistance Level   $256.26
5 Day Moving Average   $252.78(-0.34%)
10 Day Moving Average   $252.8(-0.35%)
20 Day Moving Average   $256.26(-1.69%)
To recent high   -14.5%
To recent low   0.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 2.27% (three month std-dev: 1.57%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20121215

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_15_2012	270.07	256.26	252.8	252.78			251.92(-0.88%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-1	-10000	2	-11	1.5	34%	0.04	-79.7	1.57%	0	-0.7	50	0
2	Nov_14_2012	269.96	257.26	253.23	252.48			254.16(1.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	1	-10000	5	-12	1.49	34%	0.06	-69.7	1.57%	0	-0.5	48	0
3	Nov_13_2012	269.8	258.1	253.22	251.58			251.28(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-16	-10000	-9	-38	0.78	34%	0.05	-62.2	1.57%	0	-0.9	37	0
4	Nov_12_2012	269.67	259.11	253.54	253.42			252.72(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-9	-10000	-0	-36	0.62	34%	0.04	-50.6	1.57%	0	-0.8	35	0
5	Nov_9_2012	269.55	260.15	253.69	253.46			253.84(1.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-13	-10000	3	-60	0.86	34%	0.07	-47.6	1.57%	0	-0.7	31	0

6	Nov_8_2012	269.36	260.98	253.62	252.85			250.4(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-29	-10000	-6	-96	0.94	34%	0.03	-42.7	1.56%	0	-1.2	27	0
7	Nov_7_2012	269.29	262.13	254.17	254.06			249.68(-4.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-31	-10000	-5	-110	1.77	34%	-0.01	-39.3	1.56%	0	-1.4	26	0
8	Nov_6_2012	269.33	262.99	255.49	254.98			260.48(3.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-24	-10000	7	-117	1.22	38%	0.04	-41.7	1.48%	0	-0.3	34	0
9	Nov_5_2012	269.23	263.31	255.94	253.74			252.88(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-38	-10000	-2	-145	0.87	32%	0	-49.1	1.44%	0	-1.2	20	0
10	Nov_2_2012	269.23	264.26	257.79	254.02			250.8(-2.21%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-36	-10000	-2	-136	1	41%	-0.01	-51.6	1.55%	0	-1.6	14	0

11	Nov_1_2012	269.26	264.87	259.93	254.46			256.48(0.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-32	-10000	1	-132	0.99	44%	0.03	-57.4	1.54%	0	-1.1	27	0
12	Oct_31_2012	269.18	265.67	261.51	254.32			254.24(-0.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0	-42	-10000	-9	-139	0.66	41%	0.15	-58.9	1.54%	0	-1.5	20	0
13	Oct_26_2012	268.77	266.68	263.28	256.11			254.32(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-39	-10000	-12	-120	1	41%	0	-55.6	1.55%	0	-1.7	38	0
14	Oct_25_2012	268.76	267.66	265.09	258.59			254.24(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-38	-10000	-18	-98	1.06	41%	-0.01	-52	1.55%	0	-2	37	0
15	Oct_24_2012	268.79	268.65	267.14	262.26			253.04(-1.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-31	-10000	-19	-68	1.7	41%	-0	-44.8	1.55%	0	-2.6	31	0

16	Oct_23_2012	268.8	269.44	269.06	266.21			255.76(-2.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-19	-10000	-17	-23	1.75	37%	0.01	-38.8	1.55%	0	-2.9	49	0
17	Oct_22_2012	268.78	270.23	270.95	269.67			263.2(-1.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.7	-4	-10000	-8	9	2.15	40%	0.04	-42.3	1.57%	0	-1.9	44	0
18	Oct_19_2012	268.67	270.73	271.35	271.43			266.72(-2.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-0	-10000	-5	14	1.53	44%	0.02	-48.5	1.57%	0	-1.1	44	0
19	Oct_18_2012	268.61	271.19	271.46	272.49			272.56(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	3	-10000	-2	16	1.04	47%	0.03	-63.4	1.59%	0	0.4	50	0
20	Oct_17_2012	268.52	271.33	271.34	272.84			272.8(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	6	-10000	2	19	0.64	47%	-0	-81.7	1.59%	0	0.4	50	0

21	Oct_16_2012	268.53	271.32	270.23	272.42			273.08(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	2	-10000	-0	8	0.77	47%	0.01	-82	1.59%	0	0.4	57	0
22	Oct_15_2012	268.49	271.82	270.08	272.5			272(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	8	-10000	6	13	1.32	47%	-0	-72.4	1.6%	0	0	52	0
23	Oct_12_2012	268.5	272.44	270.22	271.25			272(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	5	-10000	5	5	0.59	47%	-0.01	-60.8	1.61%	0	-0.1	49	0
24	Oct_11_2012	268.52	273.47	270.26	270.21			274.32(1.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	0	-10000	3	-8	1	51%	0	-53.4	1.61%	0	0.1	48	0
25	Oct_10_2012	268.51	274.26	270.07	269.65			270.72(-0.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	4	-10000	9	-13	1.05	48%		-47.5	1.63%	0	-0.4	45	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.