Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 16, 2012

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $284.4800 (1.05%) ($281.3300 - $286.0800) on Thu. Aug. 16, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.11% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $284.4800(1.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO advances 2.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(65%)    OIH(59%)    VWO(34%)    EEM(33%)    JNK(31%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -1.055% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(1%)    LQD(2%)    TIP(9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.055% (StdDev 2.11%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $280.29(1.49%)
10 Day Moving Average   $278.86(2.02%)
20 Day Moving Average   $272.73(4.31%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   20.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 2.58% (three month std-dev: 2.11%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120916

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_16_2012	278.17	272.73	278.86	280.29			284.48(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	22	-10000	3	80	0.89	46%	-0.14	46.5	2.11%	0	1.7	65	0
2	Aug_15_2012	278.55	272.26	276.6	279.28			281.52(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	-10000	2	70	0.98	46%	-0.16	59.8	2.11%	0	1.4	65	0
3	Aug_14_2012	279	271.62	275.03	278.77			279.36(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	-10000	0	67	0.54	45%	-0.17	69.1	2.11%	0	1.2	65	0
4	Aug_13_2012	279.48	270.98	273.32	278.75			277.28(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	17	-10000	1	65	0.51	45%	-0.18	82.7	2.12%	0	1	64	0
5	Aug_10_2012	279.97	270.36	272.35	278.37			278.8(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	21	-10000	4	70	0.44	45%	-0.15	86.1	2.12%	0	1.4	67	0

6	Aug_9_2012	280.4	269.49	271.35	277.12			279.44(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	-10000	13	63	0.35	45%	-0.17	85.6	2.12%	0	1.6	54	0
7	Aug_8_2012	280.87	268.4	270.07	273.39			278.96(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	15	-10000	9	31	0.76	45%	-0.16	68.7	2.12%	0	1.7	49	0
8	Aug_7_2012	281.32	267.37	268.67	270.67			279.28(1.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	13	-10000	13	13	0.85	45%	-0.18	50.6	2.13%	0	1.8	57	0
9	Aug_6_2012	281.84	266.02	267.16	267.1			275.36(1.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	1	-10000	5	-13	0.84	45%	-0.19	38.4	2.12%	0	1.5	57	0
10	Aug_3_2012	282.38	265.11	265.96	265.55			272.56(4.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-5	-10000	2	-24	1.49	41%	-0.18	33.2	2.17%	0	1.2	57	0

11	Aug_2_2012	282.89	264.14	265.9	264.91			260.8(-1.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-9	-10000	-5	-20	1.04	38%	-0.23	44.3	2.11%	0	-0.5	52	0
12	Aug_1_2012	283.53	264.18	267.49	266.21			265.36(1.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	2	-10000	-0	8	1.11	38%	-0.22	64.5	2.1%	0	0.2	60	0
13	Jul_31_2012	284.15	264.08	267.91	266.27			261.44(-2.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	2	-10000	-3	18	1.14	38%	-0.23	84.6	2.1%	0	-0.4	56	0
14	Jul_30_2012	284.81	263.66	268.57	267.02			267.6(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	-10000	3	40	0.65	39%	-0.22	90.6	2.1%	0	0.6	69	0
15	Jul_27_2012	285.43	263.03	268.35	266.3			269.36(0.78%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	8	-10000	-3	42	0.73	39%	-0.21	95.8	2.1%	0	0.9	63	0

16	Jul_26_2012	286.02	261.47	267.62	267.15			267.28(0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	9	-10000	-7	55	0.7	39%	-0.2	78.5	2.09%	0	0.7	65	0
17	Jul_25_2012	286.6	260.25	266.75	269.12			265.68(0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	15	-10000	-3	68	1.11	39%	-0.2	77.7	2.09%	0	0.6	54	0
18	Jul_24_2012	287.17	258.97	266.14	269.89			265.2(0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	17	-10000	-1	70	1.05	39%	-0.22	67.1	2.09%	0	0.6	52	0
19	Jul_23_2012	287.81	257.69	264.98	270.26			264(-3.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	18	-10000	-1	75	1.22	39%	-0.22	59.5	2.09%	0	0.6	60	0
20	Jul_20_2012	288.44	256.58	264.39	270.45			273.6(-1.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	-10000	9	86	1.06	41%	-0.21	53.5	2.05%	0	1.4	64	0

21	Jul_19_2012	289.06	254.68	262.3	268.02			277.12(2.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	34	-10000	14	93	1.49	41%	-0.18	40.7	2.05%	0	1.9	75	0
22	Jul_18_2012	289.57	252.94	260.51	264.11			269.52(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	-10000	8	89	0.87	37%	-0.2	32.5	2.02%	0	1.5	68	0
23	Jul_17_2012	290.15	252.03	259.76	261.94			267.04(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	35	-10000	11	105	1.15	37%	-0.22	30.3	2.02%	0	1.5	68	0
24	Jul_16_2012	290.79	251.12	258.19	258.96			264.96(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	30	-10000	6	100	0.86	37%	-0.25	25.8	2.02%	0	1.5	68	0
25	Jul_13_2012	291.51	250.43	257.11	257.44			261.44(1.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	32	-10000	7	108	0.62	37%		22.3	2.01%	0	1.3	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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