Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jul. 30, 2012

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $267.6000 (-0.65%) ($266.9600 - $269.9200) on Mon. Jul. 30, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.1% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $267.6000(-0.65%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(65%)    OIH(59%)    VWO(34%)    EEM(33%)    SPY(32%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -1.05% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(1%)    LQD(2%)    TIP(9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.05% (StdDev 2.1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $267.02(0.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $268.57(-0.36%)
20 Day Moving Average   $263.66(1.49%)
To recent high   -16.7%
To recent low   13.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 2.56% (three month std-dev: 2.1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120830

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_30_2012	284.81	263.66	268.57	267.02			267.6(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	-10000	3	40	0.65	39%	-0.22	90.6	2.1%	0	0.6	69	0
2	Jul_27_2012	285.43	263.03	268.35	266.3			269.36(0.78%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	8	-10000	-3	42	0.73	39%	-0.21	95.8	2.1%	0	0.9	63	0
3	Jul_26_2012	286.02	261.47	267.62	267.15			267.28(0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	9	-10000	-7	55	0.7	39%	-0.2	78.5	2.09%	0	0.7	65	0
4	Jul_25_2012	286.6	260.25	266.75	269.12			265.68(0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	15	-10000	-3	68	1.11	39%	-0.2	77.7	2.09%	0	0.6	54	0
5	Jul_24_2012	287.17	258.97	266.14	269.89			265.2(0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	17	-10000	-1	70	1.05	39%	-0.22	67.1	2.09%	0	0.6	52	0

6	Jul_23_2012	287.81	257.69	264.98	270.26			264(-3.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	18	-10000	-1	75	1.22	39%	-0.22	59.5	2.09%	0	0.6	60	0
7	Jul_20_2012	288.44	256.58	264.39	270.45			273.6(-1.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	-10000	9	86	1.06	41%	-0.21	53.5	2.05%	0	1.4	64	0
8	Jul_19_2012	289.06	254.68	262.3	268.02			277.12(2.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	34	-10000	14	93	1.49	41%	-0.18	40.7	2.05%	0	1.9	75	0
9	Jul_18_2012	289.57	252.94	260.51	264.11			269.52(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	-10000	8	89	0.87	37%	-0.2	32.5	2.02%	0	1.5	68	0
10	Jul_17_2012	290.15	252.03	259.76	261.94			267.04(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	35	-10000	11	105	1.15	37%	-0.22	30.3	2.02%	0	1.5	68	0

11	Jul_16_2012	290.79	251.12	258.19	258.96			264.96(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	30	-10000	6	100	0.86	37%	-0.25	25.8	2.02%	0	1.5	68	0
12	Jul_13_2012	291.51	250.43	257.11	257.44			261.44(1.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	32	-10000	7	108	0.62	37%	-0.24	22.3	2.01%	0	1.3	64	0
13	Jul_12_2012	292.22	249.97	254.72	255.7			257.6(-0.4%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	22	-10000	-3	97	0.95	37%	-0.24	17.5	2%	0	0.9	66	0
14	Jul_11_2012	292.91	249.49	253.21	256.37			258.64(2.57%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	22	-10000	-4	100	1.54	39%	-0.23	15.8	2.01%	0	1.1	59	0
15	Jul_10_2012	293.58	249.06	251.27	257.34			252.16(-2.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	25	-10000	1	97	1.02	36%	-0.15	18.4	1.99%	0	0.4	49	0

16	Jul_9_2012	294.01	248.73	250	257.2			257.36(1.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	23	-10000	2	85	0.84	37%	-0.21	13.1	1.98%	0	1.1	54	0
17	Jul_6_2012	294.63	248.73	248.34	256.66			252.72(-3.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	28	-10000	13	74	1.2	37%	-0.22	13.3	1.96%	0	0.5	50	0
18	Jul_5_2012	295.27	248.5	246.69	253.31			260.96(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	20	-10000	16	33	1.24	39%	-0.23	-2.5	1.94%	0	1.6	53	0
19	Jul_3_2012	295.96	248.19	244.83	249.44			263.52(4.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	16	-10000	21	2	1.74	38%	-0.16	-21.1	1.95%	0	2	58	0
20	Jul_2_2012	296.43	247.6	243.5	244.43			251.44(-1.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	-0	-10000	12	-37	2.19	35%	-0.18	-56	1.84%	0	0.6	50	0

21	Jun_29_2012	296.97	247.68	243.25	241.82			254.64(7.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.9	-3	-10000	13	-51	2.55	34%	-0.18	-79.4	1.84%	0	1	56	0
22	Jun_28_2012	297.5	247.46	242.86	239.06			236(-2.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-24	-10000	0	-94	1.76	23%	-0.23	-99	1.54%	0	-1.6	36	0
23	Jun_27_2012	298.19	248.71	244.62	238.98			241.6(1.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-27	-10000	-3	-98	1.17	24%	-0.21	-104.7	1.53%	0	-1	40	0
24	Jun_26_2012	298.83	249.8	245.34	239.45			238.48(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-41	-10000	-16	-114	0.86	24%	-0.2	-93.8	1.51%	0	-1.3	34	0
25	Jun_25_2012	299.44	251.51	246.66	242.44			238.4(-1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-33	-10000	-13	-92	1.08	24%		-92.3	1.51%	0	-1.5	38	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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