Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ USO: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jul. 24, 2012

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $265.2000 (0.45%) ($262.7600 - $266.1600) on Tue. Jul. 24, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.09% (three month average)
RSI   52
Latest Price   $265.2000(0.45%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO advances 2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(65%)    OIH(59%)    VWO(34%)    EEM(33%)    SPY(32%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -1.045% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(1%)    LQD(2%)    TIP(9%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.045% (StdDev 2.09%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $269.89(-1.74%)
10 Day Moving Average   $266.14(-0.35%)
20 Day Moving Average   $258.97(2.41%)
To recent high   -17.4%
To recent low   12.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 4.1% (three month std-dev: 2.09%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120824

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_24_2012	287.17	258.97	266.14	269.89			265.2(0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	17	-10000	-1	70	1.05	39%	-0.22	67.1	2.09%	0	0.6	52	0
2	Jul_23_2012	287.81	257.69	264.98	270.26			264(-3.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	18	-10000	-1	75	1.22	39%	-0.22	59.5	2.09%	0	0.6	60	0
3	Jul_20_2012	288.44	256.58	264.39	270.45			273.6(-1.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	-10000	9	86	1.06	41%	-0.21	53.5	2.05%	0	1.4	64	0
4	Jul_19_2012	289.06	254.68	262.3	268.02			277.12(2.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	34	-10000	14	93	1.49	41%	-0.18	40.7	2.05%	0	1.9	75	0
5	Jul_18_2012	289.57	252.94	260.51	264.11			269.52(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	-10000	8	89	0.87	37%	-0.2	32.5	2.02%	0	1.5	68	0

6	Jul_17_2012	290.15	252.03	259.76	261.94			267.04(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	35	-10000	11	105	1.15	37%	-0.22	30.3	2.02%	0	1.5	68	0
7	Jul_16_2012	290.79	251.12	258.19	258.96			264.96(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	30	-10000	6	100	0.86	37%	-0.25	25.8	2.02%	0	1.5	68	0
8	Jul_13_2012	291.51	250.43	257.11	257.44			261.44(1.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	32	-10000	7	108	0.62	37%	-0.24	22.3	2.01%	0	1.3	64	0
9	Jul_12_2012	292.22	249.97	254.72	255.7			257.6(-0.4%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	22	-10000	-3	97	0.95	37%	-0.24	17.5	2%	0	0.9	66	0
10	Jul_11_2012	292.91	249.49	253.21	256.37			258.64(2.57%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	22	-10000	-4	100	1.54	39%	-0.23	15.8	2.01%	0	1.1	59	0

11	Jul_10_2012	293.58	249.06	251.27	257.34			252.16(-2.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	25	-10000	1	97	1.02	36%	-0.15	18.4	1.99%	0	0.4	49	0
12	Jul_9_2012	294.01	248.73	250	257.2			257.36(1.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	23	-10000	2	85	0.84	37%	-0.21	13.1	1.98%	0	1.1	54	0
13	Jul_6_2012	294.63	248.73	248.34	256.66			252.72(-3.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	28	-10000	13	74	1.2	37%	-0.22	13.3	1.96%	0	0.5	50	0
14	Jul_5_2012	295.27	248.5	246.69	253.31			260.96(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	20	-10000	16	33	1.24	39%	-0.23	-2.5	1.94%	0	1.6	53	0
15	Jul_3_2012	295.96	248.19	244.83	249.44			263.52(4.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	16	-10000	21	2	1.74	38%	-0.16	-21.1	1.95%	0	2	58	0

16	Jul_2_2012	296.43	247.6	243.5	244.43			251.44(-1.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	-0	-10000	12	-37	2.19	35%	-0.18	-56	1.84%	0	0.6	50	0
17	Jun_29_2012	296.97	247.68	243.25	241.82			254.64(7.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.9	-3	-10000	13	-51	2.55	34%	-0.18	-79.4	1.84%	0	1	56	0
18	Jun_28_2012	297.5	247.46	242.86	239.06			236(-2.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-24	-10000	0	-94	1.76	23%	-0.23	-99	1.54%	0	-1.6	36	0
19	Jun_27_2012	298.19	248.71	244.62	238.98			241.6(1.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-27	-10000	-3	-98	1.17	24%	-0.21	-104.7	1.53%	0	-1	40	0
20	Jun_26_2012	298.83	249.8	245.34	239.45			238.48(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-41	-10000	-16	-114	0.86	24%	-0.2	-93.8	1.51%	0	-1.3	34	0

21	Jun_25_2012	299.44	251.51	246.66	242.44			238.4(-1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-33	-10000	-13	-92	1.08	24%	-0.21	-92.3	1.51%	0	-1.5	38	0
22	Jun_22_2012	300.08	253.24	247.5	244.87			240.8(2.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-31	-10000	-13	-84	1.28	26%	-0.19	-80.7	1.53%	0	-1.4	40	0
23	Jun_21_2012	300.65	254.87	248.87	247.32			235.64(-3.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-30	-10000	-19	-63	2.31	23%	-0.22	-73.2	1.5%	0	-2	38	0
24	Jun_20_2012	301.3	256.75	250.8	250.96			243.92(-3.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-13	-10000	-5	-37	2.74	23%	-0.2	-70.4	1.46%	0	-1.4	36	0
25	Jun_19_2012	301.9	258.33	252.15	251.94			253.44(1.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-8	-10000	2	-38	0.92	25%		-69.2	1.41%	0	-0.5	39	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.