Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jul. 2, 2012

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $251.4400 (-1.26%) ($246.5600 - $253.6000) on Mon. Jul. 2, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.84% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $251.4400(-1.26%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO declines -1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(65%)    OIH(59%)    EEM(34%)    VWO(34%)    SPY(32%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -0.92% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    SHY(-7%)    LQD(2%)    IGOV(2%)    TIP(9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.92% (StdDev 1.84%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $244.43(2.87%)
10 Day Moving Average   $243.5(3.26%)
20 Day Moving Average   $247.6(1.55%)
To recent high   -21.7%
To recent low   6.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 2.77% (three month std-dev: 1.84%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120802

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_2_2012	296.43	247.6	243.5	244.43			251.44(-1.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	-0	-10000	12	-37	2.19	35%	-0.18	-56	1.84%	0	0.6	50	0
2	Jun_29_2012	296.97	247.68	243.25	241.82			254.64(7.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.9	-3	-10000	13	-51	2.55	34%	-0.18	-79.4	1.84%	0	1	56	0
3	Jun_28_2012	297.5	247.46	242.86	239.06			236(-2.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-24	-10000	0	-94	1.76	23%	-0.23	-99	1.54%	0	-1.6	36	0
4	Jun_27_2012	298.19	248.71	244.62	238.98			241.6(1.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-27	-10000	-3	-98	1.17	24%	-0.21	-104.7	1.53%	0	-1	40	0
5	Jun_26_2012	298.83	249.8	245.34	239.45			238.48(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-41	-10000	-16	-114	0.86	24%	-0.2	-93.8	1.51%	0	-1.3	34	0

6	Jun_25_2012	299.44	251.51	246.66	242.44			238.4(-1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-33	-10000	-13	-92	1.08	24%	-0.21	-92.3	1.51%	0	-1.5	38	0
7	Jun_22_2012	300.08	253.24	247.5	244.87			240.8(2.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-31	-10000	-13	-84	1.28	26%	-0.19	-80.7	1.53%	0	-1.4	40	0
8	Jun_21_2012	300.65	254.87	248.87	247.32			235.64(-3.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-30	-10000	-19	-63	2.31	23%	-0.22	-73.2	1.5%	0	-2	38	0
9	Jun_20_2012	301.3	256.75	250.8	250.96			243.92(-3.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-13	-10000	-5	-37	2.74	23%	-0.2	-70.4	1.46%	0	-1.4	36	0
10	Jun_19_2012	301.9	258.33	252.15	251.94			253.44(1.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-8	-10000	2	-38	0.92	25%	-0.17	-69.2	1.41%	0	-0.5	39	0

11	Jun_18_2012	302.41	259.63	252.18	251.51			250.56(-0.98%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-13	-10000	6	-71	0.69	25%	-0.19	-65.4	1.4%	0	-0.9	29	0
12	Jun_15_2012	302.98	260.85	252.54	250.52			253.04(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-29	-10000	-2	-111	0.61	28%	-0.18	-72.7	1.43%	0	-0.7	30	0
13	Jun_14_2012	303.53	262.16	252.38	250.79			253.84(2.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-36	-10000	0	-142	0.62	28%	-0.18	-74.1	1.43%	0	-0.7	30	0
14	Jun_13_2012	304.07	263.45	252.99	250.77			248.8(-1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-50	-10000	-10	-169	0.89	25%	-0.19	-76.2	1.4%	0	-1.2	26	0
15	Jun_12_2012	304.64	265.12	254.47	252.45			251.32(2.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-45	-10000	-3	-171	0.85	25%	-0.19	-77.6	1.4%	0	-1.2	26	0

16	Jun_11_2012	305.21	266.78	256.57	253.01			245.59(-3.46%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-54	-10000	-10	-187	1.25	21%	-0.19	-80	1.36%	0	-1.7	15	0
17	Jun_8_2012	305.79	269.01	259.36	254.7			254.4(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-41	-10000	4	-177	1.11	23%	-0.18	-80.9	1.31%	0	-1.2	29	0
18	Jun_7_2012	306.35	270.91	261.25	254.11			253.76(-1.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-57	-10000	-9	-199	1.02	23%	-0.19	-85.8	1.31%	0	-1.4	25	0
19	Jun_6_2012	306.93	272.82	263.13	255.54			257.2(1.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-56	-10000	-8	-198	1.31	22%	-0.18	-92.4	1.32%	0	-1.3	27	0
20	Jun_5_2012	307.48	274.69	264.95	256.93			254.08(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-68	-10000	-23	-204	0.93	22%	-0.18	-97.4	1.32%	0	-1.6	21	0

21	Jun_4_2012	308.03	276.82	267.65	260.88			254.08(1.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-60	-10000	-22	-175	1.48	22%	-0.17	-98.9	1.33%	0	-1.8	20	0
22	Jun_1_2012	308.56	279.06	269.88	264.82			251.44(-3.62%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-60	-10000	-25	-163	1.83	25%	-0.17	-101.9	1.34%	0	-2.3	14	0
23	May_31_2012	309.1	282.03	272.9	269.34			260.88(-1.24%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-47	-10000	-14	-146	1.36	23%	-0.17	-95.8	1.27%	0	-1.8	16	0
24	May_30_2012	309.62	284.87	274.93	271.71			264.16(-3.53%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-45	-10000	-13	-141	0.91	27%	-0.17	-81.4	1.29%	0	-1.6	18	0
25	May_29_2012	310.14	287.66	276.8	274.05			273.84(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-42	-10000	-8	-142	0.78	29%		-69.4	1.26%	0	-1	21	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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