Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ USO: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. May. 18, 2012

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $275.4400 (-1.74%) ($275.4400 - $280.3200) on Fri. May. 18, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.3% (three month average)
RSI   9
Latest Price   $275.4400(-1.74%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO declines -1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO declines -5.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(65%)    OIH(59%)    VWO(35%)    EEM(34%)    SPY(32%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -0.65% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-20%)    SHY(-7%)    LQD(2%)    IGOV(2%)    TIP(9%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.65% (StdDev 1.3%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.3%

Resistance Level   $299.64
5 Day Moving Average   $280.66(-1.86%)
10 Day Moving Average   $286.55(-3.88%)
20 Day Moving Average   $299.64(-8.08%)
To recent high   -18%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 5% (three month std-dev: 1.3%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120618

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_18_2012	312.5	299.64	286.55	280.66			275.44(-1.74%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-75	-10000	-16	-251	0.9	36%	-0.11	-56.6	1.3%	0	-1.6	9	0
2	May_17_2012	312.83	301.7	288.87	283.58			280.32(-0.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-74	-10000	-14	-255	0.72	37%	-0.09	-55.3	1.3%	0	-1.5	11	0
3	May_16_2012	313.1	303.34	291.79	286.1			280.4(-0.65%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-70	-10000	-12	-242	1.33	37%	-0.11	-55.7	1.31%	0	-1.7	13	0
4	May_15_2012	313.43	305.04	295.55	288.45			282.24(-0.93%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-65	-10000	-13	-221	0.78	37%	-0.11	-55.1	1.31%	0	-1.9	15	0
5	May_14_2012	313.76	306.86	299.36	290.99			284.88(-1.79%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-57	-10000	-12	-193	0.66	37%	-0.08	-51.9	1.31%	0	-2	20	0

6	May_11_2012	314	308.38	302.63	293.3			290.08(-0.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-49	-10000	-9	-170	0.56	42%	-0.05	-51.9	1.3%	0	-1.9	25	0
7	May_10_2012	314.17	309.63	305.34	294.94			292.88(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-53	-10000	-18	-159	0.59	42%	-0.04	-52.8	1.31%	0	-1.9	25	0
8	May_9_2012	314.29	310.83	307.74	298.5			292.16(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-53	-10000	-27	-131	1.43	42%	-0.03	-45	1.31%	0	-2.3	30	0
9	May_8_2012	314.38	311.93	310.18	303.89			294.96(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-41	-10000	-26	-86	1.34	42%	0.02	-34.7	1.31%	0	-2.4	32	0
10	May_7_2012	314.32	312.71	312.18	309.14			296.4(-0.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-27	-10000	-20	-47	1.35	44%	0.02	-26.3	1.31%	0	-2.8	29	0

11	May_4_2012	314.26	313.58	313.96	313.34			298.32(-3.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-3.2	-17	-10000	-18	-14	2.51	44%	0.03	-10.1	1.32%	0	-3.3	37	0
12	May_3_2012	314.16	314.45	315.82	317.07			310.64(-2.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-2.1	2	-10000	-6	25	1.14	49%	0.06	18.8	1.23%	0	-1.3	48	0
13	May_2_2012	313.98	314.49	316.03	318.19			319.12(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	12	-10000	4	35	0.71	53%	0.04	12.5	1.19%	0	1.5	55	0
14	May_1_2012	313.87	314.36	315.35	317.42			321.2(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	14	-10000	8	31	0.76	53%	0.06	-6.5	1.19%	0	2.4	64	0
15	Apr_30_2012	313.68	314.24	314.85	315.86			317.44(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	12	-10000	6	30	0.61	53%	0.03	-32.6	1.18%	0	1.1	66	0

16	Apr_27_2012	313.59	314.04	314.43	314.82			316.96(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	7	-10000	2	22	0.42	53%	0.05	-64	1.19%	0	1.1	57	0
17	Apr_26_2012	313.43	313.89	314.03	314.45			316.24(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	9	-10000	5	19	0.67	53%	0.02	-81.9	1.19%	0	0.9	52	0
18	Apr_25_2012	313.37	314.1	313.92	313.54			315.28(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	7	-10000	3	17	1.07	53%	0.01	-84.5	1.19%	0	0.4	56	0
19	Apr_24_2012	313.34	314.56	313.6	312.96			313.36(0.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-3	-10000	-4	2	0.52	53%	0	-67.5	1.19%	0	-0.3	45	0
20	Apr_23_2012	313.33	315.14	313.13	313.71			312.24(-0.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-3	-10000	-1	-7	0.69	53%	0	-57.4	1.19%	0	-0.6	40	0

21	Apr_20_2012	313.33	315.77	313.11	313.95			315.12(1.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-0	-10000	2	-7	0.67	50%	0.02	-54.3	1.2%	0	-0.1	51	0
22	Apr_19_2012	313.26	316.05	312.97	313.57			311.68(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-6	-10000	-4	-13	0.69	50%	0	-56.4	1.23%	0	-0.8	48	0
23	Apr_18_2012	313.25	316.71	312.91	314.34			312.4(-1.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-5	-10000	0	-20	0.64	50%	0.02	-49.4	1.23%	0	-0.8	41	0
24	Apr_17_2012	313.2	317.25	313.36	314.27			317.12(1.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	0	-10000	10	-29	0.68	52%	0.05	-52.3	1.22%	0	-0	40	0
25	Apr_16_2012	313.05	317.85	313.56	312.46			313.44(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-13	-10000	2	-57	0.72	52%		-51.8	1.22%	0	-0.7	36	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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