Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Apr. 30, 2012

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $317.4400 (0.15%) ($314.9600 - $318.4800) on Mon. Apr. 30, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.18% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $317.4400(0.15%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(65%)    OIH(60%)    VWO(35%)    EEM(34%)    SPY(32%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -0.59% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-20%)    SHY(-7%)    LQD(1%)    IGOV(2%)    TIP(8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.59% (StdDev 1.18%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $315.86(0.5%)
10 Day Moving Average   $314.85(0.82%)
20 Day Moving Average   $314.24(1.02%)
To recent high   -5.5%
To recent low   6.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 0.89% (three month std-dev: 1.18%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120530

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_30_2012	313.68	314.24	314.85	315.86			317.44(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	12	-10000	6	30	0.61	53%	0.03	-32.6	1.18%	0	1.1	66	0
2	Apr_27_2012	313.59	314.04	314.43	314.82			316.96(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	7	-10000	2	22	0.42	53%	0.05	-64	1.19%	0	1.1	57	0
3	Apr_26_2012	313.43	313.89	314.03	314.45			316.24(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	9	-10000	5	19	0.67	53%	0.02	-81.9	1.19%	0	0.9	52	0
4	Apr_25_2012	313.37	314.1	313.92	313.54			315.28(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	7	-10000	3	17	1.07	53%	0.01	-84.5	1.19%	0	0.4	56	0
5	Apr_24_2012	313.34	314.56	313.6	312.96			313.36(0.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-3	-10000	-4	2	0.52	53%	0	-67.5	1.19%	0	-0.3	45	0

6	Apr_23_2012	313.33	315.14	313.13	313.71			312.24(-0.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-3	-10000	-1	-7	0.69	53%	0	-57.4	1.19%	0	-0.6	40	0
7	Apr_20_2012	313.33	315.77	313.11	313.95			315.12(1.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-0	-10000	2	-7	0.67	50%	0.02	-54.3	1.2%	0	-0.1	51	0
8	Apr_19_2012	313.26	316.05	312.97	313.57			311.68(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-6	-10000	-4	-13	0.69	50%	0	-56.4	1.23%	0	-0.8	48	0
9	Apr_18_2012	313.25	316.71	312.91	314.34			312.4(-1.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-5	-10000	0	-20	0.64	50%	0.02	-49.4	1.23%	0	-0.8	41	0
10	Apr_17_2012	313.2	317.25	313.36	314.27			317.12(1.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	0	-10000	10	-29	0.68	52%	0.05	-52.3	1.22%	0	-0	40	0

11	Apr_16_2012	313.05	317.85	313.56	312.46			313.44(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-13	-10000	2	-57	0.72	52%	0.05	-51.8	1.22%	0	-0.7	36	0
12	Apr_13_2012	312.89	318.56	313.6	312.13			313.2(-0.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-20	-10000	-1	-78	0.51	52%	0	-52	1.23%	0	-0.8	37	0
13	Apr_12_2012	312.88	319.03	313.71	312.3			315.52(1.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-18	-10000	5	-85	0.72	49%	0.06	-55.3	1.23%	0	-0.6	44	0
14	Apr_11_2012	312.69	319.42	314.21	311.34			312.08(1.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-29	-10000	-5	-101	1.03	49%	0.03	-61.6	1.26%	0	-1.2	37	0
15	Apr_10_2012	312.59	320.16	315.49	312.38			308.08(-1.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-33	-10000	-12	-95	0.83	47%	0.03	-54.4	1.25%	0	-1.9	35	0

16	Apr_9_2012	312.51	321.08	317.29	314.82			311.76(-0.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-21	-10000	-2	-78	0.72	47%	0.05	-50.6	1.25%	0	-1.6	32	0
17	Apr_5_2012	312.35	321.94	318.65	315.23			314.08(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-20	-10000	-0	-80	0.53	47%	0	-49.7	1.23%	0	-1.5	37	0
18	Apr_4_2012	312.35	322.59	319.39	315.28			310.72(-2.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-30	-10000	-11	-87	1.09	47%	0.01	-59.2	1.24%	0	-2.4	41	0
19	Apr_3_2012	312.32	323.36	320.9	317.44			317.28(-0.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-24	-10000	-9	-68	0.63	55%	0.05	-59.8	1.21%	0	-1.4	45	0
20	Apr_2_2012	312.17	323.6	321.54	319.12			320.24(2.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-18	-10000	-6	-54	0.96	55%	0.05	-57	1.31%	0	-0.8	44	0

21	Mar_30_2012	312.02	323.97	322.48	320.3			313.84(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-19	-10000	-11	-42	0.74	53%	0.04	-52.4	1.3%	0	-2.5	38	0
22	Mar_29_2012	311.89	324.64	323.97	322.64			314.32(-2.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-10	-10000	-6	-23	1.6	53%	0.06	-50	1.3%	0	-2.6	36	0
23	Mar_28_2012	311.7	325.63	324.9	324			321.52(-1.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-8	-10000	-4	-18	1.23	56%	0.07	-47.4	1.27%	0	-1.3	45	0
24	Mar_27_2012	311.47	325.94	325.14	324.75			325.68(-0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-1	-10000	2	-11	0.93	59%	0.1	-38.9	1.28%	0	-0.1	51	0
25	Mar_26_2012	311.17	325.97	325.21	324.3			326.16(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-6	-10000	-4	-10	0.54	59%		-40.2	1.29%	0	0.1	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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