Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Apr. 9, 2012

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $311.7600 (-0.74%) ($306.8800 - $312.3200) on Mon. Apr. 9, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.25% (three month average)
RSI   32
Latest Price   $311.7600(-0.74%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO declines -1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(65%)    OIH(60%)    VWO(35%)    EEM(34%)    SPY(32%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -0.625% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-20%)    SHY(-7%)    LQD(1%)    IGOV(2%)    EMHY(3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.625% (StdDev 1.25%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

Resistance Level   $321.08
5 Day Moving Average   $314.82(-0.97%)
10 Day Moving Average   $317.29(-1.74%)
20 Day Moving Average   $321.08(-2.9%)
To recent high   -7.2%
To recent low   5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 1.76% (three month std-dev: 1.25%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120509

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_9_2012	312.51	321.08	317.29	314.82			311.76(-0.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-21	-10000	-2	-78	0.72	47%	0.05	-50.6	1.25%	0	-1.6	32	0
2	Apr_5_2012	312.35	321.94	318.65	315.23			314.08(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-20	-10000	-0	-80	0.53	47%	0	-49.7	1.23%	0	-1.5	37	0
3	Apr_4_2012	312.35	322.59	319.39	315.28			310.72(-2.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-30	-10000	-11	-87	1.09	47%	0.01	-59.2	1.24%	0	-2.4	41	0
4	Apr_3_2012	312.32	323.36	320.9	317.44			317.28(-0.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-24	-10000	-9	-68	0.63	55%	0.05	-59.8	1.21%	0	-1.4	45	0
5	Apr_2_2012	312.17	323.6	321.54	319.12			320.24(2.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-18	-10000	-6	-54	0.96	55%	0.05	-57	1.31%	0	-0.8	44	0

6	Mar_30_2012	312.02	323.97	322.48	320.3			313.84(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-19	-10000	-11	-42	0.74	53%	0.04	-52.4	1.3%	0	-2.5	38	0
7	Mar_29_2012	311.89	324.64	323.97	322.64			314.32(-2.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-10	-10000	-6	-23	1.6	53%	0.06	-50	1.3%	0	-2.6	36	0
8	Mar_28_2012	311.7	325.63	324.9	324			321.52(-1.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-8	-10000	-4	-18	1.23	56%	0.07	-47.4	1.27%	0	-1.3	45	0
9	Mar_27_2012	311.47	325.94	325.14	324.75			325.68(-0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-1	-10000	2	-11	0.93	59%	0.1	-38.9	1.28%	0	-0.1	51	0
10	Mar_26_2012	311.17	325.97	325.21	324.3			326.16(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-6	-10000	-4	-10	0.54	59%	0.12	-40.2	1.29%	0	0.1	57	0

11	Mar_23_2012	310.81	326.12	325.14	325.14			325.52(1.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-4	-10000	-3	-6	2.2	59%	0.12	-13.3	1.31%	0	-0.2	48	0
12	Mar_22_2012	310.45	326.6	325.42	325.68			321.12(-1.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-0	-10000	-1	2	1.33	57%	0.12	17.2	1.3%	0	-1.4	45	0
13	Mar_21_2012	310.07	326.6	326.01	325.9			325.28(0.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	1	-10000	2	-4	1.05	57%	0.15	41.8	1.28%	0	-0.5	40	0
14	Mar_20_2012	309.62	327.1	325.99	325.5			323.44(-2.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-6	-10000	-3	-13	1.22	61%	0.13	56.4	1.3%	0	-1	47	0
15	Mar_19_2012	309.23	327.19	325.83	326.14			330.32(0.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	0	-10000	4	-11	0.72	65%	0.14	81.8	1.34%	0	0.9	54	0

16	Mar_16_2012	308.79	326.61	325.5	325.2			328.24(1.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-6	-10000	-0	-23	1.08	65%	0.13	82.3	1.34%	0	0.4	48	0
17	Mar_15_2012	308.39	325.96	325.25	325.3			322.24(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-12	-10000	-4	-37	3.41	63%	0.14	77.7	1.33%	0	-0.8	36	0
18	Mar_14_2012	307.95	325.61	326.38	326.16			323.28(-1.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-7	-10000	-1	-25	1.09	54%	0.12	81.1	1.34%	0	-0.4	44	0
19	Mar_13_2012	307.57	325.07	326.81	326.48			326.64(0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-0	-10000	5	-16	0.89	54%	0.15	77.6	1.49%	0	0.2	53	0
20	Mar_12_2012	307.12	324.29	326.79	325.36			325.6(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-8	-10000	-2	-25	0.65	54%	0.19	72.4	1.51%	0	0.2	52	0

21	Mar_9_2012	306.54	323.31	327.16	325.79			328.72(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-1	-10000	2	-8	0.94	54%	0.21	66	1.52%	0	0.6	61	0
22	Mar_8_2012	305.9	322.26	327.79	325.28			326.56(0.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-2	-10000	-6	9	0.91	50%	0.21	65.8	1.53%	0	0.5	62	0
23	Mar_7_2012	305.27	321.21	328.22	326.77			324.88(1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	8	-10000	-2	39	1.11	50%	0.18	68.4	1.57%	0	0.4	62	0
24	Mar_6_2012	304.73	320.21	328.28	327.26			321.04(-2.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	11	-10000	-4	57	1.26	50%	0.18	67.3	1.57%	0	0.1	62	0
25	Mar_5_2012	304.18	319.19	328.77	328.32			327.76(0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	21	-10000	-1	85	0.93	53%		62.3	1.54%	0	0.8	70	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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