Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Mar. 26, 2012

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $326.1600 (0.2%) ($324.6400 - $326.7200) on Mon. Mar. 26, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.29% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $326.1600(0.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(65%)    OIH(60%)    VWO(35%)    EEM(34%)    SPY(32%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -0.645% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-20%)    SHY(-7%)    LQD(1%)    IGOV(2%)    TIP(9%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.645% (StdDev 1.29%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $324.3(0.57%)
10 Day Moving Average   $325.21(0.29%)
20 Day Moving Average   $325.97(0.06%)
To recent high   -3%
To recent low   9.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 0.92% (three month std-dev: 1.29%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120426

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_26_2012	311.17	325.97	325.21	324.3			326.16(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-6	-10000	-4	-10	0.54	59%	0.12	-40.2	1.29%	0	0.1	57	0
2	Mar_23_2012	310.81	326.12	325.14	325.14			325.52(1.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-4	-10000	-3	-6	2.2	59%	0.12	-13.3	1.31%	0	-0.2	48	0
3	Mar_22_2012	310.45	326.6	325.42	325.68			321.12(-1.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-0	-10000	-1	2	1.33	57%	0.12	17.2	1.3%	0	-1.4	45	0
4	Mar_21_2012	310.07	326.6	326.01	325.9			325.28(0.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	1	-10000	2	-4	1.05	57%	0.15	41.8	1.28%	0	-0.5	40	0
5	Mar_20_2012	309.62	327.1	325.99	325.5			323.44(-2.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-6	-10000	-3	-13	1.22	61%	0.13	56.4	1.3%	0	-1	47	0

6	Mar_19_2012	309.23	327.19	325.83	326.14			330.32(0.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	0	-10000	4	-11	0.72	65%	0.14	81.8	1.34%	0	0.9	54	0
7	Mar_16_2012	308.79	326.61	325.5	325.2			328.24(1.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-6	-10000	-0	-23	1.08	65%	0.13	82.3	1.34%	0	0.4	48	0
8	Mar_15_2012	308.39	325.96	325.25	325.3			322.24(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-12	-10000	-4	-37	3.41	63%	0.14	77.7	1.33%	0	-0.8	36	0
9	Mar_14_2012	307.95	325.61	326.38	326.16			323.28(-1.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-7	-10000	-1	-25	1.09	54%	0.12	81.1	1.34%	0	-0.4	44	0
10	Mar_13_2012	307.57	325.07	326.81	326.48			326.64(0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-0	-10000	5	-16	0.89	54%	0.15	77.6	1.49%	0	0.2	53	0

11	Mar_12_2012	307.12	324.29	326.79	325.36			325.6(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-8	-10000	-2	-25	0.65	54%	0.19	72.4	1.51%	0	0.2	52	0
12	Mar_9_2012	306.54	323.31	327.16	325.79			328.72(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-1	-10000	2	-8	0.94	54%	0.21	66	1.52%	0	0.6	61	0
13	Mar_8_2012	305.9	322.26	327.79	325.28			326.56(0.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-2	-10000	-6	9	0.91	50%	0.21	65.8	1.53%	0	0.5	62	0
14	Mar_7_2012	305.27	321.21	328.22	326.77			324.88(1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	8	-10000	-2	39	1.11	50%	0.18	68.4	1.57%	0	0.4	62	0
15	Mar_6_2012	304.73	320.21	328.28	327.26			321.04(-2.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	11	-10000	-4	57	1.26	50%	0.18	67.3	1.57%	0	0.1	62	0

16	Mar_5_2012	304.18	319.19	328.77	328.32			327.76(0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	21	-10000	-1	85	0.93	53%	0.2	62.3	1.54%	0	0.8	70	0
17	Mar_2_2012	303.58	317.88	327.91	328.66			326.16(-2.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	20	-10000	-8	102	1.93	53%	0.22	59.7	1.54%	0	0.7	73	0
18	Mar_1_2012	302.91	316.48	326.87	330.64			334(2.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	35	-10000	2	135	3.07	57%	0.24	58.2	1.51%	0	1.4	77	0
19	Feb_29_2012	302.17	314.71	324.86	330.03			327.36(0.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.2	38	-10000	2	147	2.47	54%	0.22	55.5	1.49%	0	1.1	76	0
20	Feb_28_2012	301.51	313.45	323.3	329.5			326.32(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	39	-10000	1	154	1.24	54%	0.21	54.6	1.5%	0	1.1	76	0

21	Feb_27_2012	300.88	312.31	321.71	329.17			329.44(-1.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	50	-10000	9	171	1.42	54%	0.25	54.4	1.51%	0	1.5	83	0
22	Feb_24_2012	300.12	311.08	319.25	326.88			336.08(1.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	56	-10000	18	169	1.5	58%	0.28	54.3	1.49%	0	2.3	88	0
23	Feb_23_2012	299.29	309.5	316.21	322.51			330.96(1.92%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	49	-10000	15	151	1.22	56%	0.29	50.3	1.49%	0	2.3	88	0
24	Feb_22_2012	298.41	308.17	313.47	319.01			324.72(0.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	43	-10000	12	134	1.11	52%	0.3	45.4	1.49%	0	2.2	81	0
25	Feb_21_2012	297.52	307.09	311.32	316.21			324.64(2.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	39	-10000	13	118	1.42	52%		37	1.49%	0	2.6	73	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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