Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Nov. 18, 2011

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $302.5600 (-1.07%) ($298.8000 - $307.4400) on Fri. Nov. 18, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.06% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $302.5600(-1.07%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO advances 3.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(65%)    OIH(59%)    VWO(35%)    EEM(34%)    SPY(33%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -1.03% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-20%)    SHY(-7%)    LQD(1%)    IGOV(3%)    TIP(8%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.03% (StdDev 2.06%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $306.69(-1.35%)
10 Day Moving Average   $303.53(-0.32%)
20 Day Moving Average   $295.35(2.44%)
To recent high   -3.9%
To recent low   27.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 3.62% (three month std-dev: 2.06%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20111218

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_18_2011	279.26	295.35	303.53	306.69			302.56(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	22	-10000	-2	94	1.54	52%	0.02	90.1	2.06%	0	0.7	65	0
2	Nov_17_2011	279.21	293.85	302.56	307.31			305.84(-2.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	26	-10000	2	97	2.39	52%	0.03	83	2.23%	0	1	65	0
3	Nov_16_2011	279.13	291.95	301.11	306.49			314.72(2.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	34	-10000	11	101	2.81	54%	0.09	79.3	2.2%	0	1.8	72	0
4	Nov_15_2011	278.89	289.54	298.15	302.75			307.43(1.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	25	-10000	5	86	1.68	54%	0.08	77.6	2.19%	0	1.5	74	0
5	Nov_14_2011	278.67	287.8	295.61	301.15			302.88(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	22	-10000	4	75	1.1	54%	0.06	78.3	2.21%	0	1.3	64	0

6	Nov_11_2011	278.5	286.04	293.92	299.92			305.68(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	26	-10000	9	75	1.19	58%	0.06	77.9	2.21%	0	1.7	69	0
7	Nov_10_2011	278.32	284.26	292.08	297.12			301.76(1.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	-10000	7	74	1.54	58%	0.02	77.4	2.27%	0	1.5	74	0
8	Nov_9_2011	278.27	282.24	290.77	294.88			296(-1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	-10000	6	84	2.53	58%	0	75.8	2.26%	0	1.2	74	0
9	Nov_8_2011	278.26	280.62	289.25	292.75			299.44(0.92%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	31	-10000	11	89	1.36	52%	0.02	78.1	2.26%	0	1.6	78	0
10	Nov_7_2011	278.2	278.83	287.84	289.18			296.72(1.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	23	-10000	6	75	2.04	52%	0.01	84.7	2.44%	0	1.6	67	0

11	Nov_4_2011	278.16	277.24	286.41	287.02			291.68(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	21	-10000	2	78	1.22	49%	-0.03	91.9	2.43%	0	1.3	69	0
12	Nov_3_2011	278.24	275.5	284.41	286.34			290.56(1.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	-10000	0	73	1.36	49%	-0.04	95	2.54%	0	1.4	64	0
13	Nov_2_2011	278.34	273.77	282.12	286.16			285.36(1.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	22	-10000	3	80	1.29	47%	-0.1	89.4	2.54%	0	1	68	0
14	Nov_1_2011	278.62	271.9	280.34	285.18			281.6(-1.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	17	-10000	-3	77	1.94	47%	-0.09	77.2	2.55%	0	0.7	64	0
15	Oct_31_2011	278.87	269.9	279.54	286.14			285.92(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	25	-10000	2	93	1.2	47%	-0.1	66.5	2.54%	0	1.1	67	0

16	Oct_28_2011	279.14	267.56	277.73	285.57			288.24(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	32	-10000	10	98	1.02	47%	-0.12	60.7	2.54%	0	1.4	66	0
17	Oct_27_2011	279.47	265.34	275.93	282.08			289.68(3.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	34	-10000	13	96	1.52	46%	-0.1	55.7	2.54%	0	1.7	73	0
18	Oct_26_2011	279.76	263.54	273.05	277.47			280.48(-2.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	26	-10000	8	78	2.24	44%	-0.11	52.3	2.52%	0	1.3	70	0
19	Oct_25_2011	280.08	261.98	271.34	274.67			286.4(1.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	26	-10000	8	80	2.94	44%	-0.09	44.2	2.51%	0	1.9	79	0
20	Oct_24_2011	280.34	260.48	268.99	272.03			283.04(4.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	29	-10000	9	90	2.08	44%	-0.12	39.2	2.51%	0	2	81	0

21	Oct_21_2011	280.69	258.82	267.13	268.91			270.8(1.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	25	-10000	-0	99	1.14	41%	-0.17	28.5	2.44%	0	1.2	79	0
22	Oct_20_2011	281.16	257.7	265.74	268.94			266.64(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	31	-10000	3	115	1.5	41%	-0.18	18.5	2.44%	0	0.9	69	0
23	Oct_19_2011	281.66	256.81	264.74	267.86			266.48(-2.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	29	-10000	2	111	1.32	41%	-0.21	3.1	2.44%	0	1	57	0
24	Oct_18_2011	282.24	256.55	262.92	267.23			273.2(2.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	32	-10000	6	110	1.28	42%	-0.03	-3.9	2.43%	0	1.7	64	0
25	Oct_17_2011	282.33	256.11	259.63	265.41			267.44(-1.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	-10000	1	84	0.81	42%		-14.8	2.42%	0	1.2	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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