Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Nov. 8, 2011

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $299.4400 (0.92%) ($295.3600 - $299.5200) on Tue. Nov. 8, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.26% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $299.4400(0.92%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO advances 3.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(65%)    OIH(59%)    VWO(35%)    EEM(34%)    SPY(33%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -1.13% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-20%)    SHY(-7%)    LQD(1%)    IGOV(3%)    TIP(8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.13% (StdDev 2.26%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $292.75(2.29%)
10 Day Moving Average   $289.25(3.52%)
20 Day Moving Average   $280.62(6.71%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   25.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 4.11% (three month std-dev: 2.26%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20111208

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_8_2011	278.26	280.62	289.25	292.75			299.44(0.92%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	31	-10000	11	89	1.36	52%	0.02	78.1	2.26%	0	1.6	78	0
2	Nov_7_2011	278.2	278.83	287.84	289.18			296.72(1.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	23	-10000	6	75	2.04	52%	0.01	84.7	2.44%	0	1.6	67	0
3	Nov_4_2011	278.16	277.24	286.41	287.02			291.68(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	21	-10000	2	78	1.22	49%	-0.03	91.9	2.43%	0	1.3	69	0
4	Nov_3_2011	278.24	275.5	284.41	286.34			290.56(1.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	-10000	0	73	1.36	49%	-0.04	95	2.54%	0	1.4	64	0
5	Nov_2_2011	278.34	273.77	282.12	286.16			285.36(1.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	22	-10000	3	80	1.29	47%	-0.1	89.4	2.54%	0	1	68	0

6	Nov_1_2011	278.62	271.9	280.34	285.18			281.6(-1.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	17	-10000	-3	77	1.94	47%	-0.09	77.2	2.55%	0	0.7	64	0
7	Oct_31_2011	278.87	269.9	279.54	286.14			285.92(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	25	-10000	2	93	1.2	47%	-0.1	66.5	2.54%	0	1.1	67	0
8	Oct_28_2011	279.14	267.56	277.73	285.57			288.24(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	32	-10000	10	98	1.02	47%	-0.12	60.7	2.54%	0	1.4	66	0
9	Oct_27_2011	279.47	265.34	275.93	282.08			289.68(3.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	34	-10000	13	96	1.52	46%	-0.1	55.7	2.54%	0	1.7	73	0
10	Oct_26_2011	279.76	263.54	273.05	277.47			280.48(-2.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	26	-10000	8	78	2.24	44%	-0.11	52.3	2.52%	0	1.3	70	0

11	Oct_25_2011	280.08	261.98	271.34	274.67			286.4(1.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	26	-10000	8	80	2.94	44%	-0.09	44.2	2.51%	0	1.9	79	0
12	Oct_24_2011	280.34	260.48	268.99	272.03			283.04(4.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	29	-10000	9	90	2.08	44%	-0.12	39.2	2.51%	0	2	81	0
13	Oct_21_2011	280.69	258.82	267.13	268.91			270.8(1.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	25	-10000	-0	99	1.14	41%	-0.17	28.5	2.44%	0	1.2	79	0
14	Oct_20_2011	281.16	257.7	265.74	268.94			266.64(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	31	-10000	3	115	1.5	41%	-0.18	18.5	2.44%	0	0.9	69	0
15	Oct_19_2011	281.66	256.81	264.74	267.86			266.48(-2.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	29	-10000	2	111	1.32	41%	-0.21	3.1	2.44%	0	1	57	0

16	Oct_18_2011	282.24	256.55	262.92	267.23			273.2(2.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	32	-10000	6	110	1.28	42%	-0.03	-3.9	2.43%	0	1.7	64	0
17	Oct_17_2011	282.33	256.11	259.63	265.41			267.44(-1.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	-10000	1	84	0.81	42%	-0.18	-14.8	2.42%	0	1.2	54	0
18	Oct_14_2011	282.85	255.93	256.78	265.1			270.96(3.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	26	-10000	9	75	1.04	42%	-0.16	-19.4	2.42%	0	1.5	61	0
19	Oct_13_2011	283.31	255.86	254.02	262.18			261.2(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	16	-10000	3	54	1.28	39%	-0.21	-25.5	2.39%	0	0.5	58	0
20	Oct_12_2011	283.91	256.5	253.36	261.1			263.36(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	-10000	11	59	0.93	39%	-0.18	-26.6	2.39%	0	0.6	59	0

21	Oct_11_2011	284.43	256.94	251.93	257.78			264.08(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	20	-10000	16	30	1.52	39%	-0.15	-33.7	2.4%	0	0.6	49	0
22	Oct_10_2011	284.87	257.52	251.19	252.82			265.92(3.75%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.1	14	-10000	19	-3	1.43	39%	-0.18	-39.9	2.41%	0	0.7	47	0
23	Oct_7_2011	285.38	257.85	249.59	247.22			256.32(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-6	-10000	9	-52	1.97	36%	-0.2	-49.7	2.37%	0	-0.1	43	0
24	Oct_6_2011	285.95	258.53	248.76	244.74			255.84(3.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-23	-10000	0	-91	1.75	36%	-0.22	-55	2.38%	0	-0.2	39	0
25	Oct_5_2011	286.57	259.45	247.99	244.72			246.72(3.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-32	-10000	-2	-120	2.47	35%		-53.9	2.33%	0	-0.9	31	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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