Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Sep. 26, 2011

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $251.7600 (1.22%) ($241.8400 - $252.0000) on Mon. Sep. 26, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.19% (three month average)
RSI   39
Latest Price   $251.7600(1.22%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO declines -1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO declines -3.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(65%)    OIH(60%)    VWO(36%)    EEM(35%)    SPY(34%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -1.095% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-21%)    SHY(-7%)    LQD(1%)    IGOV(3%)    TIP(8%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.095% (StdDev 2.19%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.5%

Resistance Level   $268.92
5 Day Moving Average   $256.06(-1.68%)
10 Day Moving Average   $264.36(-4.77%)
20 Day Moving Average   $268.92(-6.38%)
To recent high   -19.2%
To recent low   1.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 3.39% (three month std-dev: 2.19%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20111026

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_26_2011	291.51	268.92	264.36	256.06			251.76(1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-32	-10000	-10	-98	1.33	37%	-0.21	-29.5	2.19%	0	-1.9	39	0
2	Sep_23_2011	292.11	269.71	266.77	258.98			248.72(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-33	-10000	-17	-81	2	35%	-0.23	-18.6	2.19%	0	-2.5	36	0
3	Sep_22_2011	292.78	270.62	269.17	263.86			249.04(-5.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-29	-10000	-19	-59	2.74	35%	-0.34	3.6	2.21%	0	-3.2	32	0
4	Sep_21_2011	293.77	271.56	272.03	269.41			263.36(-1.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-13	-10000	-8	-27	1.53	39%	-0.31	30.2	2.12%	0	-1.7	39	0
5	Sep_20_2011	294.69	271.83	273.5	271.68			267.44(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-9	-10000	-8	-12	0.96	39%	-0.31	42.4	2.11%	0	-0.9	43	0

6	Sep_19_2011	295.62	271.62	273.75	273.95			266.32(-2.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-5	-10000	-6	-1	1.08	39%	-0.33	41.7	2.11%	0	-1	47	0
7	Sep_16_2011	296.59	271.26	274.17	275.76			273.12(-1.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	6	-10000	2	16	1.31	39%	-0.3	38.1	2.11%	0	0.3	60	0
8	Sep_15_2011	297.47	270.37	274.42	275.3			276.8(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	7	-10000	1	25	1.13	36%	-0.28	22.6	2.1%	0	0.9	65	0
9	Sep_14_2011	298.32	270.08	274.31	275.07			274.72(-1.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	7	-10000	-2	33	1.37	39%	-0.27	34.1	2.15%	0	0.7	62	0
10	Sep_13_2011	299.14	269.84	274.37	275.63			278.8(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	-10000	7	48	1.22	39%	-0.26	49.4	2.16%	0	1.3	62	0

11	Sep_12_2011	299.93	269.52	273.63	273.62			275.36(1.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	-10000	4	46	1.21	39%	-0.09	58.6	2.17%	0	0.9	65	0
12	Sep_9_2011	300.19	269.02	272.67	272.37			270.8(-1.77%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	9	-10000	-3	44	1.36	37%	-0.29	50.4	2.18%	0	0.3	67	0
13	Sep_8_2011	301.07	268.8	272.08	273.36			275.68(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	16	-10000	-0	62	1.16	37%	-0.27	53	2.17%	0	1.1	75	0
14	Sep_7_2011	301.88	267.77	271	273.44			277.52(3.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	-10000	1	57	1.35	37%	-0.22	28.1	2.19%	0	1.4	53	0
15	Sep_6_2011	302.56	266.56	269.94	273.04			268.72(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	12	-10000	-2	53	1.11	33%	-0.41	1.9	2.15%	0	0.3	49	0

16	Sep_2_2011	303.8	265.79	269.33	273.63			269.12(-2.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	15	-10000	3	49	1.49	33%	-0.26	-22.8	2.14%	0	0.4	46	0
17	Sep_1_2011	304.58	265.86	268.24	272.85			275.76(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	16	-10000	8	39	1.07	33%	-0.22	-41.7	2.12%	0	1.3	58	0
18	Aug_31_2011	305.26	265.48	266.08	270.45			276.08(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	9	-10000	8	13	1.18	33%	-0.21	-61.5	2.14%	0	1.2	57	0
19	Aug_30_2011	305.9	265.84	265.49	268.16			275.52(1.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	8	-10000	6	15	1.17	33%	-0.24	-67.6	2.16%	0	1	65	0
20	Aug_29_2011	306.65	266.44	264.83	266.53			271.68(2.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	11	-10000	7	23	0.88	33%	-0.3	-68.2	2.16%	0	0.4	65	0

21	Aug_26_2011	307.56	267.54	264.86	264.54			265.2(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	13	-10000	6	32	1.79	30%	-0.29	-67.7	2.14%	0	-0.2	62	0
22	Aug_25_2011	308.44	269.1	264.92	262.9			263.76(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	10	-10000	7	18	1.46	30%	-0.27	-66.8	2.14%	0	-0.3	46	0
23	Aug_24_2011	309.29	270.93	265.18	260.9			264.64(-1.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-4	-10000	-5	-1	1.61	30%	-0.26	-66.6	2.15%	0	-0.4	47	0
24	Aug_23_2011	310.11	272.76	264.26	262.38			267.36(2.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-7	-10000	-2	-22	2.18	29%	-0.26	-59.9	2.17%	0	-0.3	40	0
25	Aug_22_2011	310.91	274.76	262.9	263.04			261.76(1.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-20	-10000	-8	-57	1.8	29%		-54.9	2.17%	0	-0.7	35	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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