Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. May. 2, 2011

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $359.4400 (-0.49%) ($359.3600 - $364.8000) on Mon. May. 2, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.72% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $359.4400(-0.49%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(65%)    OIH(60%)    VWO(37%)    EEM(36%)    SPY(35%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -0.86% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-22%)    SHY(-7%)    LQD(1%)    IGOV(5%)    TIP(6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.86% (StdDev 1.72%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $359.06(0.11%)
10 Day Moving Average   $355.18(1.2%)
20 Day Moving Average   $351.52(2.25%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   27%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 1.99% (three month std-dev: 1.72%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110602

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_2_2011	319.96	351.52	355.18	359.06			359.44(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	20	-10000	2	72	1.53	63%	0.19	79.4	1.72%	0	1.1	59	0
2	Apr_29_2011	319.36	350.8	354.2	358.42			361.2(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	17	-10000	3	59	0.84	65%	0.19	84.6	1.73%	0	1.5	48	0
3	Apr_28_2011	318.76	349.77	352.69	357.49			358.64(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	-10000	3	50	1.44	67%	0.18	86.4	1.74%	0	1.3	54	0
4	Apr_27_2011	318.2	348.53	351.06	356.51			360.16(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	18	-10000	10	42	1.55	65%	0.19	74.9	1.82%	0	1.6	58	0
5	Apr_26_2011	317.6	347.26	348.89	353.2			355.84(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	11	-10000	8	19	0.73	66%	0.16	61.7	1.85%	0	1.2	58	0

6	Apr_25_2011	317.08	346.06	348.12	350.64			356.24(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	5	-10000	4	6	0.83	64%	0.21	50.7	1.86%	0	1.3	57	0
7	Apr_21_2011	316.42	345.11	348.39	349.33			356.56(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	8	-10000	6	14	0.82	62%	0.19	53	1.88%	0	1.5	58	0
8	Apr_20_2011	315.82	344.07	347.79	347.26			353.76(2.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	9	-10000	7	13	1.56	60%	0.21	55	1.88%	0	1.3	59	0
9	Apr_19_2011	315.15	343.21	347.05	344.91			343.6(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	5	-10000	3	11	0.96	58%	0.16	60.3	1.88%	0	0.1	60	0
10	Apr_18_2011	314.65	342.84	347.23	343.87			343.04(-1.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-0	-10000	-4	11	1.35	58%	0.18	65.2	1.88%	0	0	58	0

11	Apr_15_2011	314.09	342.21	347.6	345.09			349.68(0.99%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	2	-10000	-7	29	1.41	60%	0.12	66.4	1.86%	0	0.9	65	0
12	Apr_14_2011	313.72	341.14	347.17	347.39			346.24(1.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	10	-10000	-4	50	1.23	60%	0.19	72.9	1.88%	0	0.6	57	0
13	Apr_13_2011	313.13	340.15	346.7	348.53			342(1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	13	-10000	-3	62	1.74	60%	0.21	66	1.87%	0	0.2	56	0
14	Apr_12_2011	312.48	339.03	346.02	349.52			338.4(-3.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	13	-10000	-4	65	2.27	60%	0.19	54.1	1.87%	0	-0.1	53	0
15	Apr_11_2011	311.88	337.99	345.84	350.8			349.12(-3.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	21	-10000	2	77	1.81	64%	0.22	47	1.83%	0	1	63	0

16	Apr_8_2011	311.19	336.88	344.16	350.19			361.2(2.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	29	-10000	10	84	1.57	68%	0.26	41.5	1.77%	0	2.2	81	0
17	Apr_7_2011	310.39	335	341.63	347.02			351.92(1.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	24	-10000	7	76	1.18	66%	0.25	33.2	1.76%	0	1.8	78	0
18	Apr_6_2011	309.63	333.88	340	344.8			346.96(0.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	26	-10000	9	76	1.36	64%	0.21	30.1	1.76%	0	1.5	77	0
19	Apr_5_2011	308.98	333.26	338.93	342.06			344.8(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	25	-10000	7	79	1.23	64%	0.18	25.5	1.78%	0	1.4	81	0
20	Apr_4_2011	308.43	332.85	337.95	340.03			346.08(0.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	30	-10000	10	89	1.28	61%	0.18	27.8	1.78%	0	1.7	84	0

21	Apr_1_2011	307.87	332.38	336.23	337.09			345.36(1.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	22	-10000	5	73	1.88	61%	0.14	34.4	1.8%	0	1.8	64	0
22	Mar_31_2011	307.43	331.93	334.44	335.5			340.8(2.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	19	-10000	3	67	1.65	63%	0.12	45.1	1.81%	0	1.3	63	0
23	Mar_30_2011	307.06	331.33	332.93	334.62			333.28(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	13	-10000	-2	56	0.87	60%	0.12	56.4	1.81%	0	0.3	52	0
24	Mar_29_2011	306.68	331.21	331.49	335.34			334.64(0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	10	-10000	-1	44	0.99	60%	0.12	67.5	1.83%	0	0.5	47	0
25	Mar_28_2011	306.32	330.69	329.65	335.5			331.36(-1.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	8	-10000	2	26	1.53	60%		70.9	1.82%	0	0.1	43	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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