Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ USO: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Feb. 1, 2011

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $304.5600 (-1.4%) ($304.0000 - $310.7200) on Tue. Feb. 1, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.63% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $304.5600(-1.4%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO declines -1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(65%)    OIH(60%)    VWO(37%)    EEM(36%)    SPY(34%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -0.815% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-22%)    SHY(-7%)    LQD(1%)    IGOV(5%)    TIP(7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.815% (StdDev 1.63%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $299.28(1.76%)
10 Day Moving Average   $299.1(1.83%)
20 Day Moving Average   $303.08(0.49%)
To recent high   -2.5%
To recent low   9.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 2.28% (three month std-dev: 1.63%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110301

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_1_2011	292.33	303.08	299.1	299.28			304.56(-1.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-6	-10000	12	-59	2.03	55%	0.11	-39	1.63%	0	0.2	44	0
2	Jan_31_2011	292	303.41	299.46	296.4			308.88(2.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.7	-11	-10000	11	-75	3.42	55%	0.14	-47.3	1.63%	0	0.8	52	0
3	Jan_28_2011	291.6	303.49	299.48	293.71			300.64(4.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-22	-10000	1	-90	3.78	52%	0.13	-56.8	1.6%	0	-0.4	50	0
4	Jan_27_2011	291.22	303.72	300.24	293.6			287.52(-2.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-33	-10000	-12	-95	1.23	48%	0.08	-60.4	1.49%	0	-2.2	38	0
5	Jan_26_2011	290.99	304.94	302.72	296.21			294.8(1.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-28	-10000	-12	-74	1.38	50%	0.11	-56.3	1.46%	0	-1.6	37	0

6	Jan_25_2011	290.66	305.79	304.37	298.91			290.16(-1.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-26	-10000	-18	-51	1.21	49%	0	-42.1	1.45%	0	-2.6	37	0
7	Jan_24_2011	290.66	306.84	306.06	302.85			295.44(-1.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-19	-10000	-15	-29	1.34	51%	0.11	-24.2	1.43%	0	-2.4	34	0
8	Jan_21_2011	290.34	307.7	306.84	306.03			300.08(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-10	-10000	-8	-16	1.03	52%	0.12	3	1.43%	0	-1.8	38	0
9	Jan_20_2011	290	308.19	307.11	307.86			300.56(-2.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-9	-10000	-10	-7	1.71	55%	0.13	23.2	1.46%	0	-2	48	0
10	Jan_19_2011	289.62	308.53	307.93	310.13			308.32(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	1	-10000	-2	10	0.81	53%	0.19	49.1	1.46%	0	-0.1	48	0

11	Jan_18_2011	289.08	308.36	307.59	310.67			309.84(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	5	-10000	4	8	0.72	55%	0.24	55.9	1.57%	0	0.4	48	0
12	Jan_14_2011	288.4	308.01	307.77	309.78			311.36(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	8	-10000	8	7	0.76	55%	0.18	47.1	1.6%	0	0.9	51	0
13	Jan_13_2011	287.89	307.56	307.75	307.78			309.2(-0.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	3	-10000	6	-7	0.8	55%	0.18	29	1.6%	0	0.4	47	0
14	Jan_12_2011	287.38	307.31	307.33	306.22			311.92(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.5	-4	-10000	3	-24	0.93	55%	0.21	18.4	1.6%	0	1.2	53	0
15	Jan_11_2011	286.79	306.86	307.11	305.47			311.04(1.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.5	-2	-10000	5	-24	0.88	55%	0.19	14.5	1.6%	0	1.1	55	0

16	Jan_10_2011	286.26	306.46	307.05	304.19			305.36(1.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-12	-10000	-6	-31	0.98	53%	0.15	1.6	1.6%	0	-0.3	53	0
17	Jan_7_2011	285.83	306.29	307.48	305.6			301.36(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-11	-10000	-9	-15	1.03	52%	0.13	6.3	1.61%	0	-1.3	51	0
18	Jan_6_2011	285.47	306.44	308.56	307.73			301.44(-2.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.7	1	-10000	-3	12	1.4	52%	0.11	23.4	1.63%	0	-1.3	52	0
19	Jan_5_2011	285.15	306.6	309.41	308.43			308.16(1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	5	-10000	-2	24	1.58	55%	0.13	37.5	1.61%	0	0.4	57	0
20	Jan_4_2011	284.77	306.32	309.27	308.91			304.64(-2.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	4	-10000	-5	30	1.76	55%	0.13	57.7	1.61%	0	-0.4	54	0

21	Jan_3_2011	284.4	306.39	309.35	310.24			312.4(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	13	-10000	2	45	0.61	57%	0.15	82.8	1.58%	0	1.6	66	0
22	Dec_31_2010	283.97	306.05	308.39	309.7			312(2.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	11	-10000	0	43	0.98	59%	0.14	110.6	1.59%	0	1.7	68	0
23	Dec_30_2010	283.56	305.55	307.42	309.66			304.96(-1.8%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.4	8	-10000	-3	41	0.9	60%	0.1	137.4	1.59%	0	-0.2	54	0
24	Dec_29_2010	283.28	305.22	307.38	310.5			310.56(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	15	-10000	3	50	0.39	63%	0.08	152.1	1.6%	0	1.5	66	0
25	Dec_28_2010	283.04	304.17	306.64	309.65			311.28(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	-10000	6	46	0.5	63%		116.5	1.62%	0	1.4	70	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.