Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jan. 14, 2011

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $311.3600 (0.7%) ($307.5200 - $311.6000) on Fri. Jan. 14, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.6% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $311.3600(0.7%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(65%)    OIH(60%)    VWO(37%)    EEM(36%)    SPY(34%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -0.8% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-22%)    SHY(-7%)    LQD(1%)    IGOV(5%)    TIP(7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.8% (StdDev 1.6%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $309.78(0.51%)
10 Day Moving Average   $307.77(1.17%)
20 Day Moving Average   $308.01(1.09%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   12.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 1.19% (three month std-dev: 1.6%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110214

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_14_2011	288.4	308.01	307.77	309.78			311.36(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	8	-10000	8	7	0.76	55%	0.18	47.1	1.6%	0	0.9	51	0
2	Jan_13_2011	287.89	307.56	307.75	307.78			309.2(-0.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	3	-10000	6	-7	0.8	55%	0.18	29	1.6%	0	0.4	47	0
3	Jan_12_2011	287.38	307.31	307.33	306.22			311.92(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.5	-4	-10000	3	-24	0.93	55%	0.21	18.4	1.6%	0	1.2	53	0
4	Jan_11_2011	286.79	306.86	307.11	305.47			311.04(1.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.5	-2	-10000	5	-24	0.88	55%	0.19	14.5	1.6%	0	1.1	55	0
5	Jan_10_2011	286.26	306.46	307.05	304.19			305.36(1.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-12	-10000	-6	-31	0.98	53%	0.15	1.6	1.6%	0	-0.3	53	0

6	Jan_7_2011	285.83	306.29	307.48	305.6			301.36(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-11	-10000	-9	-15	1.03	52%	0.13	6.3	1.61%	0	-1.3	51	0
7	Jan_6_2011	285.47	306.44	308.56	307.73			301.44(-2.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.7	1	-10000	-3	12	1.4	52%	0.11	23.4	1.63%	0	-1.3	52	0
8	Jan_5_2011	285.15	306.6	309.41	308.43			308.16(1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	5	-10000	-2	24	1.58	55%	0.13	37.5	1.61%	0	0.4	57	0
9	Jan_4_2011	284.77	306.32	309.27	308.91			304.64(-2.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	4	-10000	-5	30	1.76	55%	0.13	57.7	1.61%	0	-0.4	54	0
10	Jan_3_2011	284.4	306.39	309.35	310.24			312.4(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	13	-10000	2	45	0.61	57%	0.15	82.8	1.58%	0	1.6	66	0

11	Dec_31_2010	283.97	306.05	308.39	309.7			312(2.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	11	-10000	0	43	0.98	59%	0.14	110.6	1.59%	0	1.7	68	0
12	Dec_30_2010	283.56	305.55	307.42	309.66			304.96(-1.8%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.4	8	-10000	-3	41	0.9	60%	0.1	137.4	1.59%	0	-0.2	54	0
13	Dec_29_2010	283.28	305.22	307.38	310.5			310.56(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	15	-10000	3	50	0.39	63%	0.08	152.1	1.6%	0	1.5	66	0
14	Dec_28_2010	283.04	304.17	306.64	309.65			311.28(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	-10000	6	46	0.5	63%	0.07	116.5	1.62%	0	1.4	70	0
15	Dec_27_2010	282.85	303.32	305.8	308.27			309.68(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	-10000	6	35	0.48	63%	0.04	119	1.62%	0	1.2	56	0

16	Dec_23_2010	282.75	302.27	304.95	306.83			311.84(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	11	-10000	8	21	0.55	65%	0.06	100.5	1.62%	0	1.6	59	0
17	Dec_22_2010	282.58	301.12	304.04	304.89			309.12(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	5	-10000	4	8	0.64	65%	0.05	97	1.62%	0	1.3	64	0
18	Dec_21_2010	282.44	299.71	303.44	303.85			306.32(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	4	-10000	3	7	0.53	65%	0.05	74.7	1.62%	0	0.9	68	0
19	Dec_20_2010	282.3	298.47	303.02	303.22			304.4(0.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	5	-10000	1	18	0.69	65%	0.08	58.3	1.64%	0	0.7	77	0
20	Dec_17_2010	282.08	297.39	303.12	302.97			302.48(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	8	-10000	1	29	0.84	65%	0.08	49.2	1.65%	0	0.6	62	0

21	Dec_16_2010	281.86	296.5	303.49	302.73			302.12(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	11	-10000	-1	47	0.69	65%	0.1	37.9	1.66%	0	0.6	68	0
22	Dec_15_2010	281.58	295.35	303.53	303.01			303.92(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	-10000	0	65	0.99	65%	0.1	24	1.67%	0	0.9	69	0
23	Dec_14_2010	281.31	294.33	302.95	302.96			303.2(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	23	-10000	1	87	0.55	65%	0.07	18.2	1.68%	0	0.9	75	0
24	Dec_13_2010	281.11	293.73	301.6	302.8			303.12(0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	23	-10000	-2	96	0.71	65%	0.07	14.3	1.68%	0	1	74	0
25	Dec_10_2010	280.91	293.11	300.76	303.33			301.28(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	26	-10000	-4	116	0.67	66%		11.9	1.68%	0	0.9	71	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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