Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 22, 2010

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $283.3600 (3.57%) ($278.9600 - $284.4800) on Thu. Jul. 22, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.15% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $283.3600(3.57%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(65%)    OIH(60%)    EEM(37%)    VWO(37%)    SPY(35%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -1.075% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-22%)    SHY(-8%)    LQD(0%)    IGOV(5%)    TIP(6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.075% (StdDev 2.15%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $276.9(2.33%)
10 Day Moving Average   $276.23(2.58%)
20 Day Moving Average   $273.88(3.46%)
To recent high   -14.6%
To recent low   11.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 2.37% (three month std-dev: 2.15%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100822

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_22_2010	295.78	273.88	276.23	276.9			283.36(3.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	18	-10000	5	58	1.36	45%	-0.11	-8.9	2.15%	0	1.5	70	0
2	Jul_21_2010	296.1	273.36	275.22	275.55			273.6(-1.78%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	11	-10000	-3	52	1.1	42%	-0.13	-22.8	2.1%	0	0	52	0
3	Jul_20_2010	296.48	273.64	274.86	276.29			278.56(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	-10000	0	55	0.94	42%	-0.1	-20.4	2.09%	0	0.8	54	0
4	Jul_19_2010	296.77	273.77	273.18	276.16			275.68(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	12	-10000	4	37	1.03	42%	-0.12	-15.2	2.08%	0	0.3	43	0
5	Jul_16_2010	297.12	274.09	271.78	275.07			273.28(-1.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	1	-10000	-1	6	1.08	41%	-0.11	-12.9	2.08%	0	-0.1	38	0

6	Jul_15_2010	297.45	274.45	270.81	275.36			276.64(-0.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	1	-10000	2	-3	1.12	41%	-0.12	-9.8	2.1%	0	0.3	51	0
7	Jul_14_2010	297.81	274.75	270.23	274.8			277.28(-0.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	3	-10000	6	-7	1.08	42%	-0.1	-4.2	2.1%	0	0.3	52	0
8	Jul_13_2010	298.11	274.93	269.71	273.18			277.92(2.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	4	-10000	12	-21	0.95	42%	-0.12	-0.4	2.12%	0	0.4	48	0
9	Jul_12_2010	298.46	274.75	269.87	269.78			270.24(-1.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-6	-10000	7	-44	0.92	40%	-0.14	-4.9	2.09%	0	-0.6	40	0
10	Jul_9_2010	298.89	274.97	271.21	267.89			274.72(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-8	-10000	8	-54	0.81	40%	-0.12	-4.2	2.08%	0	-0	42	0

11	Jul_8_2010	299.25	275.13	271.18	265.54			273.84(1.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-18	-10000	2	-77	1.03	40%	-0.1	-10.9	2.08%	0	-0.2	44	0
12	Jul_7_2010	299.55	275.05	271.13	265.1			269.2(3.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-26	-10000	-3	-93	1.66	40%	-0.11	-11.6	2.06%	0	-0.8	37	0
13	Jul_6_2010	299.89	274.95	272.16	265.94			260.88(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-36	-10000	-15	-98	1.01	38%	-0.1	-8.4	2.02%	0	-1.9	31	0
14	Jul_2_2010	300.19	275.1	274.37	270.1			260.8(-0.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-31	-10000	-18	-69	0.95	39%	-0.11	0.3	2.02%	0	-1.8	41	0
15	Jul_1_2010	300.53	275.28	276.71	274.99			262.96(-3.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-14	-10000	-9	-28	1.74	41%	-0.1	10.9	2.04%	0	-1.7	44	0

16	Jun_30_2010	300.83	275.92	278.65	277.42			271.68(-0.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-4	-10000	-2	-9	1.46	43%	-0.06	30.4	2.02%	0	-0.6	46	0
17	Jun_29_2010	301.01	275.9	279.91	277.87			273.36(-2.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-3	-10000	-5	5	1.38	45%	-0.03	41	2.02%	0	-0.4	54	0
18	Jun_28_2010	301.09	275.57	280.82	279.2			281.68(-1.26%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	7	-10000	-1	30	0.61	47%	0	50.9	2.03%	0	0.8	66	0
19	Jun_25_2010	301.09	275.08	280.17	279.39			285.28(3.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	12	-10000	1	46	1.63	47%	-0	62.6	2.02%	0	1.4	73	0
20	Jun_24_2010	301.1	274.48	279.03	278.99			275.12(0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	11	-10000	-4	57	1	43%	-0.09	76.6	1.96%	0	0.1	67	0

21	Jun_23_2010	301.37	273.83	279.39	280.19			273.92(-2.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	12	-10000	-7	69	1.57	43%	-0.09	71.2	1.97%	0	0	51	0
22	Jun_22_2010	301.64	272.97	279.3	282.19			280(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	21	-10000	-1	88	0.96	44%	-0.05	62.9	1.96%	0	0.8	59	0
23	Jun_21_2010	301.78	271.87	277.97	282.56			282.64(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	29	-10000	6	96	1.22	44%	-0.01	54.7	1.96%	0	1.2	64	0
24	Jun_18_2010	301.8	270.65	275.89	280.96			283.28(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	24	-10000	7	76	0.81	43%	-0.02	39.4	1.97%	0	1.4	57	0
25	Jun_17_2010	301.86	269.36	273.75	279.07			281.12(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	-10000	2	50	1.07	43%		17.7	1.97%	0	1.3	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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