Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Mar. 10, 2010

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $319.2000 (0.88%) ($314.7200 - $323.2400) on Wed. Mar. 10, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.67% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $319.2000(0.88%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(65%)    OIH(60%)    EEM(38%)    VWO(38%)    SPY(36%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -0.835% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    SHY(-8%)    LQD(0%)    TIP(6%)    IGOV(6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.835% (StdDev 1.67%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $317.18(0.64%)
10 Day Moving Average   $313.65(1.77%)
20 Day Moving Average   $308.95(3.32%)
To recent high   -2.6%
To recent low   13.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 2.69% (three month std-dev: 1.67%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100410

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_10_2010	308.47	308.95	313.65	317.18			319.2(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	13	-10000	3	42	1.89	59%	-0.01	88.8	1.67%	0	1.2	59	0
2	Mar_9_2010	308.51	307.51	312.87	316.38			316.4(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	16	-10000	5	47	1	56%	-0.03	76	1.67%	0	1	62	0
3	Mar_8_2010	308.61	305.81	311.91	315.18			318.32(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	-10000	9	45	0.98	56%	-0.02	57.1	1.71%	0	1.2	65	0
4	Mar_5_2010	308.67	304.03	311.21	312.88			318.8(1.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	18	-10000	6	52	1.26	53%	0	46.4	1.74%	0	1.3	73	0
5	Mar_4_2010	308.67	302.41	310.49	311.23			313.2(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	-10000	6	62	1.24	52%	0.01	41.2	1.74%	0	1	66	0

6	Mar_3_2010	308.63	301.75	310.13	309.57			315.2(1.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	19	-10000	2	69	1.55	52%	0.04	43.9	1.74%	0	1.3	69	0
7	Mar_2_2010	308.52	300.92	308.99	308.91			310.4(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	23	-10000	3	83	1.27	52%	0.03	48.4	1.73%	0	0.9	69	0
8	Mar_1_2010	308.43	300.07	308.23	308.16			306.8(-1.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	22	-10000	-4	100	1.21	52%	0.03	47.2	1.74%	0	0.7	72	0
9	Feb_26_2010	308.33	299.02	306.79	309.25			310.56(1.86%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	29	-10000	-2	120	1.14	49%	0.06	46.7	1.75%	0	1.1	74	0
10	Feb_25_2010	308.15	297.93	305.23	309.68			304.88(-2.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	30	-10000	-4	133	1.75	49%	0.06	45.3	1.75%	0	0.7	66	0

11	Feb_24_2010	307.97	297.12	304.08	310.67			311.92(1.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	39	-10000	6	137	1.25	52%	0.06	42.3	1.76%	0	1.5	56	0
12	Feb_23_2010	307.77	296.06	301.89	309.04			306.64(-1.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	32	-10000	3	117	1.41	52%	0.06	31.1	1.76%	0	1.1	54	0
13	Feb_22_2010	307.59	295.4	299.44	308.18			312.24(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	39	-10000	16	107	1.42	54%	0.08	23.6	1.75%	0	1.8	62	0
14	Feb_19_2010	307.33	294.24	296.39	303.82			312.72(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	30	-10000	14	76	2.11	51%	0.08	0	1.75%	0	2.2	67	0
15	Feb_18_2010	307.09	293.37	293.65	300.13			309.84(2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	23	-10000	14	49	2.02	51%	0.07	-23.6	1.77%	0	2.2	62	0

16	Feb_17_2010	306.88	292.89	292.5	296.58			303.76(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	18	-10000	11	39	1.29	49%	0.1	-50	1.75%	0	1.6	60	0
17	Feb_16_2010	306.57	293.11	291.93	293.76			302.32(4.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	21	-10000	17	32	1.89	52%	0.21	-63.1	1.75%	0	1.2	56	0
18	Feb_12_2010	305.94	293.23	290.93	289.44			290.48(-1.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	5	-10000	7	-1	1.57	45%	0.06	-86.9	1.7%	0	-0.4	47	0
19	Feb_11_2010	305.75	294.25	290.46	287.68			294.24(0.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	-0	-10000	6	-19	1.5	45%	0.04	-89.7	1.74%	0	-0	53	0
20	Feb_10_2010	305.62	295.12	289.93	286.11			292.08(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-16	-10000	-7	-44	1.29	45%	-0.01	-92.4	1.74%	0	-0.3	45	0

21	Feb_9_2010	305.65	296.28	289.57	287.94			289.68(3.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-18	-10000	-8	-49	1.59	45%	0.01	-82.6	1.73%	0	-0.6	40	0
22	Feb_8_2010	305.62	297.91	289.78	290.05			280.72(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-22	-10000	-10	-58	1.53	41%	-0.06	-68.6	1.7%	0	-1.4	28	0
23	Feb_5_2010	305.79	300.2	291.22	292.65			281.68(-1.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-15	-10000	-3	-51	3.67	39%	-0.06	-55.6	1.73%	0	-1.4	33	0
24	Feb_4_2010	305.98	302.38	292.25	293.34			286.4(-4.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-19	-10000	-2	-71	2.61	39%	-0.04	-49.4	1.72%	0	-1.2	33	0
25	Feb_3_2010	306.11	304.42	293.41	293.92			301.2(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-13	-10000	11	-84	2.25	43%		-41.8	1.62%	0	-0.2	38	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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