Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ USO: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Oct. 29, 2009

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $327.2000 (3.65%) ($320.4800 - $329.0400) on Thu. Oct. 29, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.37% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $327.2000(3.65%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO advances 2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(65%)    OIH(60%)    EEM(39%)    VWO(39%)    SPY(37%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -1.185% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    SHY(-9%)    LQD(0%)    TIP(6%)    IGOV(6%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.185% (StdDev 2.37%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $323.18(1.24%)
10 Day Moving Average   $325.04(0.66%)
20 Day Moving Average   $312.53(4.69%)
To recent high   -1.4%
To recent low   22.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 5.07% (three month std-dev: 2.37%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20091129

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_29_2009	294.89	312.53	325.04	323.18			327.2(3.65%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	14	-10000	-2	60	1.52	54%	0.05	68	2.37%	0	0.9	73	0
2	Oct_28_2009	294.73	310.69	324.28	324.1			315.68(-2.78%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	15	-10000	-7	79	1.94	52%	0.03	75.5	2.48%	0	0.3	71	0
3	Oct_27_2009	294.63	309.45	323.86	327.09			324.72(1.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.1	29	-10000	1	114	1.63	54%	0.08	77.3	2.46%	0	0.9	82	0
4	Oct_26_2009	294.38	307.02	322.07	326.77			321.04(-1.91%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	29	-10000	-3	124	1.73	54%	0.07	68.9	2.46%	0	0.8	74	0
5	Oct_23_2009	294.16	304.84	320.33	327.78			327.28(-1.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	38	-10000	2	145	1.37	56%	0.09	65.5	2.44%	0	1.2	81	0

6	Oct_22_2009	293.9	302.11	317.46	327.04			331.76(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	43	-10000	6	155	1.46	56%	0.14	58.2	2.46%	0	1.5	87	0
7	Oct_21_2009	293.48	299.08	313.68	324.54			330.64(2.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	47	-10000	11	153	2.31	56%	0.1	50.7	2.46%	0	1.7	82	0
8	Oct_20_2009	293.18	296.5	309.42	320.19			323.12(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	41	-10000	9	136	2.06	56%	0.08	43.1	2.44%	0	1.6	80	0
9	Oct_19_2009	292.94	294.98	306.32	316.61			326.08(0.77%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	44	-10000	13	138	1.57	56%	0.12	40.6	2.45%	0	2	88	0
10	Oct_16_2009	292.59	292.87	302.57	311.7			323.6(1.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	43	-10000	14	129	1.96	56%	0.14	36.4	2.46%	0	2.2	85	0

11	Oct_15_2009	292.18	291.33	298.79	306.43			319.28(3.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	40	-10000	14	119	2.67	58%	0.15	33.4	2.45%	0	2.3	85	0
12	Oct_14_2009	291.75	290.15	295.67	301.26			308.88(1.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	37	-10000	12	110	1.38	56%	0.13	25.2	2.47%	0	1.8	83	0
13	Oct_13_2009	291.38	289.51	293.63	297.02			305.2(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	29	-10000	7	96	1.6	56%	0.05	16.7	2.47%	0	1.6	68	0
14	Oct_12_2009	291.24	288.82	290.6	294.45			301.52(1.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	23	-10000	7	70	1.24	56%	0.11	9.1	2.47%	0	1.4	52	0
15	Oct_9_2009	290.92	287.97	288.06	292.03			297.28(1.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	17	-10000	6	51	1.52	56%	0.11	4.1	2.47%	0	1.1	56	0

16	Oct_8_2009	290.61	287.39	285.57	289.97			293.44(2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	7	-10000	2	21	1.87	54%	0.08	-0.7	2.47%	0	0.7	47	0
17	Oct_7_2009	290.38	287.57	283.44	289.25			287.68(-1.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-2	-10000	-1	-5	1.99	52%	0.09	6	2.5%	0	0	42	0
18	Oct_6_2009	290.12	287.92	282.74	289.62			292.32(1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	4	-10000	10	-13	1.84	50%	0.11	14.1	2.52%	0	0.5	44	0
19	Oct_5_2009	289.81	288.02	282.83	286.05			289.44(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-2	-10000	7	-29	2.18	50%	0.14	6.5	2.56%	0	0.2	47	0
20	Oct_2_2009	289.41	287.63	282.45	283.38			286.96(-0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-4	-10000	8	-41	1.86	48%	0.1	-11.8	2.58%	0	-0.1	52	0

21	Oct_1_2009	289.12	287.44	283.25	280.38			289.84(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-4	-10000	10	-46	2.92	48%	0.11	-30.3	2.62%	0	0.3	52	0
22	Sep_30_2009	288.79	287.04	284.02	276.77			289.52(5.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-12	-10000	5	-63	3.11	48%	0.1	-47.7	2.62%	0	0.3	45	0
23	Sep_29_2009	288.5	286.69	284.8	275.07			274.48(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-29	-10000	-12	-78	1.59	46%	0.06	-59.8	2.54%	0	-1.3	38	0
24	Sep_28_2009	288.34	287.45	286.76	279.34			276.08(1.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-19	-10000	-6	-59	1.68	46%	0.06	-59.5	2.57%	0	-1.3	39	0
25	Sep_25_2009	288.17	288.7	287.88	281.49			272(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-23	-10000	-14	-51	2.07	46%		-55.4	2.56%	0	-1.9	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.