Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 21, 2009

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $279.5200 (0.32%) ($275.1200 - $283.0400) on Tue. Jul. 21, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.29% (three month average)
RSI   31
Latest Price   $279.5200(0.32%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO advances 1.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO declines -2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(65%)    OIH(60%)    VWO(40%)    EEM(39%)    SPY(37%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -1.145% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    SHY(-9%)    LQD(0%)    TIP(6%)    IGOV(7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.145% (StdDev 2.29%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

Resistance Level   $279.97
5 Day Moving Average   $273.66(2.14%)
10 Day Moving Average   $267.03(4.68%)
20 Day Moving Average   $279.97(-0.16%)
To recent high   -11.9%
To recent low   27.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 6.21% (three month std-dev: 2.29%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090821

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_21_2009	259.81	279.97	267.03	273.66			279.52(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-1	-10000	15	-49	1.32	52%	0.33	-41.5	2.29%	0	-0	31	0
2	Jul_20_2009	258.95	280.45	265.93	269.14			278.64(1.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-17	-10000	13	-107	1.11	44%	0.24	-52.9	2.29%	0	-0.1	28	0
3	Jul_17_2009	258.32	281.6	265.56	265.2			273.92(2.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-28	-10000	9	-137	1.51	44%	0.22	-59.9	2.49%	0	-0.4	33	0
4	Jul_16_2009	257.75	283.35	266.68	262.22			268.48(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-39	-10000	4	-167	1.4	44%	0.24	-63.2	2.48%	0	-0.8	28	0
5	Jul_15_2009	257.13	285.36	269.46	260.96			267.76(4.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-40	-10000	4	-172	2.49	44%	0.29	-64.7	2.48%	0	-0.9	34	0

6	Jul_14_2009	256.39	287.37	272.73	259.52			256.88(-0.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-53	-10000	-9	-186	1.58	39%	0.28	-66.6	2.43%	0	-1.6	25	0
7	Jul_13_2009	255.68	290.02	277.83	262.24			258.96(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-49	-10000	-12	-161	1.98	39%	0.26	-65.3	2.44%	0	-1.7	34	0
8	Jul_10_2009	255.02	292.9	281.97	265.98			259.02(-1.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-50	-10000	-17	-148	1.41	39%	0.26	-59.9	2.48%	0	-1.9	29	0
9	Jul_9_2009	254.36	295.9	286.59	271.86			262.16(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-49	-10000	-22	-130	2.24	39%	0.32	-51.4	2.49%	0	-2.1	28	0
10	Jul_8_2009	253.55	298.5	290.27	279.36			260.56(-3.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-44	-10000	-23	-106	2.13	39%	0.29	-38.4	2.54%	0	-2.6	28	0

11	Jul_7_2009	252.81	300.94	294.43	287.94			270.48(-2.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-35	-10000	-21	-77	1.92	39%	0.08	-26.9	2.5%	0	-2.6	32	0
12	Jul_6_2009	252.62	302.62	296.72	295.71			277.68(-3.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-22	-10000	-12	-53	1.81	41%	0.47	-11	2.54%	0	-2.7	34	0
13	Jul_2_2009	251.44	303.86	299.49	300.19			288.4(-3.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-16	-10000	-8	-41	1.58	54%	0.33	7.9	2.49%	0	-2.1	35	0
14	Jul_1_2009	250.62	304.62	301.76	303.39			299.68(-1.24%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-6	-10000	1	-27	2.03	58%	0.34	33	2.64%	0	-0.7	38	0
15	Jun_30_2009	249.76	304.25	302.7	302.8			303.44(-1.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-7	-10000	2	-32	1.68	51%	0.32	39.7	2.62%	0	-0.1	45	0

16	Jun_29_2009	248.97	304.14	303.1	301.97			309.36(3.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-1	-10000	9	-30	1.56	51%	0.34	54.5	2.75%	0	0.7	53	0
17	Jun_26_2009	248.12	303.64	302.86	298.1			300.08(-1.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-13	-10000	-2	-44	1.05	48%	0.29	55.9	2.78%	0	-0.5	52	0
18	Jun_25_2009	247.41	303.28	304.31	298.83			304.4(2.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-11	-10000	-3	-33	1.58	48%	0.32	64.3	2.79%	0	0.1	55	0
19	Jun_24_2009	246.61	302.3	305.49	300.11			296.72(-0.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-10	-10000	-6	-20	1.69	48%	0.27	64.7	2.78%	0	-0.5	48	0
20	Jun_23_2009	245.94	301.46	307.04	302.69			299.28(3.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-2	-10000	-4	5	1.81	48%	0.3	68.5	2.78%	0	-0.2	60	0

21	Jun_22_2009	245.2	300.3	307.79	304.45			290(-4.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-3	-10000	-8	13	1.81	44%	0.23	76.4	2.78%	0	-0.9	46	0
22	Jun_19_2009	244.63	299.49	309.11	308.08			303.76(-2.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	3	-10000	-6	30	1.96	49%	0.3	83.3	2.72%	0	0.3	55	0
23	Jun_18_2009	243.91	297.79	308.82	310.42			310.8(0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	10	-10000	-3	48	1.28	49%	0.3	82.8	2.71%	0	0.9	66	0
24	Jun_17_2009	243.17	295.86	307.93	311.74			309.6(0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	16	-10000	-1	68	2.1	49%	0.31	86.9	2.71%	0	0.9	70	0
25	Jun_16_2009	242.42	293.58	306.13	312.18			308.08(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	21	-10000	1	81	1.52	49%		83.4	2.75%	0	0.9	73	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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