Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 16, 2009

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $268.4800 (0.27%) ($262.7200 - $269.1200) on Thu. Jul. 16, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.48% (three month average)
RSI   28
Latest Price   $268.4800(0.27%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO declines -7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(65%)    OIH(60%)    VWO(40%)    EEM(39%)    SPY(37%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -1.24% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    SHY(-9%)    LQD(-0%)    TIP(6%)    IGOV(7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.24% (StdDev 2.48%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2%

Resistance Level   $283.35
5 Day Moving Average   $262.22(2.39%)
10 Day Moving Average   $266.68(0.67%)
20 Day Moving Average   $283.35(-5.25%)
To recent high   -15.4%
To recent low   23.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 6.71% (three month std-dev: 2.48%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_16_2009	257.75	283.35	266.68	262.22			268.48(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-39	-10000	4	-167	1.4	44%	0.24	-63.2	2.48%	0	-0.8	28	0
2	Jul_15_2009	257.13	285.36	269.46	260.96			267.76(4.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-40	-10000	4	-172	2.49	44%	0.29	-64.7	2.48%	0	-0.9	34	0
3	Jul_14_2009	256.39	287.37	272.73	259.52			256.88(-0.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-53	-10000	-9	-186	1.58	39%	0.28	-66.6	2.43%	0	-1.6	25	0
4	Jul_13_2009	255.68	290.02	277.83	262.24			258.96(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-49	-10000	-12	-161	1.98	39%	0.26	-65.3	2.44%	0	-1.7	34	0
5	Jul_10_2009	255.02	292.9	281.97	265.98			259.02(-1.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-50	-10000	-17	-148	1.41	39%	0.26	-59.9	2.48%	0	-1.9	29	0

6	Jul_9_2009	254.36	295.9	286.59	271.86			262.16(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-49	-10000	-22	-130	2.24	39%	0.32	-51.4	2.49%	0	-2.1	28	0
7	Jul_8_2009	253.55	298.5	290.27	279.36			260.56(-3.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-44	-10000	-23	-106	2.13	39%	0.29	-38.4	2.54%	0	-2.6	28	0
8	Jul_7_2009	252.81	300.94	294.43	287.94			270.48(-2.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-35	-10000	-21	-77	1.92	39%	0.08	-26.9	2.5%	0	-2.6	32	0
9	Jul_6_2009	252.62	302.62	296.72	295.71			277.68(-3.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-22	-10000	-12	-53	1.81	41%	0.47	-11	2.54%	0	-2.7	34	0
10	Jul_2_2009	251.44	303.86	299.49	300.19			288.4(-3.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-16	-10000	-8	-41	1.58	54%	0.33	7.9	2.49%	0	-2.1	35	0

11	Jul_1_2009	250.62	304.62	301.76	303.39			299.68(-1.24%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-6	-10000	1	-27	2.03	58%	0.34	33	2.64%	0	-0.7	38	0
12	Jun_30_2009	249.76	304.25	302.7	302.8			303.44(-1.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-7	-10000	2	-32	1.68	51%	0.32	39.7	2.62%	0	-0.1	45	0
13	Jun_29_2009	248.97	304.14	303.1	301.97			309.36(3.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-1	-10000	9	-30	1.56	51%	0.34	54.5	2.75%	0	0.7	53	0
14	Jun_26_2009	248.12	303.64	302.86	298.1			300.08(-1.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-13	-10000	-2	-44	1.05	48%	0.29	55.9	2.78%	0	-0.5	52	0
15	Jun_25_2009	247.41	303.28	304.31	298.83			304.4(2.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-11	-10000	-3	-33	1.58	48%	0.32	64.3	2.79%	0	0.1	55	0

16	Jun_24_2009	246.61	302.3	305.49	300.11			296.72(-0.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-10	-10000	-6	-20	1.69	48%	0.27	64.7	2.78%	0	-0.5	48	0
17	Jun_23_2009	245.94	301.46	307.04	302.69			299.28(3.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-2	-10000	-4	5	1.81	48%	0.3	68.5	2.78%	0	-0.2	60	0
18	Jun_22_2009	245.2	300.3	307.79	304.45			290(-4.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-3	-10000	-8	13	1.81	44%	0.23	76.4	2.78%	0	-0.9	46	0
19	Jun_19_2009	244.63	299.49	309.11	308.08			303.76(-2.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	3	-10000	-6	30	1.96	49%	0.3	83.3	2.72%	0	0.3	55	0
20	Jun_18_2009	243.91	297.79	308.82	310.42			310.8(0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	10	-10000	-3	48	1.28	49%	0.3	82.8	2.71%	0	0.9	66	0

21	Jun_17_2009	243.17	295.86	307.93	311.74			309.6(0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	16	-10000	-1	68	2.1	49%	0.31	86.9	2.71%	0	0.9	70	0
22	Jun_16_2009	242.42	293.58	306.13	312.18			308.08(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	21	-10000	1	81	1.52	49%	0.21	83.4	2.75%	0	0.9	73	0
23	Jun_15_2009	241.9	291.33	305.43	311.66			308.16(-2.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	28	-10000	4	101	2.09	49%	0.21	80.3	2.76%	0	0.9	75	0
24	Jun_12_2009	241.39	288.55	304.57	310.1			315.44(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	36	-10000	8	120	1.58	56%	0.32	70.1	2.75%	0	1.4	81	0
25	Jun_11_2009	240.63	285.72	302.14	306.85			317.44(1.82%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	36	-10000	7	121	1.52	51%		68.4	2.87%	0	1.7	84	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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