Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jun. 30, 2009

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $303.4400 (-1.91%) ($298.4000 - $310.2400) on Tue. Jun. 30, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.62% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $303.4400(-1.91%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO declines -1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(65%)    OIH(60%)    VWO(40%)    EEM(39%)    SPY(37%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -1.31% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    SHY(-9%)    LQD(0%)    TIP(6%)    IGOV(7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.31% (StdDev 2.62%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.5%

Resistance Level   $304.25
5 Day Moving Average   $302.8(0.21%)
10 Day Moving Average   $302.7(0.24%)
20 Day Moving Average   $304.25(-0.27%)
To recent high   -4.4%
To recent low   39.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 2.32% (three month std-dev: 2.62%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_30_2009	249.76	304.25	302.7	302.8			303.44(-1.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-7	-10000	2	-32	1.68	51%	0.32	39.7	2.62%	0	-0.1	45	0
2	Jun_29_2009	248.97	304.14	303.1	301.97			309.36(3.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-1	-10000	9	-30	1.56	51%	0.34	54.5	2.75%	0	0.7	53	0
3	Jun_26_2009	248.12	303.64	302.86	298.1			300.08(-1.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-13	-10000	-2	-44	1.05	48%	0.29	55.9	2.78%	0	-0.5	52	0
4	Jun_25_2009	247.41	303.28	304.31	298.83			304.4(2.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-11	-10000	-3	-33	1.58	48%	0.32	64.3	2.79%	0	0.1	55	0
5	Jun_24_2009	246.61	302.3	305.49	300.11			296.72(-0.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-10	-10000	-6	-20	1.69	48%	0.27	64.7	2.78%	0	-0.5	48	0

6	Jun_23_2009	245.94	301.46	307.04	302.69			299.28(3.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-2	-10000	-4	5	1.81	48%	0.3	68.5	2.78%	0	-0.2	60	0
7	Jun_22_2009	245.2	300.3	307.79	304.45			290(-4.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-3	-10000	-8	13	1.81	44%	0.23	76.4	2.78%	0	-0.9	46	0
8	Jun_19_2009	244.63	299.49	309.11	308.08			303.76(-2.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	3	-10000	-6	30	1.96	49%	0.3	83.3	2.72%	0	0.3	55	0
9	Jun_18_2009	243.91	297.79	308.82	310.42			310.8(0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	10	-10000	-3	48	1.28	49%	0.3	82.8	2.71%	0	0.9	66	0
10	Jun_17_2009	243.17	295.86	307.93	311.74			309.6(0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	16	-10000	-1	68	2.1	49%	0.31	86.9	2.71%	0	0.9	70	0

11	Jun_16_2009	242.42	293.58	306.13	312.18			308.08(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	21	-10000	1	81	1.52	49%	0.21	83.4	2.75%	0	0.9	73	0
12	Jun_15_2009	241.9	291.33	305.43	311.66			308.16(-2.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	28	-10000	4	101	2.09	49%	0.21	80.3	2.76%	0	0.9	75	0
13	Jun_12_2009	241.39	288.55	304.57	310.1			315.44(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	36	-10000	8	120	1.58	56%	0.32	70.1	2.75%	0	1.4	81	0
14	Jun_11_2009	240.63	285.72	302.14	306.85			317.44(1.82%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	36	-10000	7	121	1.52	51%	0.3	68.4	2.87%	0	1.7	84	0
15	Jun_10_2009	239.92	282.67	298.67	303.66			311.76(2.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	37	-10000	10	117	1.71	51%	0.35	68.3	2.97%	0	1.6	77	0

16	Jun_9_2009	239.08	280.07	295.21	299.31			305.52(1.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	29	-10000	2	109	0.9	51%	0.29	70.3	2.99%	0	1.4	79	0
17	Jun_8_2009	238.39	277.67	292.03	298.38			300.32(0.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	29	-10000	0	115	1.27	51%	0.26	75.8	3%	0	1.3	78	0
18	Jun_5_2009	237.76	275.6	289.07	298.21			299.2(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	36	-10000	4	131	1.53	55%	0.25	85.9	3.06%	0	1.4	82	0
19	Jun_4_2009	237.16	273.21	285.93	296.61			301.52(3.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	40	-10000	8	134	1.82	61%	0.22	92.6	3.1%	0	1.8	73	0
20	Jun_3_2009	236.63	270.64	282.82	292.85			290(-3.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	36	-10000	6	125	2.58	58%	0.15	98.8	3.24%	0	1.3	71	0

21	Jun_2_2009	236.27	268.24	280.15	290.18			300.88(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	40	-10000	12	122	1.4	54%	0.25	97.6	3.22%	0	2.1	75	0
22	Jun_1_2009	235.69	265.34	276.15	284.58			299.44(2.83%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	34	-10000	12	98	1.5	54%	0.17	102.4	3.46%	0	2.4	76	0
23	May_29_2009	235.28	262.16	271.2	278.61			291.2(3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	25	-10000	10	71	2.07	54%	0.11	101	3.47%	0	2.2	71	0
24	May_28_2009	235.01	259.05	267.86	273.78			282.72(2.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	18	-10000	5	57	2.2	54%	0.07	93.7	3.49%	0	1.8	72	0
25	May_27_2009	234.84	256.35	265.25	271.43			276.66(1.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	-10000	6	54	1.53	54%		91.3	3.51%	0	1.5	71	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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