Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jun. 3, 2009

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $290.0000 (-3.62%) ($284.4800 - $298.0800) on Wed. Jun. 3, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.24% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $290.0000(-3.62%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO advances 6.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(66%)    OIH(60%)    EEM(40%)    VWO(40%)    SPY(37%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -1.62% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    SHY(-9%)    LQD(-0%)    TIP(6%)    IGOV(7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.62% (StdDev 3.24%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $292.85(-0.97%)
10 Day Moving Average   $282.82(2.54%)
20 Day Moving Average   $270.64(7.15%)
To recent high   -3.6%
To recent low   42.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 5.65% (three month std-dev: 3.24%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090703

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_3_2009	236.63	270.64	282.82	292.85			290(-3.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	36	-10000	6	125	2.58	58%	0.15	98.8	3.24%	0	1.3	71	0
2	Jun_2_2009	236.27	268.24	280.15	290.18			300.88(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	40	-10000	12	122	1.4	54%	0.25	97.6	3.22%	0	2.1	75	0
3	Jun_1_2009	235.69	265.34	276.15	284.58			299.44(2.83%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	34	-10000	12	98	1.5	54%	0.17	102.4	3.46%	0	2.4	76	0
4	May_29_2009	235.28	262.16	271.2	278.61			291.2(3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	25	-10000	10	71	2.07	54%	0.11	101	3.47%	0	2.2	71	0
5	May_28_2009	235.01	259.05	267.86	273.78			282.72(2.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	18	-10000	5	57	2.2	54%	0.07	93.7	3.49%	0	1.8	72	0

6	May_27_2009	234.84	256.35	265.25	271.43			276.66(1.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	-10000	6	54	1.53	54%	-0.09	91.3	3.51%	0	1.5	71	0
7	May_26_2009	235.06	253.71	263.59	268.56			272.88(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	-10000	5	56	1.49	56%	-0.33	82	3.51%	0	1.3	75	0
8	May_22_2009	235.83	251.33	262.06	266.32			269.6(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	-10000	8	57	1	62%	0.15	76.9	3.63%	0	1.2	69	0
9	May_21_2009	235.48	249.4	261.02	262.48			267.04(-1.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	-10000	3	55	1.26	62%	0.01	67.3	3.66%	0	1.1	72	0
10	May_20_2009	235.46	247.22	259.52	260.91			270.96(3.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	21	-10000	6	66	1.96	62%	0.13	59.5	3.68%	0	1.5	79	0

11	May_19_2009	235.16	244.61	257.51	258.22			262.32(0.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	18	-10000	1	70	1.25	64%	0.07	50.9	3.66%	0	1.1	77	0
12	May_18_2009	235	242.45	255.49	257.97			261.68(4.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	21	-10000	1	82	1.52	64%	0.12	45.9	3.73%	0	1.2	79	0
13	May_15_2009	234.71	240.27	253.8	257.3			250.4(-3.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	19	-10000	-4	89	1.69	57%	0.07	41	3.86%	0	0.7	73	0
14	May_14_2009	234.54	239.48	252.66	259.2			259.2(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	29	-10000	3	105	1.51	57%	0.12	42.7	3.86%	0	1.3	72	0
15	May_13_2009	234.26	238.14	249.79	257.74			257.52(-1.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	28	-10000	2	106	2.33	57%	0.08	41.8	3.89%	0	1.4	76	0

16	May_12_2009	234.08	236.89	246.99	256.53			261.04(1.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	35	-10000	8	114	1.36	57%	0.07	42.8	3.89%	0	1.8	80	0
17	May_11_2009	233.91	235.39	243.22	252.56			258.32(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	31	-10000	6	104	1.33	57%	-0.03	35	3.89%	0	1.9	80	0
18	May_8_2009	233.98	234.19	239.84	249.79			259.92(3.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	33	-10000	10	102	1.52	57%	-0.01	27	3.91%	0	2.3	82	0
19	May_7_2009	234	233.26	236.79	245.2			251.92(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	29	-10000	10	84	2.1	57%	-0.12	16.8	3.92%	0	1.8	58	0
20	May_6_2009	234.27	232.34	233.84	240.62			251.44(4.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	23	-10000	10	61	2.06	57%	-0.18	8.3	3.95%	0	2.1	59	0

21	May_5_2009	234.69	231.23	230.5	236.03			241.2(-1.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	-10000	8	34	1.3	55%	-0.24	-6.9	3.93%	0	1.2	54	0
22	May_4_2009	235.25	231.15	228.22	232.35			244.48(3.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	10	-10000	9	12	1.74	55%	-0.27	-12.8	3.93%	0	1.6	57	0
23	May_1_2009	235.88	231.14	225.44	228.38			236.96(3.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-2	-10000	3	-17	1.92	55%	-0.32	-24.8	3.88%	0	0.7	48	0
24	Apr_30_2009	236.63	231.56	225.06	227.23			229.04(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-5	-10000	3	-28	1.43	55%	-0.25	-30.7	3.89%	0	-0.3	35	0
25	Apr_29_2009	237.23	231.58	225.45	226.03			228.48(2.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-6	-10000	4	-34	1.47	55%		-44.8	3.89%	0	-0.3	45	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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