Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ USO: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Apr. 17, 2009

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $235.6000 (0.55%) ($233.8400 - $238.3200) on Fri. Apr. 17, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.16% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $235.6000(0.55%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO declines -0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO declines -0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(66%)    OIH(61%)    VWO(41%)    EEM(40%)    SPY(38%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -2.08% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    SHY(-9%)    LQD(0%)    TIP(6%)    IGOV(8%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.08% (StdDev 4.16%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.1%

Resistance Level   $240.75
5 Day Moving Average   $235.1(0.21%)
10 Day Moving Average   $237.6(-0.84%)
20 Day Moving Average   $240.75(-2.14%)
To recent high   -8.9%
To recent low   28.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 3.52% (three month std-dev: 4.16%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090517

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_17_2009	243.53	240.75	237.6	235.1			235.6(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-5	-10000	-4	-9	1.7	62%	-0.03	2.8	4.16%	0	-0.6	45	0
2	Apr_16_2009	243.61	241.13	238.75	237.09			234.32(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-2	-10000	-1	-5	1.43	62%	-0.52	18.7	4.2%	0	-0.8	39	0
3	Apr_15_2009	244.89	241.32	238.34	237.41			234.48(0.34%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-3	-10000	1	-15	2.15	62%	-0.41	34.9	4.2%	0	-0.8	44	0
4	Apr_14_2009	245.91	241.45	238.24	236.82			233.68(-1.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-10	-10000	-3	-29	1.5	62%	-0.51	40.6	4.22%	0	-0.9	42	0
5	Apr_13_2009	247.17	241.19	237.97	238.45			237.44(-3.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-13	-10000	-4	-38	2.16	62%	-0.67	42.3	4.22%	0	-0.4	42	0

6	Apr_9_2009	248.83	240.5	238.75	240.45			245.52(4.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-9	-10000	-1	-31	1.49	59%	-0.42	41.9	4.25%	0	0.5	50	0
7	Apr_8_2009	249.88	239.56	239.56	240.91			235.92(1.9%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-3	-10000	3	-21	2.5	59%	-0.51	42.9	4.23%	0	-0.3	48	0
8	Apr_7_2009	251.15	238.46	240.89	239.46			231.52(-4.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-5	-10000	-0	-21	1.32	54%	-0.53	34.2	4.22%	0	-0.6	50	0
9	Apr_6_2009	252.5	238.14	243.02	239.63			241.84(-2.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	2	-10000	5	-9	2.21	56%	-0.52	42.4	4.4%	0	0.3	56	0
10	Apr_3_2009	253.83	237.53	244.17	237.18			247.44(-0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-1	-10000	1	-5	1.96	56%	-0.59	48.8	4.4%	0	0.8	64	0

11	Apr_2_2009	255.34	236.36	243.98	236.9			247.84(8.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	-1	-10000	-3	5	3.29	58%	-0.48	48.7	4.43%	0	0.9	67	0
12	Apr_1_2009	256.57	234.64	243.46	238.56			228.64(-1.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-2	-10000	-8	18	2.33	55%	-0.63	51.2	4.41%	0	-0.5	55	0
13	Mar_31_2009	258.2	234.36	244.54	242.77			232.4(1.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	6	-10000	-7	46	1.94	59%	-0.71	59.3	4.44%	0	-0.1	67	0
14	Mar_30_2009	260.04	233.06	245.09	246.86			229.6(-6.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	9	-10000	-9	64	2.72	59%	-0.68	62.7	4.61%	0	-0.2	56	0
15	Mar_27_2009	261.82	231.58	245.1	251.79			246(-3.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	21	-10000	-0	85	1.9	64%	-0.61	74.1	4.56%	0	0.9	59	0

16	Mar_26_2009	263.44	230.09	242.82	251.81			256.16(2.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	-10000	5	89	2.45	64%	-0.69	82.5	4.57%	0	1.6	67	0
17	Mar_25_2009	265.26	228.07	239.78	249.15			249.68(-1.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	26	-10000	5	90	3.26	64%	-0.82	89	4.56%	0	1.3	70	0
18	Mar_24_2009	267.44	225.96	236.01	246.59			252.88(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	-10000	6	79	2.2	64%	-0.65	90.9	4.59%	0	1.6	65	0
19	Mar_23_2009	269.18	223.08	232.9	243.12			254.24(3.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	28	-10000	10	81	2.95	64%	-0.73	85.4	4.62%	0	1.8	72	0
20	Mar_20_2009	271.16	219.7	230.15	237.47			246.08(1.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	27	-10000	9	82	2.89	60%	-0.71	74.8	4.67%	0	1.7	73	0

21	Mar_19_2009	273.1	217.11	227.8	232.46			242.88(2.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	22	-10000	6	69	4.43	60%	-0.77	63.8	4.7%	0	1.7	60	0
22	Mar_18_2009	275.21	214.64	224.72	229.06			236.88(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	22	-10000	10	59	3.32	58%	-0.71	52.7	4.69%	0	1.4	57	0
23	Mar_17_2009	277.18	211.96	223	223.76			235.52(4.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	16	-10000	5	47	3.7	58%	-0.64	33.5	4.75%	0	1.5	61	0
24	Mar_16_2009	278.96	209.55	219.8	221.19			226(2.24%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	10	-10000	-1	41	3.63	58%	-0.73	18.4	4.75%	0	1.1	63	0
25	Mar_13_2009	281.02	208.42	216.94	221.83			221.04(-2.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	12	-10000	-1	51	3.4	58%		13.8	4.71%	0	0.9	65	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.