Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ USO: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Mar. 4, 2009

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $220.8800 (8.74%) ($213.2800 - $223.6800) on Wed. Mar. 4, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.75% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $220.8800(8.74%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO advances 3.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(66%)    OIH(61%)    EEM(41%)    VWO(41%)    SPY(38%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -2.375% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-10%)    LQD(-0%)    TIP(5%)    IGOV(8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.375% (StdDev 4.75%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $210.82(4.77%)
10 Day Moving Average   $203.78(8.39%)
20 Day Moving Average   $207.14(6.63%)
To recent high   -28.5%
To recent low   20.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 6.87% (three month std-dev: 4.75%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_4_2009	299.22	207.14	203.78	210.82			220.88(8.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	15	-10000	5	45	5.84	56%	-1.03	-33.2	4.75%	0	1	54	0
2	Mar_3_2009	302.34	207.44	199.97	208.24			203.12(3.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	7	-10000	3	17	3.63	53%	-1.15	-38.2	4.68%	0	-0.3	45	0
3	Mar_2_2009	305.87	208.57	198.5	206.72			195.84(-9.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	1	-10000	4	-10	3.97	53%	-1.13	-48.1	4.65%	0	-0.8	38	0
4	Feb_27_2009	309.37	210.42	199.35	204.86			216.4(-0.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	0	-10000	9	-27	3.86	52%	-1.13	-56.3	4.53%	0	0.4	44	0
5	Feb_26_2009	312.92	211.14	198.3	200.54			217.84(4.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-5	-10000	11	-54	6.01	55%	-1.18	-62.7	4.56%	0	0.4	42	0

6	Feb_25_2009	316.67	211.97	197.04	195.82			208(6.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-12	-10000	11	-80	5.81	51%	-1.21	-69.2	4.64%	0	-0.2	40	0
7	Feb_24_2009	320.54	213.28	197.46	190.8			195.52(4.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-24	-10000	4	-109	3.35	52%	-1.21	-72.7	4.6%	0	-1	30	0
8	Feb_23_2009	324.47	216.25	200.26	189.23			186.56(-4.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-36	-10000	-8	-118	4.62	50%	-1.32	-65.7	4.67%	0	-1.5	26	0
9	Feb_20_2009	328.8	219.81	204.1	192.88			194.8(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-32	-10000	-6	-110	5.26	47%	-1.29	-56.6	4.68%	0	-1.2	27	0
10	Feb_19_2009	333.09	222.13	207.53	195.73			194.24(6.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-30	-10000	-6	-102	6.3	47%	-1.37	-57.1	4.79%	0	-1.4	26	0

11	Feb_18_2009	337.7	224.87	210.72	198.61			182.88(-2.56%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-36	-10000	-13	-104	5.32	45%	-1.44	-56.8	4.71%	0	-2.2	13	0
12	Feb_17_2009	342.63	227.42	215.69	205.09			187.68(-8.36%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-33	-10000	-15	-88	4.88	45%	-2.28	-60.7	4.71%	0	-2.4	16	0
13	Feb_13_2009	350.63	230.16	219.88	212.75			204.8(-2.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-26	-10000	-8	-79	4.57	48%	-1.42	-65.1	4.61%	0	-1.8	15	0
14	Feb_12_2009	355.67	232.09	222.83	216.91			209.04(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-25	-10000	-8	-77	5.3	47%	-1.34	-71.1	4.72%	0	-1.8	16	0
15	Feb_11_2009	360.51	234.18	225.37	221.2			208.64(-3.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-22	-10000	-7	-68	4.93	45%	-1.36	-72.5	4.75%	0	-2.1	35	0

16	Feb_10_2009	365.47	236.53	228.4	224.7			215.28(-4.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-20	-10000	-6	-63	5.94	45%	-1.35	-86.3	4.79%	0	-1.9	34	0
17	Feb_9_2009	370.47	238.11	230.56	227.84			226(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-12	-10000	-0	-49	4.64	45%	-1.2	-109.2	4.78%	0	-1.2	51	0
18	Feb_6_2009	374.96	239.72	233.47	228.08			225.6(-2.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-13	-10000	-3	-42	8.47	43%	-1.11	-114.8	4.78%	0	-1.3	46	0
19	Feb_5_2009	379.16	241.68	236.63	229.71			230.48(1.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-8	-10000	-1	-29	3.8	42%	-1.05	-104.4	4.84%	0	-1	47	0
20	Feb_4_2009	383.18	243.4	237.65	230.37			226.16(-2.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-11	-10000	-4	-33	4.16	45%	-0.99	-89.6	4.87%	0	-1.4	41	0

21	Feb_3_2009	387.03	246.81	239.9	232.74			230.96(1.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-9	-10000	-2	-28	3.16	43%	-1	-52	5.04%	0	-1	41	0
22	Feb_2_2009	390.94	250.02	239.96	233.74			227.2(-2.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-16	-10000	-10	-35	3.51	43%	-1.11	-29.1	5.06%	0	-1.2	44	0
23	Jan_30_2009	395.32	252.87	241.3	239.73			233.76(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-13	-10000	-8	-28	3.31	43%	-1.08	-8.9	5.08%	0	-1	41	0
24	Jan_29_2009	399.63	254.48	242.16	244.7			233.76(-1.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-7	-10000	-2	-23	4.32	45%	-1.1	3.6	5.08%	0	-1	39	0
25	Jan_28_2009	404.06	255.07	243.79	245.98			238(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-9	-10000	-3	-27	6.74	46%		4.9	5.13%	0	-0.9	40	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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