Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ USO: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Jan. 16, 2009

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $238.8800 (-1.06%) ($236.8000 - $249.6000) on Fri. Jan. 16, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.98% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $238.8800(-1.06%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO declines -1.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO declines -2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(66%)    OIH(61%)    VWO(42%)    EEM(41%)    SPY(39%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -2.49% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-10%)    LQD(-0%)    TIP(4%)    GLD(13%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.49% (StdDev 4.98%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.7%

Resistance Level   $256.67
5 Day Moving Average   $246.02(-2.9%)
10 Day Moving Average   $260.56(-8.32%)
20 Day Moving Average   $256.67(-6.93%)
To recent high   -51.7%
To recent low   2.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 7.57% (three month std-dev: 4.98%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090216

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_16_2009	436.92	256.67	260.56	246.02			238.88(-1.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-12	-10000	-6	-29	4.84	40%	-1.19	-58.8	4.98%	0	-0.9	56	0
2	Jan_15_2009	442.16	258.63	265.22	250.03			241.44(-3.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-6	-10000	-8	1	6.88	39%	-1.21	-57.1	4.98%	0	-0.9	58	0
3	Jan_14_2009	447.56	261.07	267.87	254.86			249.84(-1.92%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	3	-10000	-5	25	5.51	38%	-1.14	-47.4	5.02%	0	-0.6	57	0
4	Jan_13_2009	452.73	263.2	267.54	258.13			254.72(3.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-2	-10000	-13	30	4.97	38%	-1.11	-39.8	5.04%	0	-0.4	56	0
5	Jan_12_2009	457.79	265.54	267.17	266.78			245.2(-5.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	0	-10000	-15	46	4.1	38%	-1.1	-21.2	5.01%	0	-0.9	46	0

6	Jan_9_2009	462.89	268.62	266.53	277.42			258.96(-2.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	12	-10000	-7	68	4.41	37%	-1.16	-2.5	5%	0	-0.4	51	0
7	Jan_8_2009	468.32	269.97	264.27	282.64			265.6(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	17	-10000	0	66	4.6	37%	-1.06	0.2	5.01%	0	-0.2	47	0
8	Jan_7_2009	473.33	270.47	261.91	282.48			266.16(-10.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	17	-10000	7	47	5.46	37%	-1.03	-5.8	5.01%	0	-0.2	43	0
9	Jan_6_2009	478.24	271.54	259.89	277.57			298(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	16	-10000	16	17	3.96	38%	-0.92	-16.6	4.87%	0	1.1	49	0
10	Jan_5_2009	482.69	270.18	256	267.44			298.4(4.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	10	-10000	21	-24	4.36	38%	-0.92	-38.9	4.89%	0	1.2	46	0

11	Jan_2_2009	487.19	269.2	251.75	254.32			285.04(7.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-6	-10000	18	-79	4.65	38%	-1.48	-67.5	4.84%	0	0.7	40	0
12	Dec_31_2008	494.53	269.9	250.43	243.75			264.8(9.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-22	-10000	9	-115	6.1	35%	-0.96	-81.5	4.73%	0	-0.2	43	0
13	Dec_30_2008	499.3	271.9	252.53	238.79			241.6(-2.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-34	-10000	-1	-132	2.71	34%	-1.01	-89.6	4.53%	0	-1.2	39	0
14	Dec_29_2008	504.38	275.72	257.58	239.48			247.36(6.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-37	-10000	-6	-128	3.02	33%	-0.99	-88.7	4.63%	0	-1.1	37	0
15	Dec_26_2008	509.42	280.05	263	242.9			232.8(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-35	-10000	-10	-109	2.63	31%	-1.55	-77.6	4.67%	0	-1.7	38	0

16	Dec_24_2008	517.43	286.12	270.58	248.71			232.19(-3.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-33	-10000	-15	-88	1.89	31%	-1.03	-67.2	4.65%	0	-1.8	36	0
17	Dec_23_2008	522.81	291.15	276.35	257.97			240(-2.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-31	-10000	-17	-74	3.5	31%	-1.03	-67.3	4.65%	0	-1.8	32	0
18	Dec_22_2008	528.27	296.79	280.39	268.27			245.04(-7.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-27	-10000	-15	-61	3.41	33%	-1.07	-60	4.65%	0	-1.8	33	0
19	Dec_19_2008	533.96	301.09	285.14	278.21			264.48(1.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-21	-10000	-12	-48	4.82	35%	-1	-62.4	4.68%	0	-1.4	34	0
20	Dec_18_2008	539.36	303.83	286.46	286.27			261.84(-5.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-24	-10000	-14	-54	5.11	35%	-1.03	-70.1	4.73%	0	-1.6	29	0

21	Dec_17_2008	544.97	308.08	288.94	295.73			278.48(-4.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-15	-10000	-2	-55	5.21	37%	-0.93	-66.3	4.71%	0	-1.2	29	0
22	Dec_16_2008	550.08	311.99	291.5	297.33			291.52(-1.09%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-11	-10000	5	-59	3.24	37%	-0.93	-66.8	4.72%	0	-0.8	41	0
23	Dec_15_2008	555.26	315.35	292.98	294.15			294.73(-3.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-20	-10000	2	-84	2.85	36%	-0.9	-73.8	4.72%	0	-0.7	37	0
24	Dec_12_2008	560.31	318.94	295.14	292.99			304.8(-1.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-15	-10000	9	-87	2.96	36%	-0.91	-75.1	4.76%	0	-0.5	46	0
25	Dec_11_2008	565.43	323.01	297.8	286.83			309.12(7.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-18	-10000	8	-94	3.77	36%		-73.3	4.76%	0	-0.4	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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