Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ USO: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Nov. 7, 2008

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $400.3200 (-0.22%) ($397.1200 - $410.0000) on Fri. Nov. 7, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.78% (three month average)
RSI   35
Latest Price   $400.3200(-0.22%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO declines -2.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO declines -3.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(66%)    OIH(62%)    VWO(43%)    EEM(42%)    SPY(40%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -1.89% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    SHY(-11%)    LQD(-1%)    TIP(2%)    GLD(15%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.89% (StdDev 3.78%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.9%

Resistance Level   $450.26
5 Day Moving Average   $422.24(-5.19%)
10 Day Moving Average   $426.32(-6.1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $450.26(-11.09%)
To recent high   -49%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 8.95% (three month std-dev: 3.78%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20081207

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_7_2008	694.43	450.26	426.32	422.24			400.32(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-24	-10000	-11	-63	0.95	31%	-0.66	-78.8	3.78%	0	-1.2	35	0
2	Nov_6_2008	699.02	456.73	429.03	431.12			401.2(-6.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-21	-10000	-7	-61	2	31%	-0.7	-74.8	3.79%	0	-1.3	40	0
3	Nov_5_2008	703.93	464.33	434.29	437.28			430.72(-6.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-17	-10000	-4	-57	1.51	33%	-0.63	-70.2	3.71%	0	-0.7	43	0
4	Nov_4_2008	708.36	471.32	435.15	440.22			459.04(9.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-10	-10000	8	-63	1.9	33%	-0.59	-68.2	3.66%	0	-0.2	45	0
5	Nov_3_2008	712.53	476.9	435.63	433.57			419.92(-5.58%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-22	-10000	4	-99	1.12	29%	-0.64	-72.7	3.45%	0	-1	32	0

6	Oct_31_2008	717.12	484.41	442.69	430.94			444.72(2.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-26	-10000	6	-121	1.22	30%	-0.62	-73.2	3.41%	0	-0.7	32	0
7	Oct_30_2008	721.62	491.92	445.39	426.8			432(-3.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-43	-10000	-6	-154	1.27	32%	-0.63	-76.4	3.38%	0	-1	32	0
8	Oct_29_2008	726.22	500.43	449.56	430.96			445.44(4.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-40	-10000	2	-167	1.61	32%	-0.57	-75.6	3.42%	0	-0.8	30	0
9	Oct_28_2008	730.37	509.64	453.32	429.76			425.76(4.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-61	-10000	-12	-206	0.99	30%	-0.61	-73.6	3.36%	0	-1.2	23	0
10	Oct_27_2008	734.88	520.92	462.47	438.64			406.8(-4.06%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-71	-10000	-23	-215	1.17	27%	-0.67	-73.9	3.3%	0	-1.6	17	0

11	Oct_24_2008	739.84	531.63	475.94	456.16			424(-6.36%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-57	-10000	-13	-190	0.96	28%	-0.55	-71.4	3.28%	0	-1.5	21	0
12	Oct_23_2008	743.95	544.75	486.86	466.35			452.8(3.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-53	-10000	-6	-192	1.25	29%	-0.46	-66.2	3.22%	0	-1.2	21	0
13	Oct_22_2008	747.38	556.59	497.02	470.74			439.44(-6.53%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-60	-10000	-12	-202	1.2	28%	-0.49	-62.1	3.2%	0	-1.5	16	0
14	Oct_21_2008	751.07	568.65	510.82	480.02			470.16(-4.9%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-61	-10000	-13	-206	1.21	30%	-0.47	-58	3.13%	0	-1.3	16	0
15	Oct_20_2008	754.65	579.58	521.65	490.03			494.4(4.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-62	-10000	-12	-210	1.39	31%	-0.44	-50.6	3.12%	0	-1.1	16	0

16	Oct_17_2008	757.99	589.82	529.37	499.6			474.96(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-65	-10000	-15	-213	1.6	27%	-0.45	-44.2	3.06%	0	-1.6	23	0
17	Oct_16_2008	761.45	599.46	542.07	511.01			474.72(-2.29%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-70	-10000	-20	-218	1.96	27%	-0.49	-43.2	3.07%	0	-1.8	18	0
18	Oct_15_2008	765.22	607.99	555.48	527.42			485.84(-6.61%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-70	-10000	-22	-214	1.08	26%	-0.46	-42.8	3.07%	0	-2	19	0
19	Oct_14_2008	768.73	615.38	570.66	545.87			520.24(-4.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-59	-10000	-14	-195	1.12	27%	-0.33	-43.3	3.02%	0	-1.7	25	0
20	Oct_13_2008	771.27	620.03	584.05	557.81			542.24(1.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-51	-10000	-7	-183	0.76	28%	-0.41	-46.2	3%	0	-1.6	26	0

21	Oct_10_2008	774.47	623.97	591.73	563.94			532(-4.45%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-62	-10000	-16	-199	2.02	33%	-0.41	-53	3.01%	0	-1.9	22	0
22	Oct_9_2008	777.66	630.37	607.3	577.94			556.8(-3.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-50	-10000	-11	-166	1.16	34%	-0.4	-54.8	3.04%	0	-1.7	35	0
23	Oct_8_2008	780.82	635.45	620.78	587.89			578.08(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-44	-10000	-13	-138	1.59	34%	-0.33	-57.8	3.01%	0	-1.5	44	0
24	Oct_7_2008	783.44	639.93	630.85	599.62			579.92(1.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-38	-10000	-16	-105	1.35	34%	-0.31	-58.4	3.05%	0	-1.6	47	0
25	Oct_6_2008	785.91	644.13	641.86	614.85			572.88(-4.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-21	-10000	-9	-56	1.69	34%		-56.9	3.04%	0	-2	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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