Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ USO: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Oct. 13, 2008

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $542.2400 (1.92%) ($524.4000 - $542.2400) on Mon. Oct. 13, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3% (three month average)
RSI   26
Latest Price   $542.2400(1.92%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO declines -1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO declines -9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(66%)    OIH(62%)    VWO(43%)    EEM(41%)    SPY(40%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -1.5% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    SHY(-12%)    LQD(0%)    TIP(2%)    GLD(15%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.5% (StdDev 3%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

Resistance Level   $620.03
5 Day Moving Average   $557.81(-2.79%)
10 Day Moving Average   $584.05(-7.16%)
20 Day Moving Average   $620.03(-12.55%)
To recent high   -42.3%
To recent low   1.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 8.09% (three month std-dev: 3%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20081113

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_13_2008	771.27	620.03	584.05	557.81			542.24(1.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-51	-10000	-7	-183	0.76	28%	-0.41	-46.2	3%	0	-1.6	26	0
2	Oct_10_2008	774.47	623.97	591.73	563.94			532(-4.45%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-62	-10000	-16	-199	2.02	33%	-0.41	-53	3.01%	0	-1.9	22	0
3	Oct_9_2008	777.66	630.37	607.3	577.94			556.8(-3.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-50	-10000	-11	-166	1.16	34%	-0.4	-54.8	3.04%	0	-1.7	35	0
4	Oct_8_2008	780.82	635.45	620.78	587.89			578.08(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-44	-10000	-13	-138	1.59	34%	-0.33	-57.8	3.01%	0	-1.5	44	0
5	Oct_7_2008	783.44	639.93	630.85	599.62			579.92(1.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-38	-10000	-16	-105	1.35	34%	-0.31	-58.4	3.05%	0	-1.6	47	0

6	Oct_6_2008	785.91	644.13	641.86	614.85			572.88(-4.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-21	-10000	-9	-56	1.69	34%	-0.32	-56.9	3.04%	0	-2	50	0
7	Oct_3_2008	788.41	650.05	654.97	623.62			602(-0.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-19	-10000	-18	-22	1.61	36%	-0.26	-62.9	3.02%	0	-1.5	52	0
8	Oct_2_2008	790.45	654.46	661.5	641.15			606.56(-4.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-10	-10000	-17	11	1.28	36%	-0.25	-58.5	3.02%	0	-1.5	46	0
9	Oct_1_2008	792.44	659	665.15	658.54			636.72(-2.95%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	4	-10000	-8	40	1.3	38%	-0.23	-54.5	2.99%	0	-0.7	49	0
10	Sep_30_2008	794.25	662.42	664.28	666.98			656.08(6.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	6	-10000	-7	45	0.84	38%	-0.19	-51.7	2.98%	0	-0.2	50	0

11	Sep_29_2008	795.73	665.06	659.39	673.57			616.72(-10.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.7	-3	-10000	-17	39	1.48	33%	-0.26	-49.8	2.86%	0	-1.4	45	0
12	Sep_26_2008	797.77	671.25	659.74	690.42			689.68(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	21	-10000	7	64	0.89	41%	-0.15	-34.7	2.56%	0	0.5	49	0
13	Sep_25_2008	798.95	673.63	655.63	684.69			693.52(2.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	21	-10000	14	43	1.15	41%	-0.13	-40.1	2.63%	0	0.5	50	0
14	Sep_24_2008	800.02	676.63	651.01	672.66			678.88(-1.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	-10000	14	6	1.38	41%	-0.14	-42.4	2.62%	0	0.1	45	0
15	Sep_23_2008	801.12	679.87	649.01	660.88			689.04(-1.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	9	-10000	21	-28	1.74	41%	-0.11	-46.2	2.62%	0	0.2	44	0

16	Sep_22_2008	801.99	682.28	645.39	643.06			700.96(6.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-3	-10000	22	-79	2.32	41%	-0.06	-53.1	2.62%	0	0.4	45	0
17	Sep_19_2008	802.46	683.87	642.94	624.94			661.04(4.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-35	-10000	2	-144	1.62	34%	-0.08	-60.9	2.52%	0	-0.5	29	0
18	Sep_18_2008	803.09	689.73	645.04	623.12			633.36(2.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-47	-10000	-5	-172	2.12	31%	-0.14	-54.5	2.48%	0	-1	20	0
19	Sep_17_2008	804.18	695.69	650.99	626.83			620(3.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-56	-10000	-11	-190	2.54	31%	-0.16	-53.6	2.47%	0	-1.4	13	0
20	Sep_16_2008	805.45	702.02	659.6	635.58			599.92(-1.72%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-60	-10000	-15	-194	2.69	27%	-0.21	-51.6	2.43%	0	-2	11	0

21	Sep_15_2008	807.14	709.01	671.19	647.36			610.4(-6.37%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-61	-10000	-19	-185	2.15	27%	-0.2	-53.1	2.42%	0	-2.2	15	0
22	Sep_12_2008	808.72	715.67	684.51	662.77			651.92(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-47	-10000	-9	-160	2.28	30%	-0.12	-52.6	2.31%	0	-1.6	21	0
23	Sep_11_2008	809.67	720.43	693.84	670.08			651.92(-1.78%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-48	-10000	-11	-160	2.21	34%	-0.14	-55.2	2.32%	0	-1.9	16	0
24	Sep_10_2008	810.79	725.59	705.02	678.93			663.76(0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-43	-10000	-11	-137	1.82	34%	-0.12	-56.2	2.37%	0	-1.9	31	0
25	Sep_9_2008	811.78	729.34	713.85	687.68			658.8(-4.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-40	-10000	-13	-121	2.49	33%		-60	2.37%	0	-2.4	34	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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