Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Sep. 29, 2008

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $616.7200 (-10.58%) ($613.2000 - $657.3600) on Mon. Sep. 29, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.86% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $616.7200(-10.58%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO declines -2.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO advances 2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(66%)    OIH(62%)    VWO(43%)    EEM(42%)    SPY(41%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -1.43% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    SHY(-13%)    TIP(2%)    LQD(3%)    PCY(14%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.43% (StdDev 2.86%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -5.7%

Resistance Level   $665.06
5 Day Moving Average   $673.57(-8.44%)
10 Day Moving Average   $659.39(-6.47%)
20 Day Moving Average   $665.06(-7.27%)
To recent high   -34.4%
To recent low   2.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 5.06% (three month std-dev: 2.86%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20081029

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_29_2008	795.73	665.06	659.39	673.57			616.72(-10.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.7	-3	-10000	-17	39	1.48	33%	-0.26	-49.8	2.86%	0	-1.4	45	0
2	Sep_26_2008	797.77	671.25	659.74	690.42			689.68(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	21	-10000	7	64	0.89	41%	-0.15	-34.7	2.56%	0	0.5	49	0
3	Sep_25_2008	798.95	673.63	655.63	684.69			693.52(2.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	21	-10000	14	43	1.15	41%	-0.13	-40.1	2.63%	0	0.5	50	0
4	Sep_24_2008	800.02	676.63	651.01	672.66			678.88(-1.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	-10000	14	6	1.38	41%	-0.14	-42.4	2.62%	0	0.1	45	0
5	Sep_23_2008	801.12	679.87	649.01	660.88			689.04(-1.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	9	-10000	21	-28	1.74	41%	-0.11	-46.2	2.62%	0	0.2	44	0

6	Sep_22_2008	801.99	682.28	645.39	643.06			700.96(6.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-3	-10000	22	-79	2.32	41%	-0.06	-53.1	2.62%	0	0.4	45	0
7	Sep_19_2008	802.46	683.87	642.94	624.94			661.04(4.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-35	-10000	2	-144	1.62	34%	-0.08	-60.9	2.52%	0	-0.5	29	0
8	Sep_18_2008	803.09	689.73	645.04	623.12			633.36(2.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-47	-10000	-5	-172	2.12	31%	-0.14	-54.5	2.48%	0	-1	20	0
9	Sep_17_2008	804.18	695.69	650.99	626.83			620(3.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-56	-10000	-11	-190	2.54	31%	-0.16	-53.6	2.47%	0	-1.4	13	0
10	Sep_16_2008	805.45	702.02	659.6	635.58			599.92(-1.72%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-60	-10000	-15	-194	2.69	27%	-0.21	-51.6	2.43%	0	-2	11	0

11	Sep_15_2008	807.14	709.01	671.19	647.36			610.4(-6.37%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-61	-10000	-19	-185	2.15	27%	-0.2	-53.1	2.42%	0	-2.2	15	0
12	Sep_12_2008	808.72	715.67	684.51	662.77			651.92(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-47	-10000	-9	-160	2.28	30%	-0.12	-52.6	2.31%	0	-1.6	21	0
13	Sep_11_2008	809.67	720.43	693.84	670.08			651.92(-1.78%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-48	-10000	-11	-160	2.21	34%	-0.14	-55.2	2.32%	0	-1.9	16	0
14	Sep_10_2008	810.79	725.59	705.02	678.93			663.76(0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-43	-10000	-11	-137	1.82	34%	-0.12	-56.2	2.37%	0	-1.9	31	0
15	Sep_9_2008	811.78	729.34	713.85	687.68			658.8(-4.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-40	-10000	-13	-121	2.49	33%	-0.12	-60	2.37%	0	-2.4	34	0

16	Sep_8_2008	812.76	733.77	722.86	698.62			687.44(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-35	-10000	-13	-99	1.37	35%	-0.08	-68.4	2.34%	0	-1.9	42	0
17	Sep_5_2008	813.4	736.71	728.43	709.73			688.48(-1.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-28	-10000	-13	-72	1.57	45%	-0.06	-76.4	2.56%	0	-2.2	41	0
18	Sep_4_2008	813.92	740.97	738.1	721.46			696.16(-1.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-20	-10000	-14	-39	1.93	45%	-0.05	-74.8	2.64%	0	-2.2	41	0
19	Sep_3_2008	814.34	744.48	744.07	735.28			707.52(-0.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-10	-10000	-9	-14	1.62	44%	-0.03	-78.1	2.64%	0	-2.1	41	0
20	Sep_2_2008	814.58	747.45	747.99	744.02			713.52(-3.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.9	-3	-10000	-6	5	2.75	44%	0.13	-78.3	2.65%	0	-2.1	48	0

21	Aug_29_2008	813.54	750.81	750.25	750.27			742.96(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	5	-10000	1	16	1.1	44%	0.05	-61.9	2.59%	0	-0.4	52	0
22	Aug_28_2008	813.16	753.82	749.64	749.74			747.12(-2.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-4	-10000	-8	10	1.81	44%	0.04	-54	2.62%	0	-0.3	53	0
23	Aug_27_2008	812.8	756.27	749.22	757.46			765.28(1.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	7	-10000	3	20	1.69	43%	0.08	-40.6	2.61%	0	0.4	47	0
24	Aug_26_2008	812.11	758.49	747.48	754.77			751.2(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	4	-10000	2	11	1.42	43%	0.07	-40.3	2.62%	0	-0.3	47	0
25	Aug_25_2008	811.55	760.06	745.65	752.91			744.8(0.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	2	-10000	3	-1	1.23	43%		-47	2.64%	0	-0.6	45	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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