Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jul. 14, 2008

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $939.8400 (0.08%) ($932.0000 - $948.0000) on Mon. Jul. 14, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.3% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $939.8400(0.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(66%)    OIH(62%)    VWO(43%)    EEM(41%)    SPY(40%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -1.15% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    SHY(-13%)    TIP(2%)    LQD(3%)    PCY(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.15% (StdDev 2.3%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

5 Day Moving Average   $910.05(3.27%)
10 Day Moving Average   $916.64(2.53%)
20 Day Moving Average   $900.16(4.41%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   31.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 2.88% (three month std-dev: 2.3%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080814

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_14_2008	775.92	900.16	916.64	910.05			939.84(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	9	-10000	4	25	0.94	60%	0.41	33	2.3%	0	1.5	63	0
2	Jul_11_2008	772.75	896.75	913.44	906			939.12(2.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	8	-10000	1	28	1.86	60%	0.42	26.1	2.31%	0	1.7	66	0
3	Jul_10_2008	769.48	894.08	909.8	905.09			914.72(4.28%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	7	-10000	-4	38	1.54	58%	0.37	39.5	2.29%	0	0.9	66	0
4	Jul_9_2008	766.62	892.64	905.49	909.09			877.2(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.4	4	-10000	-8	41	2.32	56%	0.33	65.7	2.24%	0	-0.7	50	0
5	Jul_8_2008	764.1	891.86	907.05	916.99			879.36(-4.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.6	11	-10000	-6	61	2.11	56%	0.16	83.5	2.25%	0	-0.5	55	0

6	Jul_7_2008	762.91	891.68	908.36	922.98			919.6(-1.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	22	-10000	2	83	1.71	61%	0.63	100.8	2.17%	0	1.2	63	0
7	Jul_3_2008	758.13	890.36	903.91	921.06			934.56(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	26	-10000	6	84	1.16	61%	0.46	106	2.15%	0	1.7	66	0
8	Jul_2_2008	754.64	885.25	896.06	915.14			934.72(1.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	28	-10000	14	68	2.27	63%	0.47	86.2	2.15%	0	1.6	60	0
9	Jul_1_2008	751.11	878.3	890.89	901.79			916.72(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	15	-10000	6	42	1.65	63%	0.44	62.7	2.17%	0	1.2	57	0
10	Jun_30_2008	747.84	872.87	886.04	895.97			909.28(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	12	-10000	4	35	1.49	60%	0.45	53.4	2.22%	0	1.2	64	0

11	Jun_27_2008	744.51	868.66	882.15	891.58			910(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	13	-10000	7	29	1.77	60%	0.48	45.5	2.23%	0	1.3	58	0
12	Jun_26_2008	740.93	864.36	878.24	884.21			904.96(4.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	10	-10000	10	11	1.91	62%	0.49	36.4	2.23%	0	1.3	51	0
13	Jun_25_2008	737.33	860.01	876.31	874.27			868(-2.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-2	-10000	-4	5	1.74	60%	0.43	22	2.23%	0	0.3	59	0
14	Jun_24_2008	734.19	858.98	878.29	878.1			887.6(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	-10000	4	43	1.19	60%	0.44	27.4	2.2%	0	0.9	69	0
15	Jun_23_2008	730.96	856.25	875.25	874.46			887.36(1.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	-10000	3	51	1.51	60%	0.45	26.3	2.21%	0	1	66	0

16	Jun_20_2008	727.66	854.47	873.64	871.38			873.12(2.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	-10000	-0	59	2	60%	0.41	29.9	2.23%	0	0.6	59	0
17	Jun_19_2008	724.66	853	875.84	871.47			855.28(-3.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	15	-10000	-7	79	2.23	56%	0.38	37.5	2.23%	0	0.1	57	0
18	Jun_18_2008	721.9	853.46	874.16	878.45			887.12(2.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	25	-10000	-0	101	1.57	61%	0.43	54.8	2.24%	0	1.1	64	0
19	Jun_17_2008	718.8	850.72	865.28	878.61			869.44(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	24	-10000	3	88	1.53	58%	0.41	60.8	2.26%	0	0.7	54	0
20	Jun_16_2008	715.84	848.4	859.38	875.95			871.92(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	19	-10000	-0	75	1.52	58%	0.43	61.7	2.31%	0	0.8	57	0

21	Jun_13_2008	712.81	845.72	854.79	876.05			873.6(-1.86%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	13	-10000	-5	66	1.24	58%	0.44	62.4	2.32%	0	1	53	0
22	Jun_12_2008	709.69	842.19	849.91	880.8			890.16(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	-10000	12	77	1.77	58%	0.48	65.9	2.3%	0	1.6	57	0
23	Jun_11_2008	706.28	837.69	842.49	869.09			887.92(3.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	27	-10000	20	47	2.24	58%	0.47	57.7	2.3%	0	1.8	52	0
24	Jun_10_2008	702.97	833.8	837.8	849.87			856.16(-1.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	-10000	11	14	2.47	57%	0.22	46.5	2.26%	0	0.9	54	0
25	Jun_9_2008	701.4	831.08	835.39	839.68			872.4(-2.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	7	-10000	10	-1	1.71	57%		40.1	2.26%	0	1.6	59	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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