Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jun. 27, 2008

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $910.0000 (0.56%) ($905.2000 - $926.1600) on Fri. Jun. 27, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.23% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $910.0000(0.56%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(66%)    OIH(62%)    VWO(43%)    EEM(41%)    SPY(40%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -1.115% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    SHY(-12%)    TIP(2%)    LQD(3%)    PCY(13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.115% (StdDev 2.23%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $891.58(2.07%)
10 Day Moving Average   $882.15(3.16%)
20 Day Moving Average   $868.66(4.76%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   40.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 3.65% (three month std-dev: 2.23%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080727

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_27_2008	744.51	868.66	882.15	891.58			910(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	13	-10000	7	29	1.77	60%	0.48	45.5	2.23%	0	1.3	58	0
2	Jun_26_2008	740.93	864.36	878.24	884.21			904.96(4.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	10	-10000	10	11	1.91	62%	0.49	36.4	2.23%	0	1.3	51	0
3	Jun_25_2008	737.33	860.01	876.31	874.27			868(-2.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-2	-10000	-4	5	1.74	60%	0.43	22	2.23%	0	0.3	59	0
4	Jun_24_2008	734.19	858.98	878.29	878.1			887.6(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	-10000	4	43	1.19	60%	0.44	27.4	2.2%	0	0.9	69	0
5	Jun_23_2008	730.96	856.25	875.25	874.46			887.36(1.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	-10000	3	51	1.51	60%	0.45	26.3	2.21%	0	1	66	0

6	Jun_20_2008	727.66	854.47	873.64	871.38			873.12(2.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	-10000	-0	59	2	60%	0.41	29.9	2.23%	0	0.6	59	0
7	Jun_19_2008	724.66	853	875.84	871.47			855.28(-3.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	15	-10000	-7	79	2.23	56%	0.38	37.5	2.23%	0	0.1	57	0
8	Jun_18_2008	721.9	853.46	874.16	878.45			887.12(2.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	25	-10000	-0	101	1.57	61%	0.43	54.8	2.24%	0	1.1	64	0
9	Jun_17_2008	718.8	850.72	865.28	878.61			869.44(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	24	-10000	3	88	1.53	58%	0.41	60.8	2.26%	0	0.7	54	0
10	Jun_16_2008	715.84	848.4	859.38	875.95			871.92(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	19	-10000	-0	75	1.52	58%	0.43	61.7	2.31%	0	0.8	57	0

11	Jun_13_2008	712.81	845.72	854.79	876.05			873.6(-1.86%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	13	-10000	-5	66	1.24	58%	0.44	62.4	2.32%	0	1	53	0
12	Jun_12_2008	709.69	842.19	849.91	880.8			890.16(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	-10000	12	77	1.77	58%	0.48	65.9	2.3%	0	1.6	57	0
13	Jun_11_2008	706.28	837.69	842.49	869.09			887.92(3.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	27	-10000	20	47	2.24	58%	0.47	57.7	2.3%	0	1.8	52	0
14	Jun_10_2008	702.97	833.8	837.8	849.87			856.16(-1.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	-10000	11	14	2.47	57%	0.22	46.5	2.26%	0	0.9	54	0
15	Jun_9_2008	701.4	831.08	835.39	839.68			872.4(-2.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	7	-10000	10	-1	1.71	57%	0.44	40.1	2.26%	0	1.6	59	0

16	Jun_6_2008	698.3	828.13	833.05	830.08			897.36(7.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.7	11	-10000	16	-5	4.14	59%	0.49	45.3	2.22%	0	2.8	63	0
17	Jun_5_2008	694.91	823.24	826.92	815.5			831.6(5.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-5	-10000	3	-27	1.56	58%	0.38	56.4	2.02%	0	0.4	58	0
18	Jun_4_2008	692.26	821.66	829.98	812.8			791.84(-1.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-15	-10000	-13	-19	1.48	53%	0.31	65.2	2.01%	0	-1.5	51	0
19	Jun_3_2008	690.1	821.77	834.68	823.9			805.2(-2.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-2	-10000	-7	13	1.22	53%	0.32	90.3	2.02%	0	-0.8	50	0
20	Jun_2_2008	687.92	820.54	836.89	829.68			824.4(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	2	-10000	-8	32	1.02	54%	0.36	91.7	2%	0	0.2	58	0

21	May_30_2008	685.45	817.03	836.61	835.92			824.48(0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	8	-10000	-5	47	1.35	54%	0.35	79.8	2.01%	0	0.3	53	0
22	May_29_2008	683.06	812.4	834.83	840.03			818.08(-3.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	5	-10000	-11	53	2.73	54%	0.33	65.6	2.03%	0	0.2	55	0
23	May_28_2008	680.83	808.82	833.71	849.71			847.36(1.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	23	-10000	3	83	1.68	59%	0.36	65.9	1.98%	0	1	64	0
24	May_27_2008	678.37	803.74	830.35	847.12			834.08(-2.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	24	-10000	3	87	1.36	59%	0.44	60.5	2.01%	0	0.8	64	0
25	May_23_2008	675.41	800.31	827.26	844.78			855.6(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	31	-10000	9	98	1.73	62%		61.1	1.96%	0	1.5	74	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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