Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Apr. 7, 2008

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $695.4400 (2.42%) ($691.9200 - $701.0400) on Mon. Apr. 7, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $695.4400(2.42%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(66%)    OIH(62%)    VWO(42%)    EEM(40%)    SPY(39%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -1% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    SHY(-11%)    TIP(3%)    LQD(3%)    PCY(13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1% (StdDev 2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $672.48(3.41%)
10 Day Moving Average   $670.76(3.68%)
20 Day Moving Average   $673.1(3.32%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   25.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 2.6% (three month std-dev: 2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080507

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_7_2008	611.85	673.1	670.76	672.48			695.44(2.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	18	-10000	13	33	0.53	64%	0.18	18.1	2%	0	1.3	57	0
2	Apr_4_2008	610.75	671.71	665.4	663.57			679.04(1.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-3	-10000	1	-14	0.55	63%	0.17	11.2	2.01%	0	0.4	46	0
3	Apr_3_2008	609.69	671.28	662.51	662.75			669.2(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-13	-10000	-5	-38	0.68	63%	0.15	15.3	2.01%	0	-0.1	43	0
4	Apr_2_2008	608.76	671.19	661.38	666.08			670.24(3.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-13	-10000	-2	-44	0.77	65%	0.18	30.5	2.01%	0	-0.1	43	0
5	Apr_1_2008	607.68	669.63	662.64	667.73			648.48(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-11	-10000	-1	-42	0.67	63%	0.12	28.9	2.02%	0	-1.1	39	0

6	Mar_31_2008	606.98	669.96	664.56	668.38			650.88(-3.57%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-1	-9	-10000	3	-46	0.98	63%	0.09	35.6	2.03%	0	-1	42	0
7	Mar_28_2008	606.43	669.84	668.58	666.62			674.96(-1.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-5	-10000	7	-42	0.61	67%	0.14	36.2	1.98%	0	0.3	52	0
8	Mar_27_2008	605.56	668.74	670.49	661.71			685.84(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-4	-10000	9	-44	0.59	67%	0.16	36.6	1.97%	0	0.9	55	0
9	Mar_26_2008	604.61	666.11	671.02	656.21			678.48(4.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.1	-15	-10000	-2	-52	0.77	69%	0.13	26.5	1.96%	0	0.6	55	0
10	Mar_25_2008	603.82	664.29	671.98	657.79			651.76(1.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-11	-10000	-5	-29	0.59	66%	0.11	30.6	1.92%	0	-0.6	59	0

11	Mar_24_2008	603.15	663.44	675.44	660.72			642.08(-1.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-14	-10000	-15	-11	0.53	66%	0.13	38	1.93%	0	-1	51	0
12	Mar_20_2008	602.39	663.08	678.7	670.72			650.4(-1.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-4	-10000	-14	26	1.47	68%	0.11	51.5	1.93%	0	-0.5	55	0
13	Mar_19_2008	601.72	661.78	681.2	680.18			658.32(-4.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	7	-10000	-11	62	1.37	68%	0.18	66.9	1.92%	0	-0.1	54	0
14	Mar_18_2008	600.65	660.74	682.43	687.58			686.4(3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	26	-10000	-1	107	1.08	73%	0.18	82.8	1.84%	0	1	68	0
15	Mar_17_2008	599.55	657.94	677.73	688.45			666.4(-3.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	23	-10000	-6	110	1.46	71%	0.17	91.9	1.82%	0	0.3	60	0

16	Mar_14_2008	598.54	655.19	676.53	692.18			692.08(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	41	-10000	7	144	1.07	78%	0.23	94.7	1.75%	0	1.4	72	0
17	Mar_13_2008	597.17	650.92	671.77	687.73			697.68(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	42	-10000	9	142	0.96	78%	0.27	97.9	1.75%	0	1.7	74	0
18	Mar_12_2008	595.57	645.7	667.05	682.42			695.36(0.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	44	-10000	10	146	1.16	80%	0.3	99.5	1.76%	0	1.8	76	0
19	Mar_11_2008	593.81	640.36	660.63	676.62			690.72(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	45	-10000	18	127	1.22	80%	0.28	99.5	1.87%	0	1.8	66	0
20	Mar_10_2008	592.16	635.56	655.45	665.52			685.04(2.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	33	-10000	11	100	0.77	80%	0.26	97.6	1.87%	0	1.9	67	0

21	Mar_7_2008	590.62	630.44	649.81	658.62			669.84(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	30	-10000	9	93	0.67	75%	0.22	96.4	1.85%	0	1.5	70	0
22	Mar_6_2008	589.32	625	645.66	653.33			671.12(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	27	-10000	6	89	0.71	77%	0.24	80	1.88%	0	1.6	71	0
23	Mar_5_2008	587.88	619.15	640.35	649.47			666.4(4.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	31	-10000	11	92	0.95	77%	0.23	67.1	1.92%	0	1.6	73	0
24	Mar_4_2008	586.52	613.9	636.89	642.46			635.2(-2.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	22	-10000	-2	95	0.77	74%	0.19	57.1	1.83%	0	0.7	69	0
25	Mar_3_2008	585.4	610.77	636.5	643.58			650.56(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	36	-10000	7	122	0.63	78%		56.2	1.82%	0	1.3	70	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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