Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Feb. 22, 2008

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $628.8000 (1.64%) ($617.1200 - $630.0800) on Fri. Feb. 22, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.86% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $628.8000(1.64%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO advances 5.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(66%)    OIH(62%)    VWO(42%)    EEM(40%)    SPY(39%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -0.93% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    SHY(-11%)    TIP(3%)    LQD(3%)    PCY(13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.93% (StdDev 1.86%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $623.98(0.77%)
10 Day Moving Average   $609.72(3.13%)
20 Day Moving Average   $590.91(6.41%)
To recent high   -0.9%
To recent low   14.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 4.05% (three month std-dev: 1.86%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080322

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_22_2008	576.52	590.91	609.72	623.98			628.8(1.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	51	-10000	8	179	0.58	64%	0.23	65.7	1.86%	0	1.6	72	0
2	Feb_21_2008	575.19	587.73	602.93	619.44			618.64(-2.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	47	-10000	9	159	0.77	64%	0.23	62.6	1.86%	0	1.4	62	0
3	Feb_20_2008	573.85	584.58	596.57	614.29			634.56(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	47	-10000	17	135	0.48	70%	0.26	52.1	1.84%	0	2.2	64	0
4	Feb_19_2008	572.38	580.87	589.09	605.12			630.48(3.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	32	-10000	12	92	0.54	70%	0.38	39.9	1.9%	0	2.6	64	0
5	Feb_15_2008	570.21	577.71	582.79	598.3			607.44(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	24	-10000	9	70	0.42	69%	0.18	33.8	1.84%	0	1.9	60	0

6	Feb_14_2008	569.18	575.63	578.29	593.46			606.08(2.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	27	-10000	18	53	0.33	70%	0.2	20.6	1.84%	0	2.2	61	0
7	Feb_13_2008	568.02	573.88	575.2	583.92			592.88(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	18	-10000	15	28	0.28	66%	0.19	-8.1	1.85%	0	1.6	61	0
8	Feb_12_2008	566.95	573.2	574.06	575.78			588.72(-1.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	11	-10000	10	15	0.32	62%	0.17	-38.7	1.87%	0	1.4	64	0
9	Feb_11_2008	565.98	573.26	573.29	570.27			596.4(2.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	9	-10000	9	7	0.63	62%	0.18	-54.4	1.9%	0	2	62	0
10	Feb_8_2008	564.95	572.48	571.2	565.18			583.2(4.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	4	-10000	7	-6	0.83	61%	0.15	-85.3	1.88%	0	1	54	0

11	Feb_7_2008	564.11	572.77	570.23	561.3			558.4(1.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-12	-10000	-8	-22	0.41	57%	0.12	-104.5	1.79%	0	-1.2	47	0
12	Feb_6_2008	563.45	574.88	571.31	565.38			552.16(-1.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-13	-10000	-13	-14	0.51	59%	0.1	-96.3	1.79%	0	-1.8	40	0
13	Feb_5_2008	562.88	577.66	572.09	571.87			561.2(-1.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-8	-10000	-9	-5	0.67	59%	0.14	-78.4	1.81%	0	-1.2	40	0
14	Feb_4_2008	562.09	579.76	572.62	576.4			570.96(1.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-3	-10000	-3	-4	0.42	59%	0.17	-68.6	1.8%	0	-0.6	38	0
15	Feb_1_2008	561.14	581.99	572.77	577.97			563.76(-2.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-5	-10000	-4	-6	0.42	61%	0.15	-55.1	1.84%	0	-1.1	41	0

16	Jan_31_2008	560.29	585.03	573.37	580.28			578.8(-1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	1	-10000	4	-8	0.32	68%	0.18	-41.2	1.82%	0	-0.3	42	0
17	Jan_30_2008	559.27	587.3	572.88	578			584.64(0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	1	-10000	10	-25	0.33	63%	0.21	-32.5	1.93%	0	-0.1	40	0
18	Jan_29_2008	558.11	588.3	572.4	572.28			583.84(0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-8	-10000	7	-54	0.22	64%	0.21	-36.3	2%	0	-0.2	37	0
19	Jan_28_2008	556.94	589.4	573.06	568.39			578.8(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-17	-10000	2	-73	0.39	64%	0.22	-34.9	2.01%	0	-0.5	37	0
20	Jan_25_2008	555.73	590.93	573.47	567.09			575.3(1.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-22	-10000	2	-92	0.63	66%	0.21	-30	2.02%	0	-0.7	31	0

21	Jan_24_2008	554.56	592.55	574.96	565.68			567.44(2.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-31	-10000	-3	-113	0.63	68%	0.2	-23.8	2.05%	0	-1.2	24	0
22	Jan_23_2008	553.43	593.92	578.26	567.15			556(-1.49%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-38	-10000	-9	-123	0.66	67%	0.19	-19.4	2.08%	0	-1.9	17	0
23	Jan_22_2008	552.38	595.89	583.49	572.4			564.4(-1.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-35	-10000	-10	-111	0.58	67%	0.22	-10.8	2.07%	0	-1.7	35	0
24	Jan_18_2008	551.16	596.8	587.5	578.32			572.32(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-27	-10000	-4	-96	0.28	68%	0.24	-4.3	2.06%	0	-1.5	36	0
25	Jan_17_2008	549.84	597.29	592.01	580.8			568.24(-1.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-28	-10000	-8	-88	0.52	68%		-4	2.08%	0	-1.8	33	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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