Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ USO: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Feb. 7, 2008

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $558.4000 (1.13%) ($548.5600 - $560.5600) on Thu. Feb. 7, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.79% (three month average)
RSI   47
Latest Price   $558.4000(1.13%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO declines -0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO declines -0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(66%)    OIH(62%)    VWO(42%)    EEM(40%)    SPY(39%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -0.895% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    SHY(-11%)    TIP(3%)    LQD(3%)    PCY(13%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.895% (StdDev 1.79%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.7%

Resistance Level   $572.77
5 Day Moving Average   $561.3(-0.52%)
10 Day Moving Average   $570.23(-2.07%)
20 Day Moving Average   $572.77(-2.51%)
To recent high   -11%
To recent low   1.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 2.01% (three month std-dev: 1.79%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_7_2008	564.11	572.77	570.23	561.3			558.4(1.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-12	-10000	-8	-22	0.41	57%	0.12	-104.5	1.79%	0	-1.2	47	0
2	Feb_6_2008	563.45	574.88	571.31	565.38			552.16(-1.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-13	-10000	-13	-14	0.51	59%	0.1	-96.3	1.79%	0	-1.8	40	0
3	Feb_5_2008	562.88	577.66	572.09	571.87			561.2(-1.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-8	-10000	-9	-5	0.67	59%	0.14	-78.4	1.81%	0	-1.2	40	0
4	Feb_4_2008	562.09	579.76	572.62	576.4			570.96(1.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-3	-10000	-3	-4	0.42	59%	0.17	-68.6	1.8%	0	-0.6	38	0
5	Feb_1_2008	561.14	581.99	572.77	577.97			563.76(-2.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-5	-10000	-4	-6	0.42	61%	0.15	-55.1	1.84%	0	-1.1	41	0

6	Jan_31_2008	560.29	585.03	573.37	580.28			578.8(-1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	1	-10000	4	-8	0.32	68%	0.18	-41.2	1.82%	0	-0.3	42	0
7	Jan_30_2008	559.27	587.3	572.88	578			584.64(0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	1	-10000	10	-25	0.33	63%	0.21	-32.5	1.93%	0	-0.1	40	0
8	Jan_29_2008	558.11	588.3	572.4	572.28			583.84(0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-8	-10000	7	-54	0.22	64%	0.21	-36.3	2%	0	-0.2	37	0
9	Jan_28_2008	556.94	589.4	573.06	568.39			578.8(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-17	-10000	2	-73	0.39	64%	0.22	-34.9	2.01%	0	-0.5	37	0
10	Jan_25_2008	555.73	590.93	573.47	567.09			575.3(1.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-22	-10000	2	-92	0.63	66%	0.21	-30	2.02%	0	-0.7	31	0

11	Jan_24_2008	554.56	592.55	574.96	565.68			567.44(2.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-31	-10000	-3	-113	0.63	68%	0.2	-23.8	2.05%	0	-1.2	24	0
12	Jan_23_2008	553.43	593.92	578.26	567.15			556(-1.49%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-38	-10000	-9	-123	0.66	67%	0.19	-19.4	2.08%	0	-1.9	17	0
13	Jan_22_2008	552.38	595.89	583.49	572.4			564.4(-1.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-35	-10000	-10	-111	0.58	67%	0.22	-10.8	2.07%	0	-1.7	35	0
14	Jan_18_2008	551.16	596.8	587.5	578.32			572.32(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-27	-10000	-4	-96	0.28	68%	0.24	-4.3	2.06%	0	-1.5	36	0
15	Jan_17_2008	549.84	597.29	592.01	580.8			568.24(-1.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-28	-10000	-8	-88	0.52	68%	0.23	-4	2.08%	0	-1.8	33	0

16	Jan_16_2008	548.56	597.65	597.85	585.58			574.8(-1.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-24	-10000	-9	-70	0.52	69%	0.27	6.1	2.07%	0	-1.5	37	0
17	Jan_15_2008	547.09	597.91	603.14	591.02			582.24(-1.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-17	-10000	-9	-41	0.61	70%	0.28	21	2.07%	0	-1	49	0
18	Jan_14_2008	545.57	597.89	605.77	596.27			594(1.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-7	-10000	-3	-19	0.28	70%	0.31	36	2.08%	0	-0.2	54	0
19	Jan_11_2008	543.87	597.54	607.23	598.27			584.72(-1.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-9	-10000	-11	-4	0.4	71%	0.31	43.1	2.08%	0	-0.7	58	0
20	Jan_10_2008	542.18	597.97	610.01	605.02			592.16(-1.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-1	-10000	-11	28	0.55	71%	0.33	66	2.08%	0	-0.3	61	0

21	Jan_9_2008	540.39	596.68	611.77	611.98			602(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	11	-10000	-8	67	0.62	71%	0.35	80.3	2.07%	0	0.3	70	0
22	Jan_8_2008	538.51	594.5	611.05	617.14			608.48(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.5	24	-10000	1	94	0.33	69%	0.35	79.6	2.06%	0	0.7	69	0
23	Jan_7_2008	536.65	591.96	609.47	616.66			604(-2.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	24	-10000	-1	99	0.55	69%	0.33	71.9	2.09%	0	0.6	65	0
24	Jan_4_2008	534.88	590.21	607.13	617.28			618.48(-1.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	-10000	3	102	0.52	72%	0.37	67.9	2.07%	0	1.3	67	0
25	Jan_3_2008	532.93	586.8	603.14	615.58			626.96(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	-10000	6	95	0.63	72%		62.8	2.07%	0	1.9	67	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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