Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ USO: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Dec. 17, 2007

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $575.1200 (-0.51%) ($567.2800 - $575.8400) on Mon. Dec. 17, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.05% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $575.1200(-0.51%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(66%)    OIH(62%)    VWO(42%)    EEM(40%)    SPY(39%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -1.025% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-11%)    TIP(3%)    LQD(3%)    PCY(13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.025% (StdDev 2.05%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

Resistance Level   $578.82
5 Day Moving Average   $578.37(-0.56%)
10 Day Moving Average   $568.14(1.23%)
20 Day Moving Average   $578.82(-0.64%)
To recent high   -7%
To recent low   18.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 3.7% (three month std-dev: 2.05%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080117

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_17_2007	513.89	578.82	568.14	578.37			575.12(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	11	-10000	7	22	0.25	70%	0.22	-2.2	2.05%	0	-0.2	42	0
2	Dec_14_2007	512.75	579.58	567.12	574.32			578.08(-1.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	4	-10000	8	-9	0.27	70%	0.25	-8.9	2.05%	0	-0.1	38	0
3	Dec_13_2007	511.45	579.62	565.17	569.79			585.36(-0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-8	-10000	6	-49	0.55	70%	0.25	-17.5	2.05%	0	0.3	39	0
4	Dec_12_2007	510.18	579.37	563.61	566.35			591.2(5.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-7	-10000	15	-74	0.67	71%	0.3	-25.3	2.04%	0	0.6	41	0
5	Dec_11_2007	508.66	578.18	561.49	558.02			562.08(1.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-30	-10000	3	-128	0.4	69%	0.22	-43.3	1.96%	0	-0.7	27	0

6	Dec_10_2007	507.54	579.27	564.39	556.64			554.88(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-38	-10000	-4	-138	0.44	69%	0.2	-47.4	1.95%	0	-1.2	37	0
7	Dec_7_2007	506.54	581.48	569.58	558.78			555.44(-2.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-32	-10000	-1	-123	0.43	69%	0.2	-45.6	1.96%	0	-1.3	39	0
8	Dec_6_2007	505.55	583.44	575.2	559.55			568.16(3.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-29	-10000	-2	-109	0.52	71%	0.23	-43.5	1.93%	0	-0.8	48	0
9	Dec_5_2007	504.38	584.86	579.28	560.54			549.52(-1.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-31	-10000	-9	-98	0.65	70%	0.21	-40.8	1.9%	0	-1.8	41	0
10	Dec_4_2007	503.32	587.63	586.21	565.52			555.2(-1.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-26	-10000	-14	-63	0.35	71%	0.22	-25.9	1.89%	0	-1.8	49	0

11	Dec_3_2007	502.22	589.48	590.59	573.36			565.6(1.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-21	-10000	-16	-35	0.62	71%	0.24	-13.6	1.88%	0	-1.4	46	0
12	Nov_30_2007	501	591.05	593.47	582.24			559.28(-2.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-19	-10000	-20	-14	0.73	71%	0.25	8.7	1.88%	0	-2	39	0
13	Nov_29_2007	499.77	592.21	595.96	593.2			573.12(-0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-7	-10000	-14	15	0.51	74%	0.27	36.8	1.84%	0	-1.3	45	0
14	Nov_28_2007	498.4	593.01	597.16	600.88			574.4(-3.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2	-5	-10000	-16	30	0.65	74%	0.28	69.4	1.87%	0	-1.4	44	0
15	Nov_27_2007	497.02	592.4	597.03	609.74			594.4(-2.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	12	-10000	-1	49	0.52	78%	0.32	88.3	1.81%	0	0.1	47	0

16	Nov_26_2007	495.41	591.73	595.97	610.05			610(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	18	-10000	7	52	0.3	81%	0.35	103.4	1.77%	0	1.2	58	0
17	Nov_23_2007	493.66	589.7	594.57	606.29			614.08(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	21	-10000	13	45	0.08	81%	0.37	106.8	1.77%	0	1.6	56	0
18	Nov_21_2007	491.84	587.05	592.19	599.15			611.52(-1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	17	-10000	12	30	0.48	79%	0.38	87	1.76%	0	1.4	62	0
19	Nov_20_2007	489.99	583.74	590.34	593.01			618.72(3.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	20	-10000	20	19	0.39	79%	0.4	69.8	1.77%	0	1.7	60	0
20	Nov_19_2007	488.06	579.23	588.27	582.75			595.92(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	5	-10000	5	4	0.34	78%	0.36	52.3	1.74%	0	0.8	64	0

21	Nov_16_2007	486.32	576.19	587.43	580			591.2(2.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-3	-10000	-3	-4	0.43	74%	0.36	47.9	1.74%	0	0.7	54	0
22	Nov_15_2007	484.59	573.59	587.68	581.39			578.4(-0.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-1	-10000	-6	13	0.43	74%	0.34	54.7	1.77%	0	0.2	54	0
23	Nov_14_2007	482.94	572.05	587.8	584.24			580.8(2.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	3	-10000	-6	31	0.32	74%	0.36	62.8	1.77%	0	0.4	57	0
24	Nov_13_2007	481.21	569.8	588.44	587.25			567.44(-2.53%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	5	-10000	-14	62	0.63	73%	0.32	71.4	1.76%	0	-0.1	60	0
25	Nov_12_2007	479.67	568.4	587.9	594.3			582.16(-2.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	27	-10000	-2	112	0.47	76%		84.8	1.72%	0	0.5	68	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.