Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jun. 11, 2007

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $398.7200 (1.59%) ($392.8800 - $400.4000) on Mon. Jun. 11, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.48% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $398.7200(1.59%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(65%)    OIH(61%)    VWO(41%)    EEM(39%)    SPY(38%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -0.74% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-11%)    TIP(3%)    LQD(3%)    GLD(18%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.74% (StdDev 1.48%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $399.81(-0.27%)
10 Day Moving Average   $396.47(0.57%)
20 Day Moving Average   $396.47(0.57%)
To recent high   -7%
To recent low   3.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 1.56% (three month std-dev: 1.48%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070711

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_11_2007	397.27	396.47	396.47	399.81			398.72(1.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-1	-10000	-3	7	0.33	53%	0.11	53.2	1.48%	0	0.4	44	0
2	Jun_8_2007	396.83	395.99	396.17	400.63			392.48(-3.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	1	-10000	-2	8	0.43	48%	0.12	57.8	1.49%	0	-0.5	45	0
3	Jun_7_2007	396.35	395.7	396.15	401.27			405.2(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	9	-10000	9	7	0.39	52%	0.13	51.5	1.44%	0	1.4	52	0
4	Jun_6_2007	395.83	394.65	395.6	398.56			402.49(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	10	-10000	12	5	0.31	52%	0.14	31.8	1.46%	0	1.1	60	0
5	Jun_5_2007	395.26	393.96	395.16	395.2			400.16(-0.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	5	-10000	9	-9	0.3	49%	0.01	9.5	1.47%	0	0.9	56	0

6	Jun_4_2007	395.21	393.19	395.63	392.61			402.8(1.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	2	-10000	5	-9	0.79	49%	0.12	-18	1.51%	0	1.4	60	0
7	Jun_1_2007	394.74	392.35	395.29	391.25			395.68(1.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	1	-10000	3	-6	0.23	46%	0.11	-44	1.49%	0	0.5	56	0
8	May_31_2007	394.32	392.24	395.8	390.4			391.68(1.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-5	-10000	-6	-0	0.48	46%	0.08	-56.6	1.51%	0	-0.1	57	0
9	May_30_2007	394.02	392.47	395.58	392.34			385.68(-0.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-3	-10000	-9	14	0.3	44%	0.02	-57.7	1.5%	0	-1	54	0
10	May_29_2007	393.94	393.32	396.37	395.07			387.2(-2.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-2	-10000	-13	31	0.53	44%	0.05	-46.5	1.5%	0	-0.9	50	0

11	May_25_2007	393.75	394.4	396.69	398.94			396(1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	13	-10000	-3	62	0.16	50%	0.04	-24.5	1.5%	0	0.2	60	0
12	May_24_2007	393.58	395.22	396.03	399.9			391.44(-2.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	12	-10000	-7	70	0.31	50%	-0.01	-13.7	1.5%	0	-0.4	56	0
13	May_23_2007	393.61	395.98	395.56	401.87			401.36(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	27	-10000	9	82	0.29	53%	0.02	-0.8	1.48%	0	0.6	55	0
14	May_22_2007	393.53	396.33	393.87	399.25			399.36(-1.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	17	-10000	5	54	0.31	53%	0.02	-4.2	1.48%	0	0.3	51	0
15	May_21_2007	393.47	396.47	392.82	397.76			406.56(1.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	19	-10000	13	37	0.47	59%	-0.02	-8.1	1.47%	0	1	50	0

16	May_18_2007	393.54	396.51	390.52	394.14			400.8(-0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	4	-10000	8	-9	0.24	59%	-0.03	-18.5	1.49%	0	0.4	39	0
17	May_17_2007	393.64	396.45	388.99	391.7			401.28(3.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-4	-10000	11	-48	0.4	59%	-0.03	-31.4	1.5%	0	0.5	36	0
18	May_16_2007	393.74	396.06	388.08	388.48			388.24(-0.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-19	-10000	3	-86	0.34	57%	-0.07	-49.4	1.45%	0	-0.8	33	0
19	May_15_2007	394	396.73	388.84	387.65			391.92(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-25	-10000	2	-104	0.26	57%	-0.01	-54.4	1.47%	0	-0.5	33	0
20	May_14_2007	394.02	397.25	389.76	387.09			388.48(-0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-25	-10000	3	-109	0.19	57%	-0.09	-56.3	1.47%	0	-0.9	39	0

21	May_11_2007	394.39	398.3	391.72	386.29			388.56(0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-27	-10000	1	-110	0.29	55%	-0.1	-55	1.54%	0	-1	35	0
22	May_10_2007	394.79	399.47	394.16	385.86			385.2(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-31	-10000	-6	-104	0.3	55%	-0.12	-57.8	1.55%	0	-1.4	42	0
23	May_9_2007	395.28	400.88	396.38	387.66			384.08(-1.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-27	-10000	-8	-85	0.44	55%	-0.13	-59.6	1.56%	0	-1.8	47	0
24	May_8_2007	395.79	401.95	399.05	390.19			389.12(1.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-23	-10000	-9	-66	0.43	58%	-0.1	-65.9	1.55%	0	-1.5	44	0
25	May_7_2007	396.17	402.8	400.55	392.94			384.48(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-25	-10000	-16	-53	0.51	58%		-74.1	1.6%	0	-2.3	41	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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