Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jan. 23, 2007

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $365.2000 (4.13%) ($353.6800 - $366.6400) on Tue. Jan. 23, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.88% (three month average)
RSI   29
Latest Price   $365.2000(4.13%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO declines -4.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(65%)    OIH(61%)    VWO(41%)    EEM(39%)    SPY(38%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -0.94% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-11%)    TIP(3%)    LQD(3%)    GLD(18%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.94% (StdDev 1.88%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.9%

Resistance Level   $378.62
5 Day Moving Average   $354.13(3.13%)
10 Day Moving Average   $356.8(2.35%)
20 Day Moving Average   $378.62(-3.54%)
To recent high   -17.1%
To recent low   5.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 6.22% (three month std-dev: 1.88%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_23_2007	424.05	378.62	356.8	354.13			365.2(4.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-27	-10000	11	-140	0.97	36%	-0.14	-76.8	1.88%	0	-0.6	29	0
2	Jan_22_2007	424.66	381.79	357.95	350.43			350.72(-1.33%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	0	-52	-10000	-4	-196	1.33	31%	-0.39	-78.3	1.8%	0	-1.3	23	0
3	Jan_19_2007	426.34	385.79	361	351.84			355.44(2.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-53	-10000	0	-210	0.75	33%	-0.4	-71	1.81%	0	-1.2	24	0
4	Jan_18_2007	428.06	389.27	363.24	351.7			345.84(-2.15%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-69	-10000	-10	-245	1.69	28%	-0.42	-68	1.79%	0	-1.6	16	0
5	Jan_17_2007	429.88	393.73	368.09	354.98			353.44(1.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-76	-10000	-16	-255	1.42	29%	-0.39	-63.7	1.79%	0	-1.5	16	0

6	Jan_16_2007	431.56	397.62	373.78	359.97			346.72(-3.09%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-77	-10000	-20	-249	1.15	29%	-0.66	-59.6	1.77%	0	-1.8	10	0
7	Jan_12_2007	434.41	401.62	380.14	366.61			357.76(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-71	-10000	-15	-238	1.31	31%	-0.42	-57.8	1.74%	0	-1.7	10	0
8	Jan_11_2007	436.24	404.92	385.43	371.58			354.72(-2.08%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-69	-10000	-15	-232	1.13	30%	-0.41	-58.7	1.75%	0	-2	7	0
9	Jan_10_2007	438.04	408.59	391.39	376.4			362.24(-4.27%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-71	-10000	-20	-223	0.79	30%	-0.41	-63.1	1.75%	0	-2.1	16	0
10	Jan_9_2007	439.86	412.09	397.57	382.99			378.4(-0.4%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-69	-10000	-21	-212	0.5	33%	-0.38	-67	1.68%	0	-1.7	17	0

11	Jan_8_2007	441.54	414.82	402.36	389.87			379.92(-0.71%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-60	-10000	-18	-184	0.49	33%	-0.35	-64.8	1.68%	0	-2	22	0
12	Jan_5_2007	443.09	417.51	407.61	395.97			382.64(1.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-51	-10000	-17	-151	0.45	33%	-0.34	-63.4	1.68%	0	-2.2	30	0
13	Jan_4_2007	444.61	420.22	412.63	401.6			378.8(-4.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-45	-10000	-20	-120	0.56	33%	-0.37	-58.9	1.68%	0	-3	29	0
14	Jan_3_2007	446.26	423.13	417.58	408.46			395.2(-4.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-36	-10000	-17	-91	0.4	33%	-0.83	-57.4	1.62%	0	-2.8	33	0
15	Dec_29_2006	449.98	425.47	421.62	414.1			412.8(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-20	-10000	-8	-57	0.13	34%	-0.33	-37.4	1.62%	0	-1.5	38	0

16	Dec_28_2006	451.45	426.68	423.36	416.88			410.4(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-22	-10000	-13	-47	0.16	34%	-0.36	-15.1	1.62%	0	-2	35	0
17	Dec_27_2006	453.07	427.88	424.79	421.28			410.8(-0.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-17	-10000	-12	-33	0.15	38%	-0.36	10.5	1.62%	0	-2.3	35	0
18	Dec_26_2006	454.7	428.56	425.97	425.52			413.12(-2.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-11	-10000	-7	-21	0.18	38%	-0.59	40.5	1.67%	0	-2.4	34	0
19	Dec_22_2006	457.4	428.97	427.23	427.95			423.36(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-9	-10000	-6	-17	0.09	40%	-0.31	59.3	1.65%	0	-0.9	41	0
20	Dec_21_2006	458.82	428.63	427.79	430.16			426.72(-1.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-5	-10000	-2	-14	0.13	42%	-0.31	76.2	1.67%	0	-0.3	37	0

21	Dec_20_2006	460.26	427.93	428.19	430.78			432.4(0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	1	-10000	5	-13	0.13	40%	-0.28	62.1	1.67%	0	0.6	45	0
22	Dec_19_2006	461.56	427.13	427.98	428.91			432(1.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-1	-10000	6	-23	0.19	38%	-0.27	52.7	1.69%	0	0.6	49	0
23	Dec_18_2006	462.81	425.99	428.11	426.59			425.28(-2.1%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-6	-10000	1	-26	0.12	38%	-0.27	34.6	1.74%	0	-0.1	55	0
24	Dec_15_2006	464.05	425.2	428.92	426.34			434.4(1.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-2	-10000	3	-16	0.16	39%	-0.27	22.3	1.72%	0	0.9	65	0
25	Dec_14_2006	465.3	423.77	429.34	425.18			429.84(1.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-2	-10000	-1	-4	0.19	39%		4.5	1.71%	0	0.6	66	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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