Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ USO: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Dec. 19, 2006

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $432.0000 (1.58%) ($423.6000 - $433.9200) on Tue. Dec. 19, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.69% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $432.0000(1.58%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO declines -0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(65%)    OIH(61%)    VWO(40%)    EEM(39%)    SPY(38%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -0.845% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-11%)    TIP(3%)    LQD(3%)    GLD(18%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.845% (StdDev 1.69%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2%

5 Day Moving Average   $428.91(0.72%)
10 Day Moving Average   $427.98(0.94%)
20 Day Moving Average   $427.13(1.14%)
To recent high   -5.5%
To recent low   6.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 1.86% (three month std-dev: 1.69%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070119

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_19_2006	461.56	427.13	427.98	428.91			432(1.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-1	-10000	6	-23	0.19	38%	-0.27	52.7	1.69%	0	0.6	49	0
2	Dec_18_2006	462.81	425.99	428.11	426.59			425.28(-2.1%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-6	-10000	1	-26	0.12	38%	-0.27	34.6	1.74%	0	-0.1	55	0
3	Dec_15_2006	464.05	425.2	428.92	426.34			434.4(1.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-2	-10000	3	-16	0.16	39%	-0.27	22.3	1.72%	0	0.9	65	0
4	Dec_14_2006	465.3	423.77	429.34	425.18			429.84(1.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-2	-10000	-1	-4	0.19	39%	-0.27	4.5	1.71%	0	0.6	66	0
5	Dec_13_2006	466.54	423.26	429.95	425.39			423.04(0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	1	-10000	-4	15	0.2	39%	-0.28	2.1	1.71%	0	-0	65	0

6	Dec_12_2006	467.85	422.99	431.02	427.01			420.4(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	3	-10000	-8	34	0.2	37%	-0.3	4.9	1.71%	0	-0.2	57	0
7	Dec_11_2006	469.27	422.94	431.38	429.81			424(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	11	-10000	-5	60	0.22	36%	-0.28	8.5	1.72%	0	0.1	66	0
8	Dec_8_2006	470.61	423.03	431.03	431.73			428.64(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	15	-10000	-6	78	0.22	35%	-0.26	15.8	1.72%	0	0.5	71	0
9	Dec_7_2006	471.86	423.3	429.8	434.08			430.88(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	23	-10000	-3	100	0.23	35%	-0.27	31.9	1.73%	0	0.7	75	0
10	Dec_6_2006	473.15	423.04	427.93	435.23			431.12(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	25	-10000	-1	102	0.29	35%	-0.29	40.1	1.73%	0	0.8	57	0

11	Dec_5_2006	474.51	422.49	426.47	435.63			434.4(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	32	-10000	7	108	0.25	35%	-0.3	44	1.74%	0	1.1	61	0
12	Dec_4_2006	475.92	422.05	423.89	433.09			433.6(-1.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	-10000	8	90	0.28	35%	-0.32	44	1.74%	0	1.1	59	0
13	Dec_1_2006	477.45	421.38	421.31	430.05			440.4(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	27	-10000	14	66	0.19	34%	-0.31	32.2	1.75%	0	1.9	56	0
14	Nov_30_2006	478.92	419.9	417.66	424.85			436.64(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	15	-10000	14	19	0.27	34%	-0.28	10.7	1.74%	0	1.9	47	0
15	Nov_29_2006	480.26	418.83	415.73	419.62			433.12(2.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	5	-10000	10	-12	0.32	34%	-0.27	-17.5	1.74%	0	1.8	51	0

16	Nov_28_2006	481.55	417.94	413.9	416.16			421.68(0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-2	-10000	8	-33	0.23	30%	-0.28	-36	1.7%	0	0.5	50	0
17	Nov_27_2006	482.91	417.64	413.46	413.38			418.4(0.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-9	-10000	6	-53	0.23	30%	-0.29	-48.3	1.72%	0	0.1	44	0
18	Nov_24_2006	484.33	418.24	414.08	411.2			414.4(0.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-12	-10000	5	-62	0.13	30%	-0.48	-47.4	1.71%	0	-0.5	46	0
19	Nov_22_2006	486.68	418.95	416.02	409.26			410.48(-1.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-18	-10000	-5	-58	0.33	29%	-0.16	-49.3	1.71%	0	-0.9	51	0
20	Nov_21_2006	487.45	420.26	417.66	411.17			415.84(1.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-11	-10000	-1	-41	0.26	31%	-0.3	-38	1.7%	0	-0.5	50	0

21	Nov_20_2006	488.9	420.62	418.16	411.42			407.76(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-15	-10000	-6	-40	0.23	29%	-0.31	-42.5	1.7%	0	-1.5	46	0
22	Nov_17_2006	490.42	421.27	420.18	413.63			407.52(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-14	-10000	-11	-23	0.38	28%	-0.3	-48.2	1.7%	0	-1.7	47	0
23	Nov_16_2006	491.92	422.07	421.73	417.41			404.72(-3.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-17	-10000	-17	-16	0.58	28%	-0.29	-42.2	1.7%	0	-2.2	37	0
24	Nov_15_2006	493.36	423.45	422.76	423.66			420(0.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-2	-10000	-4	5	0.39	29%	-0.25	-21.4	1.66%	0	-0.5	45	0
25	Nov_14_2006	494.61	423.61	422.55	425.1			417.12(-0.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-2	-10000	-2	-3	0.19	29%		-14.1	1.66%	0	-0.9	38	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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