Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ USO: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Dec. 5, 2006

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $434.4000 (0.18%) ($427.0400 - $438.3200) on Tue. Dec. 5, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.74% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $434.4000(0.18%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO advances 3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(65%)    OIH(61%)    VWO(40%)    EEM(39%)    SPY(38%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -0.87% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-11%)    TIP(3%)    LQD(3%)    GLD(18%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.87% (StdDev 1.74%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $435.63(-0.28%)
10 Day Moving Average   $426.47(1.86%)
20 Day Moving Average   $422.49(2.82%)
To recent high   -14.2%
To recent low   7.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 2.48% (three month std-dev: 1.74%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070105

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_5_2006	474.51	422.49	426.47	435.63			434.4(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	32	-10000	7	108	0.25	35%	-0.3	44	1.74%	0	1.1	61	0
2	Dec_4_2006	475.92	422.05	423.89	433.09			433.6(-1.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	-10000	8	90	0.28	35%	-0.32	44	1.74%	0	1.1	59	0
3	Dec_1_2006	477.45	421.38	421.31	430.05			440.4(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	27	-10000	14	66	0.19	34%	-0.31	32.2	1.75%	0	1.9	56	0
4	Nov_30_2006	478.92	419.9	417.66	424.85			436.64(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	15	-10000	14	19	0.27	34%	-0.28	10.7	1.74%	0	1.9	47	0
5	Nov_29_2006	480.26	418.83	415.73	419.62			433.12(2.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	5	-10000	10	-12	0.32	34%	-0.27	-17.5	1.74%	0	1.8	51	0

6	Nov_28_2006	481.55	417.94	413.9	416.16			421.68(0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-2	-10000	8	-33	0.23	30%	-0.28	-36	1.7%	0	0.5	50	0
7	Nov_27_2006	482.91	417.64	413.46	413.38			418.4(0.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-9	-10000	6	-53	0.23	30%	-0.29	-48.3	1.72%	0	0.1	44	0
8	Nov_24_2006	484.33	418.24	414.08	411.2			414.4(0.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-12	-10000	5	-62	0.13	30%	-0.48	-47.4	1.71%	0	-0.5	46	0
9	Nov_22_2006	486.68	418.95	416.02	409.26			410.48(-1.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-18	-10000	-5	-58	0.33	29%	-0.16	-49.3	1.71%	0	-0.9	51	0
10	Nov_21_2006	487.45	420.26	417.66	411.17			415.84(1.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-11	-10000	-1	-41	0.26	31%	-0.3	-38	1.7%	0	-0.5	50	0

11	Nov_20_2006	488.9	420.62	418.16	411.42			407.76(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-15	-10000	-6	-40	0.23	29%	-0.31	-42.5	1.7%	0	-1.5	46	0
12	Nov_17_2006	490.42	421.27	420.18	413.63			407.52(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-14	-10000	-11	-23	0.38	28%	-0.3	-48.2	1.7%	0	-1.7	47	0
13	Nov_16_2006	491.92	422.07	421.73	417.41			404.72(-3.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-17	-10000	-17	-16	0.58	28%	-0.29	-42.2	1.7%	0	-2.2	37	0
14	Nov_15_2006	493.36	423.45	422.76	423.66			420(0.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-2	-10000	-4	5	0.39	29%	-0.25	-21.4	1.66%	0	-0.5	45	0
15	Nov_14_2006	494.61	423.61	422.55	425.1			417.12(-0.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-2	-10000	-2	-3	0.19	29%	-0.25	-14.1	1.66%	0	-0.9	38	0

16	Nov_13_2006	495.87	424.35	422.64	425.84			418.8(-1.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-5	-10000	-5	-5	0.47	29%	-0.24	-9.3	1.66%	0	-0.8	49	0
17	Nov_10_2006	497.05	425.26	422.45	427.6			426.4(-2.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	3	-10000	3	4	0.24	28%	-0.22	-1.8	1.66%	0	0.2	55	0
18	Nov_9_2006	498.15	425.37	422.86	426.61			436(2.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	13	-10000	14	11	0.3	29%	-0.19	-9.4	1.66%	0	1.5	57	0
19	Nov_8_2006	499.11	424.87	421.95	421.81			427.2(1.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	0	-10000	6	-17	0.25	27%	-0.19	-35.2	1.63%	0	0.3	47	0
20	Nov_7_2006	500.07	424.58	422.78	419.76			420.8(-1.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-3	-10000	2	-17	0.2	30%	-0.21	-50.3	1.61%	0	-0.5	50	0

21	Nov_6_2006	501.12	425.01	423	418.96			427.6(1.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-1	-10000	7	-26	0.23	30%	-0.21	-49.4	1.67%	0	0.4	47	0
22	Nov_3_2006	502.15	425.39	422.12	416.61			421.44(2.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-19	-10000	-6	-57	0.27	30%	-0.22	-60.5	1.65%	0	-0.5	41	0
23	Nov_2_2006	503.24	426.04	422.19	418.72			412(-1.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-22	-10000	-10	-57	0.33	28%	-0.23	-62.3	1.62%	0	-1.8	42	0
24	Nov_1_2006	504.4	427.3	424.15	422.16			416.96(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-19	-10000	-12	-39	0.42	28%	-0.21	-65.9	1.63%	0	-1.5	46	0
25	Oct_31_2006	505.45	428.11	424.84	426.29			416.8(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-6	-10000	-3	-15	0.48	30%		-70.1	1.64%	0	-1.7	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.