Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ USO: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Oct. 30, 2006

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $415.8400 (-3.74%) ($414.8800 - $426.2400) on Mon. Oct. 30, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.65% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $415.8400(-3.74%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(65%)    OIH(62%)    VWO(40%)    EEM(39%)    SPY(38%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -0.825% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-11%)    TIP(3%)    LQD(3%)    GLD(18%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.825% (StdDev 1.65%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.2%

Resistance Level   $428.64
5 Day Moving Average   $427.47(-2.72%)
10 Day Moving Average   $426.38(-2.47%)
20 Day Moving Average   $428.64(-2.99%)
To recent high   -27.8%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 1.6% (three month std-dev: 1.65%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20061130

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_30_2006	506.66	428.64	426.38	427.47			415.84(-3.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-3	-10000	-2	-7	0.38	30%	-0.26	-76.3	1.65%	0	-1.9	45	0
2	Oct_27_2006	507.96	429.98	428.59	428.1			432(0.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	5	-10000	6	-0	0.14	30%	-0.21	-65.2	1.61%	0	0.3	47	0
3	Oct_26_2006	509.02	430.96	428.26	426.1			429.2(-1.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-5	-10000	-1	-17	0.17	30%	-0.22	-54.6	1.61%	0	-0.2	47	0
4	Oct_25_2006	510.12	432.06	428.08	426.5			437.6(3.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	2	-10000	9	-19	0.29	31%	-0.22	-44.5	1.6%	0	0.5	49	0
5	Oct_24_2006	511.26	432.88	426.4	423.54			422.72(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-17	-10000	-6	-50	0.15	27%	-0.25	-45	1.53%	0	-0.9	45	0

6	Oct_23_2006	512.55	433.93	427.08	425.38			418.96(-0.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-20	-10000	-12	-42	0.22	27%	-0.26	-43.8	1.53%	0	-1.4	48	0
7	Oct_20_2006	513.88	435.28	428.87	429.14			422(-2.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-9	-10000	-4	-25	0.18	27%	-0.22	-46	1.54%	0	-1.3	40	0
8	Oct_19_2006	515.02	436.11	430.18	430.58			431.2(1.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-7	-10000	2	-32	0.14	28%	-0.22	-55.5	1.52%	0	-0.5	37	0
9	Oct_18_2006	516.14	436.88	430.65	429.82			422.8(-2.11%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.7	-12	-10000	1	-51	0.2	25%	-0.24	-66.5	1.5%	0	-1.4	33	0
10	Oct_17_2006	517.39	437.83	431.69	429.5			431.92(-1.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-17	-10000	2	-74	0.15	25%	-0.17	-83.7	1.49%	0	-0.6	35	0

11	Oct_16_2006	518.26	438.71	431.14	428.99			437.76(1.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-22	-10000	1	-92	0.19	25%	-0.2	-82	1.5%	0	-0.1	47	0
12	Oct_13_2006	519.32	440.01	431.42	428.8			429.2(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-28	-10000	-4	-101	0.23	26%	-0.22	-80.7	1.47%	0	-0.9	42	0
13	Oct_12_2006	520.48	441.71	433.75	429.92			427.44(1.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-25	-10000	-6	-81	0.24	26%	-0.2	-82.9	1.52%	0	-1.1	47	0
14	Oct_11_2006	521.51	443.57	436.22	431.78			421.2(-1.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-23	-10000	-7	-69	0.19	26%	-0.24	-84.8	1.52%	0	-1.6	38	0
15	Oct_10_2006	522.75	446.1	439.81	434			429.36(-1.7%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-9	-10000	2	-42	0.2	27%	-0.19	-90.2	1.52%	0	-1.2	46	0

16	Oct_9_2006	523.77	448.11	441.32	433.31			436.8(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-16	-10000	-3	-54	0.2	28%	-0.17	-96.9	1.51%	0	-0.8	44	0
17	Oct_6_2006	524.67	450.19	442.2	434.45			434.8(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-26	-10000	-12	-69	0.16	28%	-0.19	-93.9	1.51%	0	-0.9	36	0
18	Oct_5_2006	525.68	452.71	442.58	438.38			436.72(1.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-26	-10000	-10	-72	0.19	28%	-0.17	-86.7	1.51%	0	-0.9	38	0
19	Oct_4_2006	526.59	455.53	443.65	441.68			432.32(1.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-30	-10000	-15	-73	0.24	28%	-0.2	-81.4	1.52%	0	-1.2	35	0
20	Oct_3_2006	527.62	458.72	444.63	446.67			425.92(-3.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-26	-10000	-10	-73	0.23	28%	-0.21	-73	1.51%	0	-1.5	30	0

21	Oct_2_2006	528.72	462.7	447.21	450.16			442.48(-2.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-20	-10000	-2	-72	0.1	30%	-0.21	-76.1	1.46%	0	-1	36	0
22	Sep_29_2006	529.84	465.96	449.48	450.74			454.48(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-11	-10000	11	-78	0.11	34%	-0.21	-74.4	1.43%	0	-0.5	35	0
23	Sep_28_2006	530.94	468.96	450.27	447.26			453.2(-0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-26	-10000	4	-116	0.17	34%	-0.2	-74.1	1.45%	0	-0.6	32	0
24	Sep_27_2006	532.01	472.08	451.3	446.05			457.28(3.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-29	-10000	10	-146	0.24	34%	-0.17	-72.3	1.45%	0	-0.6	30	0
25	Sep_26_2006	532.93	474.78	452.5	442.67			443.36(-0.45%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	0	-53	-10000	-4	-198	0.2	30%		-76.8	1.39%	0	-1.2	20	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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