Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ USO: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Sep. 27, 2006

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $457.2800 (3.14%) ($436.4800 - $457.6000) on Wed. Sep. 27, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.45% (three month average)
RSI   30
Latest Price   $457.2800(3.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO declines -3.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(65%)    OIH(62%)    VWO(40%)    EEM(39%)    EWI(37%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -0.725% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-10%)    TIP(3%)    LQD(3%)    GLD(18%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.725% (StdDev 1.45%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.3%

Resistance Level   $472.08
5 Day Moving Average   $446.05(2.52%)
10 Day Moving Average   $451.3(1.33%)
20 Day Moving Average   $472.08(-3.14%)
To recent high   -22%
To recent low   4.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 5.53% (three month std-dev: 1.45%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20061027

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_27_2006	532.01	472.08	451.3	446.05			457.28(3.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-29	-10000	10	-146	0.24	34%	-0.17	-72.3	1.45%	0	-0.6	30	0
2	Sep_26_2006	532.93	474.78	452.5	442.67			443.36(-0.45%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	0	-53	-10000	-4	-198	0.2	30%	-0.19	-76.8	1.39%	0	-1.2	20	0
3	Sep_25_2006	533.95	478.53	455.12	444			445.36(1.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-67	-10000	-14	-225	0.23	30%	-0.19	-78.2	1.4%	0	-1.2	18	0
4	Sep_22_2006	534.96	482.82	458.5	448.24			437.12(-2.24%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-72	-10000	-18	-235	0.24	27%	-0.21	-72.1	1.38%	0	-1.6	11	0
5	Sep_21_2006	536.07	487.68	463.5	453.71			447.12(1.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-68	-10000	-12	-236	0.26	28%	-0.22	-67.8	1.36%	0	-1.4	11	0

6	Sep_20_2006	537.24	491.74	468.24	457.33			440.4(-2.13%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-75	-10000	-20	-241	0.42	26%	-0.26	-68.3	1.37%	0	-1.9	5	0
7	Sep_19_2006	538.65	496.63	474.03	463.65			450(-3.55%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-66	-10000	-13	-226	0.26	27%	-0.23	-67.7	1.35%	0	-1.8	12	0
8	Sep_18_2006	539.9	501.16	479.67	467.66			466.56(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-64	-10000	-9	-229	0.19	30%	-0.17	-68.4	1.28%	0	-1.4	13	0
9	Sep_15_2006	540.82	504.37	483.89	470.42			464.48(-0.15%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-71	-10000	-15	-239	0.26	30%	-0.16	-73.4	1.28%	0	-1.6	9	0
10	Sep_14_2006	541.69	507.69	489.2	474.96			465.2(-1.44%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-73	-10000	-20	-233	0.16	30%	-0.17	-78.7	1.28%	0	-1.8	9	0

11	Sep_13_2006	542.62	511.41	494.58	481.02			472(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-65	-10000	-16	-211	0.21	29%	-0.17	-84.4	1.28%	0	-1.8	17	0
12	Sep_12_2006	543.57	515.16	498.84	486.14			470.08(-2.13%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-67	-10000	-22	-203	0.18	29%	-0.18	-87.8	1.32%	0	-2.2	14	0
13	Sep_11_2006	544.57	519.19	503.9	493.42			480.32(-1.41%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-60	-10000	-18	-186	0.2	30%	-0.19	-93.4	1.31%	0	-2.1	15	0
14	Sep_8_2006	545.61	523.1	509.13	499.36			487.2(-1.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-54	-10000	-19	-157	0.17	31%	-0.15	-89.3	1.32%	0	-2	27	0
15	Sep_7_2006	546.44	526.62	513.85	505.6			495.52(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-42	-10000	-14	-126	0.12	31%	-0.15	-86.7	1.3%	0	-1.8	31	0

16	Sep_6_2006	547.25	530.28	517.16	510.26			497.6(-1.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-34	-10000	-9	-108	0.13	31%	-0.13	-77.9	1.33%	0	-1.8	28	0
17	Sep_5_2006	547.95	533.91	521.1	513.44			506.48(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-31	-10000	-7	-103	0.09	33%	-0.1	-71.2	1.31%	0	-1.5	27	0
18	Sep_1_2006	548.48	537.34	524.39	515.95			510(-1.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-34	-10000	-13	-98	0.07	38%	-0.07	-60.7	1.36%	0	-1.4	27	0
19	Aug_31_2006	548.89	539.82	526.47	520.43			518.4(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-32	-10000	-9	-99	0.09	40%	-0.05	-53.9	1.35%	0	-1.2	26	0
20	Aug_30_2006	549.14	542.13	527.56	523.55			518.8(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-30	-10000	-5	-105	0.14	40%	-0.05	-48.1	1.36%	0	-1.3	27	0

21	Aug_29_2006	549.41	544.65	529.44	525.31			513.52(-1.06%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-41	-10000	-13	-126	0.12	40%	-0.06	-43.9	1.35%	0	-1.7	20	0
22	Aug_28_2006	549.73	547.14	532.7	529.89			519.04(-2.51%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-39	-10000	-11	-124	0.13	40%	-0.06	-38.4	1.36%	0	-1.7	21	0
23	Aug_25_2006	550.04	549.12	535.68	533.95			532.4(-0.3%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-30	-10000	2	-126	0.12	47%	-0.03	-36.6	1.32%	0	-1.1	22	0
24	Aug_24_2006	550.23	550.01	538.05	533.36			534(1.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-30	-10000	3	-127	0.05	44%	-0.03	-41.6	1.36%	0	-1.1	38	0
25	Aug_23_2006	550.4	551.25	540.2	532.24			527.6(-1.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-39	-10000	-5	-139	0.09	47%		-44.2	1.39%	0	-1.7	32	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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