Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. May. 23, 2006

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $542.1600 (2.25%) ($537.6800 - $547.3600) on Tue. May. 23, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.71% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $542.1600(2.25%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO declines -1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(61%)    VWO(40%)    EEM(38%)    EWI(37%)    SPY(37%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -0.855% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-10%)    REMX(0%)    LQD(3%)    TIP(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.855% (StdDev 1.71%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $535.63(-1.2%)
Resistance Level   $546.97
5 Day Moving Average   $531.3(2.04%)
10 Day Moving Average   $539.09(0.57%)
20 Day Moving Average   $546.97(-0.88%)
To recent high   -6.9%
To recent low   3.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 2.69% (three month std-dev: 1.71%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060623

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_23_2006	552.23	546.97	539.09	531.3			542.16(2.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-11	-10000	4	-56	0.08	46%	-0.06	-68	1.71%	0	-0.3	40	0
2	May_22_2006	552.57	548.06	539.49	529.58			530.24(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-22	-10000	-1	-83	0.1	42%	-0.14	-69.4	1.69%	0	-1.2	29	0
3	May_19_2006	553.34	549.96	540.86	530.14			524.56(-1.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-35	-10000	-12	-103	0.1	42%	-0.19	-62.8	1.7%	0	-1.6	30	0
4	May_18_2006	554.37	552.84	542.98	535.81			533.92(1.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-32	-10000	-12	-92	0.08	44%	-0.14	-48.4	1.7%	0	-1.2	42	0
5	May_17_2006	555.13	554.61	544.33	541.5			525.6(-1.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-30	-10000	-14	-77	0.1	44%	-0.2	-31.3	1.7%	0	-1.9	42	0

6	May_16_2006	556.26	557.15	548.01	548.02			533.6(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-17	-10000	-6	-48	0.1	44%	-0.16	-12.3	1.71%	0	-1.7	42	0
7	May_15_2006	557.17	558.86	552.39	550.74			533.04(-3.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-11	-10000	-4	-30	0.08	44%	-0.18	0.5	1.75%	0	-2.1	39	0
8	May_12_2006	558.17	560.28	556.34	552.74			552.88(-1.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-2	-10000	4	-21	0.08	50%	-0.04	0	1.62%	0	-0.7	43	0
9	May_11_2006	558.4	560.27	556.79	550.96			562.4(0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-5	-10000	7	-42	0.13	54%	0.03	0	1.61%	0	0.2	40	0
10	May_10_2006	558.22	559.37	555.52	547.79			558.16(2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-19	-10000	-2	-68	0.09	54%	0	0	1.64%	0	-0.1	46	0

11	May_9_2006	558.22	558.82	555.3	548.51			547.2(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-31	-10000	-14	-83	0.1	50%	-0.1	0	1.63%	0	-0.9	39	0
12	May_8_2006	558.78	558.81	557.1	554.82			543.04(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-24	-10000	-12	-60	0.16	50%	-0.15	0	1.66%	0	-1.3	42	0
13	May_5_2006	559.6	558.81	559.67	560.61			544(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-4	-10000	-5	-2	0.08	50%	-0.16	0	1.71%	0	44.5	47	0
14	May_4_2006	560.47	558.81	563.49	563.2			546.56(-2.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-1	-10000	-1	-0	0.19	50%	-0.15	0	1.75%	0	45.6	51	0
15	May_3_2006	561.29	558.81	565.87	563.81			561.76(-2.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	2	-10000	2	1	0.13	57%	0.01	0	1.66%	0	47.5	60	0

16	May_2_2006	561.26	558.81	567.13	562.72			578.72(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	6	-10000	7	3	0.11	67%	0.21	0	1.5%	0	47.5	65	0
17	May_1_2006	560.1	558.81	565.74	560			572(2.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	2	-10000	2	1	0.07	67%	0.15	0	1.54%	0	48.9	64	0
18	Apr_28_2006	559.25	558.81	564.37	559.22			556.96(1.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-10	-10000	-12	-5	0.11	60%	-0.03	0	1.45%	0	47.8	50	0
19	Apr_27_2006	559.42	558.81	563.96	564.32			549.6(-1.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-8	-10000	-9	-4	0.08	60%	-0.15	0	1.47%	0	45.5	50	0
20	Apr_26_2006	560.24	558.81	563.66	568.14			556.32(-1.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-8	-10000	-9	-4	0.11	60%	-0.06	0	1.48%	0	45.6	50	0

21	Apr_25_2006	560.6	558.81	562.85	571.84			565.12(-0.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	0	-10000	-0	0	0.36	68%	0.08	0	1.43%	0	44.5	50	0
22	Apr_24_2006	560.14	558.81	560.9	572.02			568.08(-2.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	4	-10000	5	2	0.13	68%	0.16	0	1.48%	0	42.9	50	0
23	Apr_21_2006	559.26	558.81	560.9	570.06			582.48(2.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	17	-10000	20	8	0.13	84%	0.52	0	1.11%	0	42.6	50	0
24	Apr_20_2006	556.36	558.81	560.9	563.68			568.72(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	16	-10000	19	8	0.11	79%	0.32	0	1%	0	49.1	50	0
25	Apr_19_2006	554.59	558.81	560.9	558.48			574.8(1.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	23	-10000	27	11	0.1	92%		0	0.78%	0	50.7	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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