Trading Signals: USLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Feb. 22, 2017

Trading Signals: USLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Thu. Jul. 2, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Silver ETN)
USLV latest price $16.2000 (1.12%) ($15.8750 - $16.2100) on Wed. Feb. 22, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.6% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $16.2000(1.12%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   USLV advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USLV advances 3.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USLV advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SLV(14%)    GLD(13%)    SIL(11%)    GDX(10%)    BWX(7%)
Factors Impacting USLV price   USLV will decline at least -1.8% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-7%)    IPO(-5%)    TBT(-2%)    XLK(-1%)    VIXM(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.8% (StdDev 3.6%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $16.16(0.25%)
10 Day Moving Average   $15.95(1.57%)
20 Day Moving Average   $15.29(5.95%)
To recent high   -1.2%
To recent low   47.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. USLV is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. USLV price fluctuates within 5.82% (three month std-dev: 3.6%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20170322

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_22_2017	14.73	15.29	15.95	16.16			16.2(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	15	-10000	1	58	2.17	68%	-0.07	65.3	3.6%	0	1	67	0
2	Feb_21_2017	14.74	15.18	15.87	16.12			16.02(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	17	-10000	2	60	1.71	68%	-0.81	62.9	3.6%	0	0.9	64	0
3	Feb_17_2017	14.86	15.08	15.82	16.05			16.12(-1.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	-10000	1	73	1.15	68%	-0.4	65.2	3.58%	0	1.1	75	0
4	Feb_16_2017	14.92	14.97	15.69	16.03			16.39(1.99%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	27	-10000	8	84	1.71	68%	-0.4	68.9	3.63%	0	1.6	78	0
5	Feb_15_2017	14.98	14.84	15.53	15.81			16.07(0.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	25	-10000	4	87	1.4	68%	-0.4	68.3	3.63%	0	1.4	81	0

6	Feb_14_2017	15.04	14.73	15.42	15.7			16(2.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	27	-10000	4	96	1.85	60%	-0.46	73.1	3.66%	0	1.5	72	0
7	Feb_13_2017	15.11	14.63	15.32	15.58			15.66(-2.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	25	-10000	1	97	1.47	60%	-0.53	81.6	3.82%	0	1.3	66	0
8	Feb_10_2017	15.19	14.51	15.16	15.55			16.02(4.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	26	-10000	7	83	2.12	47%	-0.59	84.6	4.54%	0	1.9	67	0
9	Feb_9_2017	15.28	14.37	14.96	15.3			15.28(-1.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	21	-10000	3	73	1.36	44%	-0.65	82	4.5%	0	1.2	65	0
10	Feb_8_2017	15.38	14.27	14.77	15.21			15.54(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	20	-10000	4	66	2.01	44%	-0.45	82.2	4.5%	0	1.7	70	0

11	Feb_7_2017	15.45	14.15	14.58	15.09			15.39(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	16	-10000	2	58	1.84	44%	-0.45	90.2	4.51%	0	1.7	65	0
12	Feb_6_2017	15.52	14.02	14.44	15.02			15.5(4.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	21	-10000	9	57	2.08	44%	-0.32	99.4	4.52%	0	2.1	62	0
13	Feb_3_2017	15.57	13.88	14.29	14.72			14.79(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	-10000	5	49	1.59	41%	-0.45	96.5	4.48%	0	1.3	66	0
14	Feb_2_2017	15.64	13.78	14.2	14.57			14.81(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	20	-10000	10	50	1.49	41%	-0.45	99.8	4.49%	0	1.5	67	0
15	Feb_1_2017	15.71	13.67	14.09	14.25			14.95(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	15	-10000	8	37	1.39	46%	-0.44	94.2	4.5%	0	1.9	69	0

16	Jan_31_2017	15.78	13.53	13.98	13.99			15.07(7.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	13	-10000	7	29	2.85	46%	-0.44	92.4	4.61%	0	2.3	67	0
17	Jan_30_2017	15.85	13.35	13.87	13.78			13.99(-0.14%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	6	-10000	-1	27	1.38	41%	-0.5	98.9	4.51%	0	1.1	65	0
18	Jan_27_2017	15.93	13.25	13.81	13.81			14.01(6.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	10	-10000	1	37	2.16	41%	-0.62	86.4	4.52%	0	1.1	67	0
19	Jan_26_2017	16.03	13.14	13.73	13.79			13.21(-3.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	8	-10000	-3	39	1.94	37%	-0.68	81.5	4.45%	0	0.1	56	0
20	Jan_25_2017	16.14	13.06	13.74	13.89			13.68(-2.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	12	-10000	-2	52	1.25	37%	-0.8	78.6	4.44%	0	0.7	67	0

21	Jan_24_2017	16.27	12.93	13.71	13.94			13.99(-1.2%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	16	-10000	-1	67	1.45	37%	-0.12	71.7	4.45%	0	1.2	74	0
22	Jan_23_2017	16.29	12.79	13.59	13.98			14.16(1.8%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	27	-10000	6	88	1.01	37%	-0.55	72.2	4.45%	0	1.6	82	0
23	Jan_20_2017	16.38	12.66	13.44	13.81			13.91(1.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	-10000	5	87	1.2	37%	-0.49	51.8	4.44%	0	1.3	71	0
24	Jan_19_2017	16.46	12.54	13.34	13.67			13.7(-1.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	27	-10000	4	94	1.62	37%	-0.42	36	4.44%	0	1.2	72	0
25	Jan_18_2017	16.53	12.43	13.22	13.56			13.94(-1.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	-10000	4	101	2.04	37%		18.9	4.44%	0	1.6	76	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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