Trading Signals: USLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Nov. 2, 2016

Trading Signals: USLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Thu. Jul. 2, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Silver ETN)
USLV latest price $19.1600 (2.41%) ($19.1400 - $19.9010) on Wed. Nov. 2, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.41% (three month average)
RSI   77
Latest Price   $19.1600(2.41%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   USLV advances 3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USLV advances 4.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USLV advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SLV(15%)    GLD(13%)    SIL(11%)    GDX(10%)    BWX(7%)
Factors Impacting USLV price   USLV will decline at least -2.205% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-7%)    TBT(-3%)    XLK(-1%)    VIXM(-1%)    QQQ(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.205% (StdDev 4.41%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $17.8(7.64%)
10 Day Moving Average   $17.25(11.07%)
20 Day Moving Average   $16.84(13.78%)
To recent high   -33%
To recent low   20.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. USLV is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. USLV price fluctuates within 4.57% (three month std-dev: 4.41%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161202

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_2_2016	21.86	16.84	17.25	17.8			19.16(2.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.8	26	-10000	13	64	1.8	39%	0.05	-49.7	4.41%	0	3	77	0
2	Nov_1_2016	21.85	16.73	17	17.29			18.71(7.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	18	-10000	9	43	1.8	39%	0.05	-122.1	4.41%	0	3.4	73	0
3	Oct_31_2016	21.84	16.65	16.78	16.96			17.4(1.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	11	-10000	5	30	0.93	34%	0	-103.5	4.3%	0	0.8	66	0
4	Oct_28_2016	21.84	16.79	16.66	16.79			17.06(2.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	8	-10000	4	18	0.75	34%	0	-77.9	4.3%	0	0.2	53	0
5	Oct_27_2016	21.84	17	16.57	16.66			16.68(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	3	-10000	1	10	0.35	41%	0	-70.8	4.29%	0	-0.2	55	0

6	Oct_26_2016	21.84	17.23	16.54	16.61			16.62(-2.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	2	-10000	-1	10	0.41	41%	0.09	-69.1	4.55%	0	-0.3	61	0
7	Oct_25_2016	21.82	17.48	16.53	16.65			17.03(2.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	4	-10000	2	9	0.82	41%	0.09	-67.8	4.55%	0	-0.2	47	0
8	Oct_24_2016	21.8	17.7	16.45	16.58			16.56(0.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	1	-10000	2	-3	1.09	41%	0.05	-63.2	4.54%	0	-0.5	41	0
9	Oct_21_2016	21.79	18	16.45	16.51			16.41(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-8	-10000	1	-35	0.4	45%	0.14	-57.2	4.55%	0	-0.6	23	0
10	Oct_20_2016	21.76	18.35	16.46	16.47			16.41(-2.61%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0	-18	-10000	0	-73	0.99	42%	0.14	-49.2	4.65%	0	-0.7	20	0

11	Oct_19_2016	21.73	18.74	16.41	16.46			16.85(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-26	-10000	2	-108	1.66	42%	0.14	-43.1	4.74%	0	-0.6	24	0
12	Oct_18_2016	21.7	19.11	16.43	16.39			16.67(2.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-33	-10000	2	-139	0.68	42%	-0.23	-40.2	4.74%	0	-0.8	22	0
13	Oct_17_2016	21.75	19.39	16.49	16.31			16.19(-0.18%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0	-45	-10000	-3	-171	0.59	42%	0.09	-39.9	4.72%	0	-1	18	0
14	Oct_14_2016	21.73	19.69	16.91	16.42			16.22(-0.98%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-45	-10000	-1	-177	0.6	42%	0.05	-40.6	4.73%	0	-1.1	16	0
15	Oct_13_2016	21.72	19.94	17.45	16.44			16.38(-0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-44	-10000	2	-182	0.85	42%	0.09	-43.4	4.73%	0	-1.2	15	0

16	Oct_12_2016	21.7	20.21	17.95	16.35			16.48(1.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-53	-10000	-4	-199	0.84	42%	0.09	-49.5	4.77%	0	-1.3	14	0
17	Oct_11_2016	21.68	20.48	18.48	16.49			16.26(-2.93%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-56	-10000	-6	-205	0.85	42%	0.05	-55.3	4.78%	0	-1.5	14	0
18	Oct_10_2016	21.67	20.75	19.04	16.72			16.75(2.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-66	-10000	-19	-205	1.19	42%	0.09	-64	4.77%	0	-1.6	30	0
19	Oct_7_2016	21.65	21.03	19.64	17.51			16.35(2.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-63	-10000	-25	-178	1.99	44%	0.05	-63.3	4.88%	0	-2	29	0
20	Oct_6_2016	21.64	21.33	20.39	18.64			15.89(-7.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-51	-10000	-24	-133	2.99	44%	0	-56.4	4.91%	0	-2.5	34	0

21	Oct_5_2016	21.64	21.74	21.28	19.8			17.18(-1.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-35	-10000	-19	-84	1.82	46%	0	-43.6	4.84%	0	-2.4	36	0
22	Oct_4_2016	21.64	22.12	22.04	20.75			17.41(-16.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-23	-10000	-17	-40	2.64	46%	0	-24	4.87%	0	-2.7	37	0
23	Oct_3_2016	21.64	22.54	22.59	21.65			20.73(-5.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-7	-10000	-8	-4	1.48	52%	0.19	1	4.5%	0	-1.3	51	0
24	Sep_30_2016	21.6	22.67	22.76	22.07			21.98(1.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-3	-10000	-7	10	1.29	63%	0.23	19.2	4.8%	0	-0.5	52	0
25	Sep_29_2016	21.55	22.64	22.67	22.44			21.68(-1.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-5	-10000	-11	15	0.54	65%		30.5	4.91%	0	-0.7	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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