Trading Signals: USLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 4, 2016

Trading Signals: USLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Thu. Jul. 2, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Silver ETN)
USLV latest price $27.4600 (-0.79%) ($27.1200 - $27.8300) on Thu. Aug. 4, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.77% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $27.4600(-0.79%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   USLV advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USLV advances 4.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USLV advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SLV(15%)    GLD(13%)    SIL(12%)    GDX(11%)    BWX(7%)
Factors Impacting USLV price   USLV will decline at least -2.385% in a week (0% probabilities).
IPO(-10%)    UUP(-7%)    TBT(-3%)    XLK(-1%)    VIXM(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.385% (StdDev 4.77%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $27.82(-1.29%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.83(2.35%)
20 Day Moving Average   $26.63(3.12%)
To recent high   -4%
To recent low   99.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. USLV is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. USLV price fluctuates within 4.92% (three month std-dev: 4.77%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160904

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_4_2016	18.44	26.63	26.83	27.82			27.46(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	15	-10000	1	55	0.78	65%	0.77	53.9	4.77%	0	0.6	54	0
2	Aug_3_2016	18.3	26.51	26.65	27.73			27.68(-3.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	12	-10000	0	46	1.27	65%	0.83	70.6	4.78%	0	0.9	52	0
3	Aug_2_2016	18.15	26.46	26.28	27.72			28.59(2.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	18	-10000	12	34	1.6	62%	0.89	104	4.76%	0	1.7	52	0
4	Aug_1_2016	17.99	26.33	25.98	26.96			27.86(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	11	-10000	11	10	3.14	62%	0.84	121.9	4.81%	0	1.3	55	0
5	Jul_29_2016	17.84	26.2	25.83	26.24			27.49(1.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	4	-10000	9	-13	1.84	62%	0.85	137	4.85%	0	1.1	50	0

6	Jul_28_2016	17.69	25.94	25.71	25.69			27.01(-2.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-4	-10000	5	-31	1.82	64%	0.8	117.4	4.87%	0	0.7	50	0
7	Jul_27_2016	17.55	25.63	25.7	25.41			27.65(11.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	3	-10000	13	-27	2.79	64%	0.86	95.8	4.91%	0	1.1	60	0
8	Jul_26_2016	17.4	25.21	25.68	24.65			24.77(2.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-16	-10000	-4	-51	0.62	61%	0.69	70.7	4.71%	0	-0.2	45	0
9	Jul_25_2016	17.28	24.94	25.86	24.88			24.28(-1.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-18	-10000	-8	-46	1.1	61%	0.64	65.3	4.71%	0	-0.2	45	0
10	Jul_22_2016	17.17	24.7	26.18	25.35			24.75(-3.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-11	-10000	-6	-24	0.66	61%	0.7	65.6	4.7%	0	0	51	0

11	Jul_21_2016	17.05	24.36	26.42	25.71			25.62(7.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-2	-10000	-5	7	1.59	61%	0.83	63.3	4.68%	0	0.4	65	0
12	Jul_20_2016	16.91	23.97	26.39	26.04			23.85(-7.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-1	-10000	-13	36	2.28	59%	0.77	60.7	4.6%	0	-0	67	0
13	Jul_19_2016	16.78	23.67	26.71	26.83			25.91(-2.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	25	-10000	-2	107	0.86	66%	0.84	63.2	4.47%	0	0.6	78	0
14	Jul_18_2016	16.64	23.29	26.76	26.97			26.62(0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	35	-10000	-3	147	1.44	66%	0.91	63.7	4.72%	0	0.8	81	0
15	Jul_15_2016	16.49	22.86	26.64	27.13			26.57(-2.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	47	-10000	-2	194	1.37	66%	0.92	65.6	4.72%	0	0.9	81	0

16	Jul_14_2016	16.34	22.38	26.24	27.24			27.25(-2.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	65	-10000	7	240	1.51	66%	0.93	65.8	4.7%	0	1.1	85	0
17	Jul_13_2016	16.19	21.91	25.59	26.8			27.82(4.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	67	-10000	4	255	1.76	66%	0.94	66.4	4.7%	0	1.4	88	0
18	Jul_12_2016	16.04	21.39	24.72	26.58			26.59(-3.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	70	-10000	1	275	2.3	67%	0.88	72.2	4.68%	0	1.3	87	0
19	Jul_11_2016	15.9	20.93	23.97	26.51			27.44(1.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	80	-10000	7	298	2.13	69%	0.95	79.3	4.68%	0	1.7	83	0
20	Jul_8_2016	15.75	20.41	23.09	26.08			27.08(8.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	87	-10000	16	300	3.18	69%	0.9	86.1	4.83%	0	1.9	83	0

21	Jul_7_2016	15.61	19.9	22.13	25.09			25.07(-6.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	84	-10000	17	284	3.58	68%	0.77	91.2	4.76%	0	1.6	83	0
22	Jul_6_2016	15.49	19.46	21.35	24.14			26.74(2.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	88	-10000	30	261	4.51	71%	0.91	91.9	4.66%	0	2.3	80	0
23	Jul_5_2016	15.35	18.84	20.36	22.54			26.21(3.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	73	-10000	31	200	3.95	71%	0.85	87.1	4.67%	0	2.7	81	0
24	Jul_1_2016	15.22	18.26	19.48	21.04			25.3(14.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.9	58	-10000	29	145	3.82	68%	0.73	84.4	4.67%	0	3.1	79	0
25	Jun_30_2016	15.11	17.72	18.68	19.71			22.11(8.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	42	-10000	23	98	2.85	64%		84.8	4.46%	0	2.4	74	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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