Trading Signals: USLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jun. 24, 2016

Trading Signals: USLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Thu. Jul. 2, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Silver ETN)
USLV latest price $18.6500 (7.31%) ($18.4700 - $19.2400) on Fri. Jun. 24, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.31% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $18.6500(7.31%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   USLV advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USLV advances 3.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USLV advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SLV(15%)    GLD(14%)    SIL(12%)    GDX(11%)    BWX(8%)
Factors Impacting USLV price   USLV will decline at least -2.155% in a week (0% probabilities).
IPO(-10%)    UUP(-7%)    IBUY(-4%)    TBT(-3%)    XLK(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.155% (StdDev 4.31%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $17.67(5.55%)
10 Day Moving Average   $17.66(5.61%)
20 Day Moving Average   $16.51(12.96%)
To recent high   -4.1%
To recent low   61.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. USLV is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. USLV price fluctuates within 9.69% (three month std-dev: 4.31%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160724

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_24_2016	14.82	16.51	17.66	17.67			18.65(7.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	17	-10000	4	56	2.34	59%	0.47	47.8	4.31%	0	1.3	74	0
2	Jun_23_2016	14.75	16.3	17.66	17.51			17.38(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	19	-10000	2	69	0.68	52%	0.41	45.1	4.24%	0	0.7	71	0
3	Jun_22_2016	14.69	16.17	17.52	17.42			17.21(0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	19	-10000	-4	87	0.36	52%	0.48	38.8	4.53%	0	0.7	76	0
4	Jun_21_2016	14.62	16.03	17.48	17.59			17.12(-4.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	28	-10000	-3	121	0.8	52%	0.41	33.1	4.53%	0	0.7	76	0
5	Jun_20_2016	14.56	15.92	17.27	17.69			17.97(0.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	37	-10000	1	143	0.52	53%	0.55	28.7	4.48%	0	1.3	83	0

6	Jun_17_2016	14.48	15.77	17	17.64			17.85(5.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	40	-10000	2	153	0.94	55%	0.49	23.9	4.49%	0	1.4	75	0
7	Jun_16_2016	14.41	15.63	16.71	17.55			16.96(-6.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	37	-10000	-2	155	2.54	56%	0.42	17.8	4.48%	0	0.9	67	0
8	Jun_15_2016	14.35	15.58	16.42	17.63			18.06(2.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	46	-10000	7	163	1.38	58%	0.49	14	4.48%	0	1.8	76	0
9	Jun_14_2016	14.28	15.52	16	17.34			17.62(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	49	-10000	15	152	1.26	58%	0.49	9.8	4.47%	0	1.6	76	0
10	Jun_13_2016	14.21	15.48	15.61	16.78			17.71(1.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	40	-10000	15	115	1.22	58%	0.57	-0.1	4.49%	0	1.7	70	0

11	Jun_10_2016	14.13	15.42	15.26	16.24			17.39(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	31	-10000	14	82	1.56	60%	0.5	-15.9	4.5%	0	1.6	64	0
12	Jun_9_2016	14.06	15.38	14.97	15.75			17.36(4.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	30	-10000	21	56	2.33	60%	0.5	-30.9	4.54%	0	1.6	65	0
13	Jun_8_2016	13.99	15.38	14.67	15.04			16.61(12.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	14	-10000	17	6	1.85	58%	0.5	-43.6	4.53%	0	1	50	0
14	Jun_7_2016	13.92	15.39	14.67	14.47			14.81(-1.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-8	-10000	7	-52	0.81	54%	0.07	-58.1	4.35%	0	-0.4	27	0
15	Jun_6_2016	13.91	15.48	14.67	14.26			15.05(0.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-17	-10000	5	-81	0.96	54%	0.36	-67.2	4.36%	0	-0.3	31	0

16	Jun_3_2016	13.86	15.63	14.43	14.12			14.91(7.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-25	-10000	1	-104	1.34	57%	0.36	-68.7	4.39%	0	-0.5	32	0
17	Jun_2_2016	13.81	15.77	14.45	14.08			13.83(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-35	-10000	-5	-124	0.54	55%	0.29	-69.6	4.34%	0	-1.3	19	0
18	Jun_1_2016	13.77	15.97	14.67	14.24			13.76(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-35	-10000	-4	-129	0.78	55%	0.29	-68	4.35%	0	-1.5	15	0
19	May_31_2016	13.73	16.19	15.03	14.38			13.75(-4.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-35	-10000	-7	-120	0.8	55%	0.59	-65.4	4.41%	0	-1.7	28	0
20	May_27_2016	13.65	16.42	15.36	14.61			14.33(-2.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-32	-10000	-6	-108	0.59	55%	0.22	-56	4.34%	0	-1.4	35	0

21	May_26_2016	13.62	16.68	15.63	14.79			14.72(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-28	-10000	-2	-107	0.84	51%	0.37	-47.4	4.36%	0	-1.3	29	0
22	May_25_2016	13.57	16.88	15.84	14.87			14.65(1.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-34	-10000	-9	-110	0.65	51%	0.3	-44	4.5%	0	-1.6	32	0
23	May_24_2016	13.53	17.03	16.17	15.19			14.45(-3.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-38	-10000	-17	-99	0.66	51%	0.37	-39.2	4.51%	0	-2	30	0
24	May_23_2016	13.48	17.19	16.45	15.78			14.9(-2.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-29	-10000	-12	-81	0.57	51%	0.15	-29.1	4.49%	0	-2	31	0
25	May_20_2016	13.46	17.3	16.64	16.23			15.22(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-26	-10000	-10	-75	0.61	51%		-11.5	4.49%	0	-2.1	31	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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