Trading Signals: USLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Apr. 18, 2016

Trading Signals: USLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Thu. Jul. 2, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Silver ETN)
USLV latest price $14.7500 (-0.27%) ($14.7199 - $15.0790) on Mon. Apr. 18, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.25% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $14.7500(-0.27%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   USLV advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USLV advances 10.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USLV advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SLV(16%)    GLD(14%)    SIL(12%)    GDX(11%)    BWX(8%)
Factors Impacting USLV price   USLV will decline at least -2.125% in a week (0% probabilities).
IPO(-10%)    UUP(-7%)    TBT(-3%)    XLK(-1%)    VIXM(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.125% (StdDev 4.25%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $14.72(0.2%)
10 Day Moving Average   $13.7(7.66%)
20 Day Moving Average   $13.16(12.08%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   45.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. USLV is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. USLV price fluctuates within 8.66% (three month std-dev: 4.25%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160518

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_18_2016	11.79	13.16	13.7	14.72			14.75(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	41	-10000	5	150	0.53	64%	0.34	34.9	4.25%	0	1.4	66	0
2	Apr_15_2016	11.75	13.1	13.39	14.56			14.79(1.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	47	-10000	15	141	0.73	64%	0.26	35.7	4.28%	0	1.6	69	0
3	Apr_14_2016	11.72	13.06	13.1	14.11			14.55(-1.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	40	-10000	16	113	0.64	60%	0.34	28.7	4.28%	0	1.4	68	0
4	Apr_13_2016	11.68	13	12.91	13.65			14.81(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	37	-10000	20	89	1.38	63%	0.34	21.1	4.39%	0	1.8	67	0
5	Apr_12_2016	11.64	12.88	12.64	13.07			14.7(5.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	23	-10000	19	34	1.42	63%	0.43	4.1	4.48%	0	2	51	0

6	Apr_11_2016	11.59	12.77	12.4	12.54			13.93(10.73%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.7	10	-10000	17	-12	1.5	61%	0.26	-18.1	4.45%	0	1.4	48	0
7	Apr_8_2016	11.56	12.73	12.22	12.07			12.58(2.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-12	-10000	5	-63	0.74	55%	0.17	-36.1	4.27%	0	-0.2	39	0
8	Apr_7_2016	11.54	12.76	12.17	11.95			12.23(2.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-26	-10000	-4	-92	0.75	57%	0.09	-36.3	4.38%	0	-0.7	33	0
9	Apr_6_2016	11.53	12.79	12.19	12.06			11.93(-1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-26	-10000	-3	-96	0.56	57%	0.09	-29.7	4.44%	0	-1.1	38	0
10	Apr_5_2016	11.52	12.84	12.39	12.13			12.05(4.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-23	-10000	-4	-80	0.64	57%	0.09	-22.1	4.43%	0	-1.1	48	0

11	Apr_4_2016	11.51	12.92	12.58	12.24			11.58(-3.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-20	-10000	-5	-65	0.34	57%	0.09	-7.9	4.42%	0	-1.8	44	0
12	Apr_1_2016	11.5	13.01	12.81	12.37			11.94(-6.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-14	-10000	-2	-50	1.93	57%	0.09	9.2	4.4%	0	-1.6	43	0
13	Mar_31_2016	11.49	13.06	13.03	12.42			12.79(4.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-8	-10000	3	-39	0.59	60%	0.09	13.5	4.34%	0	-0.4	47	0
14	Mar_30_2016	11.48	13.02	13.1	12.34			12.27(-2.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-21	-10000	-14	-43	0.64	60%	0.09	4.4	4.31%	0	-1.1	50	0
15	Mar_29_2016	11.47	13.01	13.16	12.71			12.6(2.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-13	-10000	-10	-23	0.7	60%	0.09	11.9	4.3%	0	-0.6	50	0

16	Mar_28_2016	11.46	12.98	13.19	12.99			12.24(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-13	-10000	-12	-16	0.45	56%	-0.09	18	4.29%	0	-1	41	0
17	Mar_24_2016	11.47	12.95	13.29	13.33			12.2(-1.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-9	-10000	-13	2	0.58	56%	-0.09	19.1	4.46%	0	-0.9	45	0
18	Mar_23_2016	11.48	12.97	13.42	13.72			12.4(-12.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.7	3	-10000	-7	34	1.79	56%	-0.17	28.5	4.46%	0	-0.7	52	0
19	Mar_22_2016	11.5	12.99	13.46	13.95			14.12(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	-10000	11	66	0.69	61%	0	36.6	4.15%	0	1.5	69	0
20	Mar_21_2016	11.5	12.92	13.34	13.65			14.01(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	22	-10000	9	60	0.31	61%	0	27.6	4.15%	0	1.5	70	0

21	Mar_18_2016	11.5	12.85	13.29	13.41			13.91(-1.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	20	-10000	5	63	0.79	63%	-0.09	9.5	4.17%	0	1.5	68	0
22	Mar_17_2016	11.51	12.8	13.22	13.26			14.18(4.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	23	-10000	6	73	1.78	59%	-0.09	-2.5	4.28%	0	2.1	73	0
23	Mar_16_2016	11.52	12.75	13.06	13.1			13.52(6.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	21	-10000	6	64	0.67	60%	-0.26	-6.9	4.44%	0	1.3	58	0
24	Mar_15_2016	11.55	12.75	12.91	12.92			12.65(-1.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	10	-10000	-2	44	0.45	58%	-0.26	-15.7	4.5%	0	-0.1	50	0
25	Mar_14_2016	11.58	12.72	12.84	12.97			12.8(-2.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	5	-10000	-6	36	0.98	56%		-15.4	4.49%	0	0.1	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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