Trading Signals: USLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Mar. 22, 2016

Trading Signals: USLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Thu. Jul. 2, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Silver ETN)
USLV latest price $14.1200 (0.79%) ($13.8000 - $14.3600) on Tue. Mar. 22, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.15% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $14.1200(0.79%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   USLV advances 2.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USLV advances 4.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USLV advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SLV(16%)    GLD(14%)    SIL(12%)    GDX(11%)    BWX(8%)
Factors Impacting USLV price   USLV will decline at least -2.075% in a week (0% probabilities).
IPO(-10%)    UUP(-7%)    TBT(-3%)    XLK(-1%)    VIXM(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.075% (StdDev 4.15%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $13.95(1.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $13.46(4.9%)
20 Day Moving Average   $12.99(8.7%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   45.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. USLV is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. USLV price fluctuates within 5.93% (three month std-dev: 4.15%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160422

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_22_2016	11.5	12.99	13.46	13.95			14.12(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	-10000	11	66	0.69	61%	0	36.6	4.15%	0	1.5	69	0
2	Mar_21_2016	11.5	12.92	13.34	13.65			14.01(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	22	-10000	9	60	0.31	61%	0	27.6	4.15%	0	1.5	70	0
3	Mar_18_2016	11.5	12.85	13.29	13.41			13.91(-1.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	20	-10000	5	63	0.79	63%	-0.09	9.5	4.17%	0	1.5	68	0
4	Mar_17_2016	11.51	12.8	13.22	13.26			14.18(4.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	23	-10000	6	73	1.78	59%	-0.09	-2.5	4.28%	0	2.1	73	0
5	Mar_16_2016	11.52	12.75	13.06	13.1			13.52(6.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	21	-10000	6	64	0.67	60%	-0.26	-6.9	4.44%	0	1.3	58	0

6	Mar_15_2016	11.55	12.75	12.91	12.92			12.65(-1.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	10	-10000	-2	44	0.45	58%	-0.26	-15.7	4.5%	0	-0.1	50	0
7	Mar_14_2016	11.58	12.72	12.84	12.97			12.8(-2.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	5	-10000	-6	36	0.98	56%	-0.17	-15.4	4.49%	0	0.1	50	0
8	Mar_11_2016	11.6	12.78	12.75	13.15			13.15(-1.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	10	-10000	-1	42	0.58	56%	-0.26	5.1	4.54%	0	0.6	55	0
9	Mar_10_2016	11.63	12.82	12.59	13.17			13.37(5.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	11	-10000	5	30	0.63	56%	-0.09	18.7	4.56%	0	0.8	51	0
10	Mar_9_2016	11.64	12.79	12.49	13.02			12.64(-1.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	6	-10000	4	12	0.83	55%	-0.34	23.2	4.52%	0	-0.2	43	0

11	Mar_8_2016	11.68	12.79	12.5	12.89			12.89(-5.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	7	-10000	8	4	2.2	55%	-0.17	32.1	4.51%	0	0.1	50	0
12	Mar_7_2016	11.7	12.81	12.48	12.66			13.68(3.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	8	-10000	13	-7	0.9	55%	-0.26	38.2	4.45%	0	1.3	57	0
13	Mar_4_2016	11.73	12.75	12.36	12.3			13.27(4.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	0	-10000	14	-42	2.62	58%	-0.26	37.1	4.5%	0	0.8	43	0
14	Mar_3_2016	11.76	12.69	12.33	11.93			12.64(5.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-18	-10000	1	-75	2.6	56%	-0.34	31.2	4.62%	0	-0.1	39	0
15	Mar_2_2016	11.8	12.64	12.39	11.9			11.97(1.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-23	-10000	-5	-77	0.48	55%	-0.34	29.9	4.57%	0	-0.9	44	0

16	Mar_1_2016	11.84	12.59	12.49	12.05			11.76(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-24	-10000	-8	-70	0.66	55%	-0.25	29.4	4.59%	0	-1	44	0
17	Feb_29_2016	11.87	12.56	12.6	12.27			11.88(4.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-19	-10000	-5	-61	0.68	55%	-0.34	35.6	4.56%	0	-0.8	43	0
18	Feb_26_2016	11.91	12.51	12.82	12.41			11.41(-8.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-20	-10000	-12	-42	1.25	55%	-0.33	39.2	4.54%	0	-1.1	46	0
19	Feb_25_2016	11.95	12.48	13.08	12.76			12.47(-2.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-6	-10000	-7	-4	0.59	58%	-0.33	48.3	4.44%	0	-0	57	0
20	Feb_24_2016	11.99	12.42	13.14	12.96			12.75(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	6	-10000	-1	25	0.96	58%	-0.25	56.7	4.42%	0	0.3	64	0

21	Feb_23_2016	12.02	12.35	13.16	12.99			12.84(1.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	12	-10000	0	49	1.59	58%	-0.17	61.5	4.42%	0	0.4	70	0
22	Feb_22_2016	12.04	12.24	13.16	12.98			12.59(-4.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	10	-10000	-10	68	0.57	58%	-0.08	62.6	4.42%	0	0.3	68	0
23	Feb_19_2016	12.05	12.13	13.19	13.28			13.14(-2.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	24	-10000	-6	112	0.47	58%	0.08	69.3	4.4%	0	0.8	74	0
24	Feb_18_2016	12.04	11.99	13.09	13.46			13.48(4.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	39	-10000	3	148	0.45	58%	0.17	72.5	4.39%	0	1.2	77	0
25	Feb_17_2016	12.02	11.84	12.9	13.36			12.9(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.4	38	-10000	0	151	0.4	56%		74.3	4.36%	0	0.8	66	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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