Trading Signals: USLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Feb. 9, 2016

Trading Signals: USLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Thu. Jul. 2, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Silver ETN)
USLV latest price $12.8400 (-1.98%) ($12.7300 - $13.4000) on Tue. Feb. 9, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.08% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $12.8400(-1.98%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   USLV advances 3.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USLV advances 9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USLV advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SLV(16%)    GLD(14%)    SIL(12%)    GDX(11%)    BWX(8%)
Factors Impacting USLV price   USLV will decline at least -2.04% in a week (0% probabilities).
IPO(-10%)    UUP(-7%)    TBT(-3%)    XLK(-1%)    VIXM(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.04% (StdDev 4.08%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $12.38(3.72%)
10 Day Moving Average   $11.63(10.4%)
20 Day Moving Average   $10.98(16.94%)
To recent high   -2%
To recent low   33.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. USLV is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. USLV price fluctuates within 8.83% (three month std-dev: 4.08%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160309

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_9_2016	12.01	10.98	11.63	12.38			12.84(-1.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	48	-10000	18	139	0.92	58%	-0.08	63.4	4.08%	0	1.9	74	0
2	Feb_8_2016	12.02	10.82	11.46	11.95			13.1(5.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	45	-10000	19	122	1.25	58%	-0.08	54.9	4.11%	0	2.6	78	0
3	Feb_5_2016	12.03	10.66	11.19	11.5			12.44(3.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	37	-10000	16	99	0.55	54%	-0.08	50.4	4.1%	0	2.4	78	0
4	Feb_4_2016	12.04	10.57	10.96	11.13			12.02(4.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.5	29	-10000	13	77	0.86	54%	-0.17	51.8	4.09%	0	2.4	77	0
5	Feb_3_2016	12.06	10.47	10.79	10.84			11.48(7.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	15	-10000	3	51	1.11	52%	0	48.5	4.07%	0	2.1	60	0

6	Feb_2_2016	12.06	10.39	10.67	10.78			10.72(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	10	-10000	-5	55	0.41	48%	-0.08	52.2	3.97%	0	0.8	63	0
7	Feb_1_2016	12.07	10.35	10.62	10.88			10.82(2.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	20	-10000	2	72	0.58	48%	-0.17	46	3.98%	0	1	62	0
8	Jan_29_2016	12.09	10.3	10.53	10.84			10.6(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.5	20	-10000	4	69	0.52	45%	-0.17	33	3.97%	0	0.7	57	0
9	Jan_28_2016	12.11	10.26	10.45	10.75			10.58(-5.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	13	-10000	2	46	0.41	45%	-0.16	16.9	4.08%	0	0.7	48	0
10	Jan_27_2016	12.13	10.23	10.44	10.7			11.18(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	18	-10000	7	49	0.64	47%	-0.16	6.4	4.05%	0	2.1	59	0

11	Jan_26_2016	12.15	10.17	10.29	10.55			11.22(5.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	17	-10000	11	34	0.76	47%	-0.08	-8.7	4.05%	0	2.6	60	0
12	Jan_25_2016	12.16	10.15	10.14	10.33			10.6(4.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	9	-10000	7	15	0.33	44%	-0.16	-10.8	3.97%	0	1.5	59	0
13	Jan_22_2016	12.18	10.16	10.08	10.18			10.15(-2.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	4	-10000	4	5	0.42	42%	-0.16	-21.4	3.92%	0	-0	56	0
14	Jan_21_2016	12.2	10.19	10.14	10.1			10.36(-0.48%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.7	1	-10000	-2	9	0.5	42%	-0.25	-11	3.94%	0	0.5	57	0
15	Jan_20_2016	12.23	10.21	10.12	10.13			10.41(2.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	10	-10000	7	17	0.58	42%	-0.16	4.8	3.97%	0	0.5	55	0

16	Jan_19_2016	12.25	10.2	10.09	9.99			10.14(2.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	5	-10000	4	6	0.62	42%	-0.24	-1.9	3.96%	0	-0.1	53	0
17	Jan_15_2016	12.28	10.18	10.09	9.92			9.86(1.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-6	-10000	-2	-17	0.65	42%	-0.16	-15.7	3.92%	0	-0.7	39	0
18	Jan_14_2016	12.3	10.22	10.06	9.95			9.73(-7.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-18	-10000	-12	-34	1	45%	-0.16	-13.8	3.92%	0	-1.1	39	0
19	Jan_13_2016	12.32	10.23	10.07	10.18			10.49(8.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-4	-10000	3	-23	0.83	48%	-0.16	-9.3	3.89%	0	0.6	46	0
20	Jan_12_2016	12.34	10.19	10.02	10.12			9.71(-1.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-14	-10000	-4	-43	2.07	43%	-0.24	-25.9	3.74%	0	-1	36	0

21	Jan_11_2016	12.37	10.21	10.05	10.2			9.81(-2.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-11	-10000	-1	-42	0.44	43%	-0.4	-35.3	3.74%	0	-0.9	44	0
22	Jan_8_2016	12.42	10.25	10.17	10.21			10.03(-7.56%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-3	-10000	3	-21	0.55	40%	-0.48	-36.4	3.76%	0	-0.5	59	0
23	Jan_7_2016	12.48	10.28	10.25	10.16			10.85(6.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	4	-10000	11	-19	0.8	44%	-0.24	-36.5	3.72%	0	1.2	52	0
24	Jan_6_2016	12.51	10.27	10.23	9.96			10.19(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-5	-10000	2	-26	0.42	39%	-0.32	-50.9	3.66%	0	-0.2	57	0
25	Jan_5_2016	12.55	10.31	10.29	9.92			10.12(2.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-3	-10000	1	-14	0.22	44%		-48.7	3.7%	0	-0.4	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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