Trading Signals: USLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. May. 19, 2015

Trading Signals: USLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Thu. Jul. 2, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Silver ETN)
USLV latest price $21.6800 (-9.55%) ($20.6750 - $22.9500) on Tue. May. 19, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.44% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $21.6800(-9.55%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   USLV advances 1.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USLV advances 9.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USLV advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SLV(17%)    GLD(15%)    SIL(13%)    GDX(12%)    BWX(8%)
Factors Impacting USLV price   USLV will decline at least -2.22% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-7%)    TBT(-3%)    XLK(-1%)    VIXM(-1%)    XBI(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.22% (StdDev 4.44%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -4.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $22.73(-4.62%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.11(2.7%)
20 Day Moving Average   $19.97(8.56%)
To recent high   -9.6%
To recent low   28.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. USLV is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. USLV price fluctuates within 9.36% (three month std-dev: 4.44%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150619

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_19_2015	21.21	19.97	21.11	22.73			21.68(-9.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	40	-10000	8	137	0.73	65%	0.09	60.6	4.44%	0	0.9	59	0
2	May_18_2015	21.19	19.79	20.92	22.34			23.97(2.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	51	-10000	23	133	0.41	70%	0.19	53.4	4.26%	0	2.3	65	0
3	May_15_2015	21.15	19.48	20.42	21.29			23.38(1.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	34	-10000	17	84	0.79	63%	0.09	39.7	4.55%	0	2.5	67	0
4	May_14_2015	21.13	19.24	19.91	20.51			22.94(5.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	30	-10000	18	64	0.72	63%	0.19	28.1	4.58%	0	2.8	73	0
5	May_13_2015	21.09	19.03	19.42	19.7			21.7(10.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	16	-10000	10	35	0.99	63%	0.09	14.9	4.56%	0	2.7	67	0

6	May_12_2015	21.07	18.89	19.2	19.28			19.69(5.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	8	-10000	-0	31	0.45	60%	0.05	-0.7	4.49%	0	1	63	0
7	May_11_2015	21.06	18.85	19.23	19.29			18.75(-3.8%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	9	-10000	-3	44	0.38	58%	-0.09	-15.2	4.44%	0	-0.1	55	0
8	May_8_2015	21.08	18.87	19.29	19.4			19.49(3.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	-10000	5	61	0.32	58%	0	-25.9	4.41%	0	0.8	59	0
9	May_7_2015	21.08	18.87	19.08	19.19			18.88(-3.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	13	-10000	3	41	0.4	58%	-0.05	-39.6	4.43%	0	0	50	0
10	May_6_2015	21.09	18.88	18.98	19.07			19.6(-0.71%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	6	-10000	-1	25	0.51	53%	0	-57.1	4.44%	0	0.9	53	0

11	May_5_2015	21.09	18.9	18.77	19.1			19.74(2.33%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	2	-10000	-2	14	0.43	53%	-0.09	-50.8	4.62%	0	0.8	52	0
12	May_4_2015	21.11	18.97	18.6	19.1			19.29(4.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	4	-10000	0	14	1	53%	-0.24	-40.3	4.61%	0	0.3	53	0
13	May_1_2015	21.16	19.08	18.48	19.18			18.42(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.6	7	-10000	6	9	0.77	51%	-0.33	-39.7	4.5%	0	-0.6	46	0
14	Apr_30_2015	21.23	19.21	18.54	18.94			18.3(-7.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	1	-10000	3	-7	1.23	51%	-0.38	-48.2	4.54%	0	-0.7	42	0
15	Apr_29_2015	21.31	19.38	18.62	18.82			19.77(-1.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	7	-10000	11	-7	0.5	47%	-0.23	-47.9	4.5%	0	0.3	55	0

16	Apr_28_2015	21.36	19.42	18.55	18.35			20.13(4.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	-0	-10000	9	-28	0.6	47%	-0.09	-60.9	5.04%	0	0.5	49	0
17	Apr_27_2015	21.38	19.45	18.41	17.96			19.29(12.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-11	-10000	5	-58	1.08	47%	-0.14	-70.6	5.01%	0	-0.1	39	0
18	Apr_24_2015	21.41	19.57	18.38	17.72			17.21(-2.88%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-29	-10000	-9	-90	0.66	38%	-0.28	-68.8	4.8%	0	-1.6	23	0
19	Apr_23_2015	21.47	19.83	18.65	18.1			17.72(1.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-25	-10000	-6	-82	0.31	38%	-0.23	-54.2	4.83%	0	-1.4	33	0
20	Apr_22_2015	21.52	20.04	18.78	18.38			17.42(-4.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-29	-10000	-8	-91	0.69	38%	-0.23	-41.3	4.82%	0	-1.8	28	0

21	Apr_21_2015	21.57	20.29	19.06	18.76			18.18(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-22	-10000	-3	-80	0.41	38%	-0.23	-21.4	4.83%	0	-1.5	39	0
22	Apr_20_2015	21.62	20.5	19.37	18.9			18.09(-5.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-22	-10000	-5	-74	0.93	38%	-0.05	-3.7	4.86%	0	-1.8	37	0
23	Apr_17_2015	21.63	20.66	19.75	19.13			19.07(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-20	-10000	-4	-67	0.38	40%	-0.14	15.2	4.86%	0	-1.3	36	0
24	Apr_16_2015	21.66	20.66	19.94	19.3			19.16(-0.78%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-16	-10000	1	-67	0.32	47%	-0.18	25.6	4.9%	0	-1.2	35	0
25	Apr_15_2015	21.7	20.68	20.2	19.25			19.31(2.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-19	-10000	-3	-66	0.3	47%		31.2	5.3%	0	-1.1	38	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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