Trading Signals: USLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Apr. 6, 2015

Trading Signals: USLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Thu. Jul. 2, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Silver ETN)
USLV latest price $21.9400 (4.58%) ($21.8900 - $23.1800) on Mon. Apr. 6, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.24% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $21.9400(4.58%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   USLV declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USLV advances 5.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USLV advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SLV(17%)    GLD(15%)    SIL(13%)    GDX(12%)    BWX(8%)
Factors Impacting USLV price   USLV will decline at least -2.62% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-7%)    TBT(-3%)    XLK(-1%)    VIXM(-1%)    XBI(0%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.62% (StdDev 5.24%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $21.3(3%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.72(1.01%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20(9.7%)
To recent high   -27.2%
To recent low   29.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. USLV is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. USLV price fluctuates within 10.4% (three month std-dev: 5.24%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150506

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_6_2015	21.95	20	21.72	21.3			21.94(4.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	-10000	-0	65	0.38	53%	0.05	25.5	5.24%	0	0.9	74	0
2	Apr_2_2015	21.94	19.81	21.64	21.31			20.98(-3.98%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	18	-10000	-5	85	0.28	56%	0.05	20.8	5.31%	0	0.6	73	0
3	Apr_1_2015	21.93	19.73	21.48	21.59			21.85(5.31%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	27	-10000	-1	110	0.27	56%	0.05	22.3	5.28%	0	1.1	78	0
4	Mar_31_2015	21.92	19.6	21.19	21.62			20.75(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	28	-10000	-5	125	0.17	50%	0.05	20.5	5.29%	0	0.6	77	0
5	Mar_30_2015	21.91	19.54	20.87	21.9			21(-4.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	31	-10000	-4	134	0.26	53%	0	25.2	5.47%	0	0.8	71	0

6	Mar_27_2015	21.91	19.48	20.55	22.17			21.97(-1.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	39	-10000	3	147	0.65	53%	0.09	29.8	5.56%	0	1.3	73	0
7	Mar_26_2015	21.89	19.41	20.09	22			22.38(1.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	44	-10000	11	144	0.36	53%	0.18	31.3	5.59%	0	1.6	73	0
8	Mar_25_2015	21.85	19.3	19.57	21.33			22.01(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	36	-10000	11	111	0.24	53%	0	23.2	5.62%	0	1.5	61	0
9	Mar_24_2015	21.85	19.22	19.05	20.68			22.15(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	34	-10000	18	80	0.29	53%	0	14.2	5.67%	0	1.8	62	0
10	Mar_23_2015	21.85	19.07	18.57	19.68			22.34(5.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	23	-10000	18	36	0.48	53%	0	-6.4	5.67%	0	2.1	60	0

11	Mar_20_2015	21.85	18.93	18.1	18.7			21.12(11.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	9	-10000	15	-8	0.94	49%	-0.14	-39.7	5.66%	0	1.6	53	0
12	Mar_19_2015	21.88	18.85	17.77	17.92			19.01(1.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-7	-10000	7	-50	0.33	44%	-0.36	-65.3	5.53%	0	0.1	35	0
13	Mar_18_2015	21.96	18.9	17.79	17.56			18.8(9.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-11	-10000	8	-68	0.61	44%	-0.41	-76.1	5.53%	0	-0.1	34	0
14	Mar_17_2015	22.05	18.98	17.83	17.19			17.12(-1.78%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-25	-10000	-2	-93	0.17	40%	-0.5	-86.6	5.4%	0	-1.3	14	0
15	Mar_16_2015	22.16	19.17	18.07	17.28			17.43(1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-24	-10000	-2	-91	0.28	37%	-0.45	-95.1	5.4%	0	-1.3	32	0

16	Mar_13_2015	22.26	19.49	18.33	17.39			17.22(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-24	-10000	-4	-83	0.21	34%	-0.49	-72.7	5.76%	0	-1.4	28	0
17	Mar_12_2015	22.37	19.74	18.69	17.6			17.24(1.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-25	-10000	-9	-74	0.25	34%	-0.49	-75.1	5.81%	0	-1.5	32	0
18	Mar_11_2015	22.48	19.99	19.04	18.06			16.93(-3.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-22	-10000	-9	-60	0.71	34%	-0.53	-77.3	5.8%	0	-1.9	26	0
19	Mar_10_2015	22.6	20.28	19.43	18.56			17.6(-2.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-17	-10000	-8	-45	0.38	34%	-0.53	-78.5	5.79%	0	-1.7	28	0
20	Mar_9_2015	22.72	20.56	19.66	18.98			17.98(-1.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-15	-10000	-7	-38	0.28	38%	-0.44	-76.3	5.78%	0	-1.7	27	0

21	Mar_6_2015	22.82	20.77	19.88	19.4			18.25(-6.55%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-18	-10000	-9	-45	1.02	38%	-0.48	-81.4	5.94%	0	-1.8	18	0
22	Mar_5_2015	22.93	21.07	20.05	19.93			19.53(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-13	-10000	-4	-40	0.19	40%	-0.39	-65.2	5.93%	0	-1	37	0
23	Mar_4_2015	23.02	21.32	20.14	20.18			19.44(-1.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-14	-10000	-4	-42	0.28	40%	-0.43	-65	5.94%	0	-1.2	38	0
24	Mar_3_2015	23.12	21.56	20.25	20.44			19.7(-1.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-11	-10000	-0	-43	0.46	40%	-0.39	-70.2	5.94%	0	-1.1	36	0
25	Mar_2_2015	23.21	21.78	20.36	20.45			20.1(-3.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-13	-10000	0	-53	0.2	40%		-79.3	5.94%	0	-1	36	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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